Result
1:2
25/09/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 61% | 66% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 73% (53/73) | 73% (57/78) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (22/46) | 56% (23/41) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 90% (9/10) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 29% (23/78) | 29% (21/73) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (18/41) | 52% (24/46) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 43% (3/7) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (74/119) | 67% (78/116) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (38/116) | 38% (45/119) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (112/235) | 52% (123/235) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 94% (15/16) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 6% (1/16) | 19% (3/16) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 44% (14/32) | 56% (18/32) |
Chances of winning
Jordan Thompson
33.6% | Brandon Nakashima
66.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jordan Thompson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jordan Thompson than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+4%)
Jordan Thompson - Brandon Nakashima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.85 ↓
(3.03) |
|
1.43 ↑
(1.36) |
5%
(6.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Jordan Thompson - Brandon Nakashima?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Jordan Thompson will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Nakashima will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jordan Thompson: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nakashima (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Jordan Thompson is ranked ATP: 78. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 33.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jordan Thompson won 3.
- Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
- Jordan Thompson may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Nakashima is the team to beat.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Jordan Thompson won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Jordan Thompson won against Brandon Nakashima?
Jordan Thompson has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brandon Nakashima won against Jordan Thompson?
Brandon Nakashima has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jordan Thompson - Brandon Nakashima were as follows:
09.05.2025
Jordan Thompson
-
Brandon Nakashima
Nakashima B. walkover
03.07.2024
Brandon Nakashima
-
Jordan Thompson
3:0
03.07.2023
Jordan Thompson
-
Brandon Nakashima
3:2
Latest results of Jordan Thompson
Latest results of Brandon Nakashima
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Baez S. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bergs Z. | Tabilo A. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Thompson J. | Nakashima B. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Fucsovics M. (Q) | Tiafoe F. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Ruud C. (4) | Mochizuki S. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Munar J. | Berrettini M. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Dzumhur D. | Vukic A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Altmaier D. | Shapovalov D. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Humbert U. (6) | Brooksby J. (PR) | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Nishioka Y. (WC) | Darderi L. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Michelsen A. | Quinn E. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Medjedovic H. | Rune H. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Machac T. (5) | Shimabukuro S. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Giron M. | Korda S. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Watanuki Y. (WC) | Borges N. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Diallo G. | Fritz T. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Bergs Z. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Nakashima B. | Fucsovics M. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Ruud C. (4) | Berrettini M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Vukic A. | Altmaier D. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Brooksby J. | Darderi L. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Quinn E. | Rune H. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Shimabukuro S. | Korda S. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Borges N. | Fritz T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Nakashima B. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ruud C. (4) | Vukic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Brooksby J. | Rune H. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Korda S. | Fritz T. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Ruud C. (4) | |
| 2 | Brooksby J. | Fritz T. (2) | |
Final
