Jordan Thompson vs August Holmgren – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Shanghai Jordan Thompson - August Holmgren
Result
2:1
01/10/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/64-finals

Match Stats

Aces
108
Double Faults
14
1st Serve Percentage
61%60%
1st Serve Points Won
80% (43/54)81% (38/47)
2nd Serve Points Won
57% (20/35)48% (15/31)
Break Points Saved
80% (4/5)50% (2/4)
1st Return Points Won
19% (9/47)20% (11/54)
2nd Return Points Won
52% (16/31)43% (15/35)
Break Points Converted
50% (2/4)20% (1/5)
Service Points Won
71% (63/89)68% (53/78)
Return Points Won
32% (25/78)29% (26/89)
Total Points Won
53% (88/167)47% (79/167)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
93% (14/15)86% (12/14)
Return Games Won
14% (2/14)7% (1/15)
Total Games Won
55% (16/29)45% (13/29)

Chances of winning


Jordan Thompson
61.8%
August Holmgren
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.9% 36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jordan Thompson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • August Holmgren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jordan Thompson than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Jordan Thompson - August Holmgren Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.43)

    2.62
    (2.53)
    -3.9%
    (9.5%)
    What is the prediction for Jordan Thompson - August Holmgren?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Jordan Thompson will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Holmgren will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Holmgren: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Jordan Thompson (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Jordan Thompson is ranked ATP: 78. Holmgren is ranked ATP: 176.
    • Recent form of Jordan Thompson has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Holmgren has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Jordan Thompson may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Jordan Thompson is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jordan Thompson won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    Latest results of Jordan Thompson
    Latest results of August Holmgren
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Moutet C. (33)Bye
    2Tien L.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    3Cazaux A.Martinez P.2 : 1
    4ByeNorrie C. (30)
    5Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Bye
    6Arnaldi M.Sakamoto R. (Q)2 : 0
    7Wu Y. (RET.) (WC)Svrcina D. (Q)0 : 1
    8ByeMedvedev D. (16)
    9Khachanov K. (9)Bye
    10Kovacevic A.Shang J. (WC)1 : 2
    11Van De Zandschulp B.Borges N.0 : 2
    12ByeVukic A. (LL)
    13Nakashima B. (29)Bye
    14Majchrzak K.Quinn E.2 : 0
    15Ugo Carabelli C.Atmane T. (RET.)0 : 0
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (7)
    17Zverev A. (3)Bye
    18Royer V. (Q)Navone M.2 : 1
    19Rinderknech A.Medjedovic H. (RET.)0 : 1
    20ByeMichelsen A. (28)
    21Shapovalov D. (23)Bye
    22Dzumhur D.O'Connell C.0 : 2
    23McDonald M. (LL)Halys Q.0 : 2
    24ByeLehecka J. (15)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (12)Bye
    26Giron M.Tabilo A. (Q)0 : 2
    27Zhou Y. (WC)De Jong J.1 : 2
    28ByeMensik J. (17)
    29Darderi L. (26)Bye
    30Bu Y.Cerundolo J. M.2 : 1
    31Comesana F.Blanchet U. (Q)2 : 0
    32ByeMusetti L. (8)
    33Shelton B. (6)Bye
    34Goffin D.Muller A.2 : 1
    35Opelka R.Bonzi B.0 : 2
    36ByeDiallo G. (31)
    37Cerundolo F. (19)Bye
    38Mannarino A.Berrettini M.2 : 0
    39Korda S.Bergs Z.0 : 2
    40ByeRuud C. (11)
    41Rublev A. (13)Bye
    42Nishioka Y. (Q)Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    43Munar J.Fucsovics M.2 : 1
    44ByeCobolli F. (22)
    45Tiafoe F. (25)Bye
    46Sonego L.Hanfmann Y. (Q)1 : 2
    47Cilic M.Basilashvili N. (Q)2 : 0
    48ByeDjokovic N. (4)
    49Fritz T. (5)Bye
    50Marozsan F.Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 1
    51Ofner S. (PR)Nardi L.1 : 2
    52ByeMpetshi Perricard G. (32)
    53Humbert U. (21)Bye
    54Thompson J.Holmgren A. (Q)2 : 1
    55Zhang Z. (WC)Baez S.1 : 2
    56ByeRune H. (10)
    57Bublik A. (14)Bye
    58Djere L.Vacherot V. (Q)0 : 2
    59Walton A.Bellucci M.0 : 2
    60ByeMachac T. (20)
    61Griekspoor T. (27)Bye
    62Brooksby J. (PR)Trotter J. K. (Q)2 : 0
    63Schoolkate T. (Q)Altmaier D.0 : 2
    64ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Moutet C. (33)Tien L.1 : 2
    2Cazaux A.Norrie C. (30)1 : 2
    3Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Arnaldi M.2 : 0
    4Svrcina D.Medvedev D. (16)0 : 2
    5Khachanov K. (9)Shang J.0 : 2
    6Borges N.Vukic A.2 : 0
    7Nakashima B. (29)Majchrzak K.0 : 2
    8Ugo Carabelli C.De Minaur A. (7)0 : 2
    9Zverev A. (3)Royer V.2 : 0
    10Rinderknech A.Michelsen A. (28)2 : 0
    11Shapovalov D. (23)O'Connell C.2 : 0
    12Halys Q.Lehecka J. (15)0 : 2
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (12)Tabilo A.2 : 0
    14De Jong J.Mensik J. (17)2 : 1
    15Darderi L. (26)Bu Y.2 : 0
    16Comesana F.Musetti L. (8)0 : 2
    17Shelton B. (6)Goffin D.0 : 2
    18Bonzi B.Diallo G. (31)0 : 2
    19Cerundolo F. (19)Mannarino A.2 : 0
    20Bergs Z.Ruud C. (RET.) (11)1 : 1
    21Rublev A. (13)Nishioka Y.1 : 2
    22Munar J.Cobolli F. (22)2 : 0
    23Tiafoe F. (25)Hanfmann Y.1 : 2
    24Cilic M.Djokovic N. (4)0 : 2
    25Fritz T. (5)Marozsan F.2 : 1
    26Nardi L.Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)0 : 2
    27Humbert U. (21)Thompson J.2 : 0
    28Baez S.Rune H. (10)0 : 2
    29Bublik A. (14)Vacherot V.1 : 2
    30Bellucci M.Machac T. (20)0 : 2
    31Griekspoor T. (27)Brooksby J.2 : 1
    32Altmaier D.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Tien L.Norrie C. (30)
    2Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Medvedev D. (16)
    3Shang J.Borges N.
    4Majchrzak K.De Minaur A. (7)
    5Zverev A. (3)Rinderknech A.
    6Shapovalov D. (23)Lehecka J. (15)
    7Auger-Aliassime F. (12)De Jong J.
    8Darderi L. (26)Musetti L. (8)
    9Goffin D. (RET.)Diallo G. (31)0 : 0
    10Cerundolo F. (19)Bergs Z.0 : 2
    11Nishioka Y.Munar J.1 : 2
    12Hanfmann Y.Djokovic N. (4)1 : 2
    13Fritz T. (5)Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)0 : 2
    14Humbert U. (21)Rune H. (10)0 : 2
    15Vacherot V.Machac T. (RET.) (20)1 : 0
    16Griekspoor T. (27)Sinner J. (RET.) (2)1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5Diallo G. (31)Bergs Z.
    6Munar J.Djokovic N. (4)
    7Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)Rune H. (10)
    8Vacherot V.Griekspoor T. (27)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2