Joinville vs Santa Catarina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense Joinville - Santa Catarina
Result
4:3
16/02/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Catarinense - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Goal Attempts
1210
Shots on Goal
89
Shots off Goal
41
Corner Kicks
45
Goalkeeper Saves
64
Yellow Cards
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', Welton Heleno , Brendon ,
  • 33', 0 - 1, Cleberson ,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 2)
  • 46', Mendes G. , Bruninho ,
  • 46', Danilo Matielo , Marquinhos Brazion ,
  • 46', Lucas de Sa , Marcinho ,
  • 46', Julio Cesar , Juninho ,
  • 46', Vinicius Paulista , Joao Mafra ,
  • 46', 0 - 2, Alex Goncalves ,
  • 52', 1 - 2, Marcinho ,
  • 55', 2 - 2, Marquinhos Brazion ,
  • 56', Marquinhos Brazion 🟨,
  • 59', 3 - 2, Marquinhos Brazion ,
  • 67', Coruja 🟨,
  • 73', 🟨,
  • 75', De Paula , Brener ,
  • 75', 4 - 2, Cristian Renato ,
  • 81', Brendon , Gui Nascimento ,
  • 81', Alex Goncalves , Fabiano P. ,
  • 82', Cristian Renato , Carlos Alexandre ,
  • 86', Bruninho 🟨,
  • 88', 4 - 3, Brener ,
  • 89', Juninho 🟨,

Chances of winning


Joinville
46.1%
Draw
30.5%
Santa Catarina
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.3% 31.3% 33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 32.5% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Joinville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joinville's performance.
  • Santa Catarina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Catarina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joinville that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Catarina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Joinville - Santa Catarina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (2.56)
    2.99
    (2.88)
    3.91
    (2.7)
    9.5%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: )).
    • Joinville is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Santa Catarina is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Santa Catarina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Joinville have a series of guest games.
    • Joinville will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Joinville
    13.02.2025 Hercílio Luz - Joinville 2:1
    09.02.2025 Caravaggio - Joinville 0:1
    01.02.2025 Avaí - Joinville 3:0
    29.01.2025 Criciúma - Joinville 3:0
    Latest results of Santa Catarina
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Brusque (4)Chapecoense-SC (5)0 : 1
    2Criciuma (1)Joinville (8)0 : 1
    3Santa Catarina (2)Marcilio Dias (7)2 : 0
    4Avai (3)Figueirense (6)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Chapecoense-SC (5)Joinville (8)2 : 1
    2Santa Catarina (2)Avai (3)1 : 2

    Final
    1Chapecoense-SC (5)Avai (3)1 : 1, 2 : 2