Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs Jonava – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
23/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • I Lyga - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
latviaLatviaFutbols TV

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Janusa K. ,
  • 21', Azouazi Y. 🟥,
  • 30', 1 - 1, Benevicius N. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 70', 1 - 2, ,
  • 75', 🟨,
  • 88', 🟥,
  • 90+2', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Hegelmann Litauen 2
31.1%
Draw
25.9%
Jonava
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 25.7% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 27.8% 31.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hegelmann Litauen 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hegelmann Litauen 2's form might have worsened.
  • Jonava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jonava's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hegelmann Litauen 2 than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hegelmann Litauen 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jonava than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jonava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Jonava Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.92
    (2.25)
    3.51
    (3.5)
    2.12
    (2.63)
    10%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 8).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Hegelmann 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hegelmann 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Jonava were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Jonava - Hegelmann Litauen 2 1:1
    Latest results of Hegelmann Litauen 2
    Latest results of Jonava
    17.08.2025 Babrungas Plungė - Jonava 1:2
    13.08.2025 Jonava - Panevėžys 1:4
    09.08.2025 Jonava - Kauno Žalgiris 2 1:1
    02.08.2025 Jonava - BE1 NFA Kaunas 2:1
    26.07.2025 BFA Vilnius - Jonava 0:0
    Lithuanian Division 2 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FK Minija440012:3912
    2Babrungas440010:1912
    3Atmosfera430110:469
    4Tauras Taurage43016:339
    5Garliava42116:337
    6BE1 NFA421110:647
    7Jonava42117:617
    8Transinvest 242116:7-17
    9Zalgiris 232015:416
    10BFA Vilnius41122:4-24
    11Neptunas41121:4-34
    12Dainava Alytus40225:8-32
    13Siauliai 240131:9-81
    14Hegelmann Litauen 240131:10-91
    15Kauno Zalgiris 230033:7-40
    16Ekranas40042:8-60

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