Santa Catarina vs Joinville – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Santa Catarina - Joinville
Result
1:0
16/05/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 7

Match Stats

Ball possession
35%65%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
31
Corner kicks
66
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
712
Corner kicks
66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', 1 - 0, Botelho P. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Santa Catarina
44%
Draw
32.2%
Joinville
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 31.1% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 32.3% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santa Catarina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Joinville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Santa Catarina - Joinville Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (2.14)
    2.82
    (2.93)
    3.81
    (3.45)
    10.3%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Santa Catarina is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Joinville has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Joinville may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Santa Catarina has had a series of away games.
    • Santa Catarina might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Santa Catarina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 2.3:2.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Santa Catarina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Catarina - Joinville were as follows:
    25.04.2026 Joinville - Santa Catarina 2:1
    18.01.2026 Santa Catarina - Joinville 3:1
    16.02.2025 Joinville - Santa Catarina 4:3
    Latest results of Santa Catarina
    Latest results of Joinville
    10.05.2026 FC Cascavel - Joinville 1:0
    02.05.2026 Joinville - FC Cascavel 1:1
    25.04.2026 Joinville - Santa Catarina 2:1
    19.04.2026 Cianorte - Joinville 1:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/32-finals
    1IndependenciaManauara1 : 1, 0 : 2
    2BrasilienseGoiatuba0 : 1, 0 : 0
    3ImperatrizMaracana1 : 0, 1 : 1
    4Central SCFerroviario0 : 2, 1 : 1
    5America RJPiracicaba0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6Sao JoseenseCianorte1 : 1, 0 : 1
    7ASASergipe1 : 0, 1 : 1
    8IvinhemaDemocrata GV1 : 1, 3 : 1
    9Portuguesa RJNoroeste3 : 1, 1 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseSanta Catarina2 : 1, 1 : 1
    11JacuipenseTreze PB0 : 0, 1 : 3
    12CRACTombense0 : 0, 1 : 0
    13Fluminense-PIAmerica RN0 : 1, 0 : 3
    14Sampaio CorreaTrem2 : 1, 0 : 2
    15Sao Raimundo RRPorto Velho1 : 2, 1 : 1
    16MixtoGama0 : 1, 1 : 2
    17Serra BrancaJuazeirense1 : 0, 2 : 0
    18Rio Branco ESUberlandia2 : 2, 0 : 2
    19Sampaio Correa FEPortuguesa0 : 1, 1 : 1
    20CascavelMarcilio Dias1 : 2, 2 : 2
    21Sao LuizBlumenau2 : 1, 1 : 1
    22Velo ClubeAgua Santa2 : 1, 0 : 0
    23LagartoCSA0 : 2, 1 : 1
    24Vitoria ESBetim0 : 2, 1 : 0
    25AraguainaNacional-AM0 : 0, 0 : 1
    26AparecidenseCapital0 : 4, 1 : 1
    27Tuna LusoIguatu1 : 1, 1 : 2
    28MaguaryPiaui0 : 1, 2 : 0
    29Monte RoraimaGuapore0 : 2, 3 : 2
    30CeilandiaLuverdense1 : 1, 1 : 2
    31ParnahybaAguia De Maraba0 : 2, 2 : 1
    32AE AltosABC1 : 1, 0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1ManauaraGoiatuba1 : 3, 1 : 0
    2ImperatrizFerroviario0 : 3, 1 : 1
    3PiracicabaCianorte0 : 0, 0 : 4
    4ASAIvinhema4 : 0, 2 : 1
    5Portuguesa RJEC Sao Jose0 : 0, 0 : 1
    6Treze PBCRAC2 : 0, 1 : 2
    7America RNTrem2 : 1, 4 : 1
    8Porto VelhoGama0 : 3, 2 : 0
    9Serra BrancaUberlandia2 : 2, 0 : 1
    10PortuguesaMarcilio Dias2 : 0, 1 : 1
    11Sao LuizVelo Clube3 : 1, 1 : 2
    12CSABetim4 : 0, 0 : 1
    13Nacional-AMCapital1 : 1, 1 : 0
    14IguatuMaguary2 : 1, 3 : 2
    15GuaporeLuverdense0 : 0, 0 : 1
    16Aguia De MarabaABC0 : 3, 2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1GoiatubaFerroviario2 : 1, 3 : 0
    2CianorteASA1 : 5, 0 : 1
    3EC Sao JoseTreze PB1 : 1, 2 : 1
    4America RNGama2 : 4, 1 : 0
    5UberlandiaPortuguesa0 : 1, 2 : 0
    6Sao LuizCSA1 : 2, 0 : 0
    7Nacional-AMIguatu2 : 1, 1 : 1
    8LuverdenseABC1 : 4, 0 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1GoiatubaASA1 : 2, 0 : 0
    2EC Sao JoseGama0 : 4, 1 : 1
    3UberlandiaCSA2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4Nacional-AMABC0 : 1, 1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1ASAGama0 : 0, 2 : 0
    2UberlandiaABC1 : 1, 1 : 0

    Final
    1ASAUberlandia1 : 1, 0 : 2