Joinville vs Santa Catarina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
25/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 4

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
59
Corner kicks
76
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
59
Shots off target
610
Corner kicks
76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Erverson ,
  • 26', 2 - 0, Erverson ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 83', 2 - 1, Ze Leandro ,

Chances of winning


Joinville
41.9%
Draw
31.5%
Santa Catarina
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 31.9% 25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 30.9% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Joinville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Santa Catarina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Joinville - Santa Catarina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.16)
    2.89
    (2.85)
    3.41
    (3.52)
    10.1%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Joinville might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Joinville won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 2.5:3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Joinville won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Joinville - Santa Catarina were as follows:
    18.01.2026 Santa Catarina - Joinville 3:1
    16.02.2025 Joinville - Santa Catarina 4:3
    Latest results of Joinville
    Latest results of Santa Catarina
    Brazilian Serie D Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional-AM53118:6210
    2Sao Raimundo RR52304:139
    3Manauara42207:348
    4Manaus51224:6-25
    5Monte Roraima50323:6-33
    6GAS40132:6-41


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Araguaina532012:4811
    2Guapore53209:5411
    3Porto Velho521211:567
    4Galvez52127:10-37
    5Independencia51226:515
    6Humaita50052:18-160


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gama541010:1913
    2Luverdense52214:6-28
    3Aparecidense52127:617
    4Brasiliense51404:317
    5Primavera AC51225:6-15
    6Inhumas50052:10-80


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goiatuba541010:3713
    2Capital53115:3210
    3Ceilandia52123:307
    4Mixto51314:406
    5Uniao Rondonopolis51135:10-54
    6Operario VG50143:7-41


    Group 5
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aguia De Maraba52308:539
    2Trem42207:438
    3Imperatriz41305:326
    4Tuna Luso51316:606
    5Oratorio51045:9-43
    6Tocantinopolis50324:8-43


    Group 6
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Iguatu53206:2411
    2Maracana52215:328
    3Parnahyba52125:507
    4Moto Club41213:305
    5Sampaio Correa40310:1-13
    6IAPE50235:10-52


    Group 7
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ferroviario53118:5310
    2Fluminense-PI52308:449
    3Piaui52129:817
    4AE Altos52124:7-37
    5Atletico-CE50412:4-24
    6Tirol50234:7-32


    Group 8
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1ABC53118:5310
    2America RN53115:2310
    3Central SC52216:428
    4Maguary52125:327
    5Sousa52033:5-26
    6Laguna RN50141:9-81


    Group 9
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Serra Branca52309:549
    2Treze PB421111:747
    3Sergipe42117:617
    4Lagarto51139:12-34
    5Retro41126:9-34
    6Decisao41125:8-34


    Group 10
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juazeirense54019:5412
    2CSA531110:4610
    3ASA52125:507
    4CSE52128:9-17
    5Jacuipense51135:9-44
    6Alagoinhas51044:9-53


    Group 11
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Uberlandia54018:4412
    2Ivinhema53117:5210
    3CRAC52124:317
    4Betim52125:507
    5Operario MS50323:6-33
    6Ouvidorense50232:6-42


    Group 12
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Porto-BA53026:9-39
    2Tombense52214:138
    3Rio Branco ES52217:528
    4Democrata GV42113:217
    5Vitoria ES42027:436
    6Real Noroeste50142:8-61


    Group 13
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portuguesa53208:3511
    2Agua Santa53028:449
    3Portuguesa RJ52217:258
    4America RJ51224:11-75
    5Madureira51136:8-24
    6Pouso Alegre51132:7-54


    Group 14
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Piracicaba52309:549
    2Velo Clube52215:328
    3Sampaio Correa FE52215:508
    4Marica52125:507
    5Noroeste51224:5-15
    6Nova Iguacu50232:7-52


    Group 15
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Joinville53207:3411
    2Cianorte53026:429
    3Cascavel52214:228
    4Santa Catarina52129:727
    5Sao Luiz51225:7-25
    6Guarany de Bage50141:9-81


    Group 16
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Blumenau54018:3512
    2Sao Joseense53113:2110
    3Marcilio Dias52213:218
    4Brasil de Pelotas52126:517
    5Azuriz50232:5-32
    6EC Sao Jose50232:7-52

          Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32~finals)