Result
3:1
22/11/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 25
- Referee: Mendoza G. (Bol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (191/265) | 78% (270/348) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.62 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (191/265) | 78% (270/348) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (17/58) | 58% (36/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (54/87) | 70% (87/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 19% (5/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.96 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (19/21) | 93% (14/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.84 | 3.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.16 | 0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 19', 1 - 0, Rocabado I. ⚽, Rodriguez F. (A),
- 30', 2 - 0, Barron A. ⚽, Chumacero A. (A),
- 36', Diez R. 🟨,
- 39', Castillo G. 🟨,
- 42', 2 - 1, Cristaldo J. E. ⚽, Abastoflor C. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Berdecio J. ↓, Cuellar V. ↑,
- 46', Diez R. ↓, Velasco M. ↑,
- 48', Vaca H. 🟨,
- 52', Cristaldo J. E. ↓, Nava F. ↑,
- 73', Chumacero A. 🟨,
- 79', 3 - 1, Rodriguez L. ⚽, Rodriguez F. (A),
- 89', Vaca H. ↓, Arabe C. ↑,
- 90+6', Rodriguez L. ↓, Soto R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jorge Wilstermann 38.3% | Draw 26.2% | Oriente Petrolero 35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Jorge Wilstermann - Oriente Petrolero Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.36 ↑ (2.17) |
3.51 ↑ (3.43) |
2.61 ↓ (2.89) |
9.3% (10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Jorge Wilstermann - Oriente Petrolero?
Users Predictions:
Jorge Wilstermann will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jorge Wilstermann will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Division Profesional (Relegation) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wilstermann won 0.
- Recent form of Wilstermann has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Oriente Petrolero's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Wilstermann may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wilstermann won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wilstermann won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Jorge Wilstermann won against Oriente Petrolero?
Jorge Wilstermann has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oriente Petrolero won against Jorge Wilstermann?
Oriente Petrolero has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jorge Wilstermann - Oriente Petrolero were as follows:
23.10.2025
Oriente Petrolero
-
Jorge Wilstermann
2:0
05.10.2025
Jorge Wilstermann
-
Oriente Petrolero
0:0
15.06.2025
Oriente Petrolero
-
Jorge Wilstermann
2:0
28.11.2024
Jorge Wilstermann
-
Oriente Petrolero
2:2
30.07.2024
Oriente Petrolero
-
Jorge Wilstermann
1:0
Latest results of Jorge Wilstermann
Latest results of Oriente Petrolero
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Always Ready | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 68:24 | 44 | 59 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 25 | 19 | 1 | 5 | 66:40 | 26 | 58 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 64:26 | 38 | 53 |
| 4 | Blooming | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 43:41 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | Independiente | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 43:48 | -5 | 36 |
| 6 | SA Bulo Bulo | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 45:41 | 4 | 34 |
| 7 | Guabira | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 48:50 | -2 | 34 |
| 8 | GV San Jose | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 35:41 | -6 | 34 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosi | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 42:34 | 8 | 31 |
| 10 | Oriente Petrolero | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 39:46 | -7 | 30 |
| 11 | Tomayapo | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 32:42 | -10 | 29 |
| 12 | Universitario de Vinto | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 30:47 | -17 | 26 |
| 13 | Real Oruro | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 40:53 | -13 | 25 |
| 14 | Academia del Balompie | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 15 | Wilstermann | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 22:55 | -33 | 15 |
| 16 | Aurora ✔ | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 43:54 | -11 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Aurora is Relegated to