Joshua Sheehy vs Keegan Smith – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
19/10/2025 at 19:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sioux Falls - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
118
Double Faults
70
1st Serve Percentage
58%80%
1st Serve Points Won
79% (27/34)83% (33/40)
2nd Serve Points Won
40% (10/25)60% (6/10)
Break Points Saved
70% (7/10)100% (3/3)
1st Return Points Won
20% (8/40)21% (7/34)
2nd Return Points Won
40% (4/10)60% (15/25)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/3)30% (3/10)
Service Points Won
63% (36/57)78% (39/50)
Return Points Won
22% (11/50)37% (21/57)
Total Points Won
44% (47/107)56% (60/107)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
67% (6/9)100% (9/9)
Return Games Won
0% (0/9)33% (3/9)
Total Games Won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Joshua Sheehy
32.1%
Keegan Smith
67.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3% 59.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Joshua Sheehy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Joshua Sheehy's form might have worsened.
  • Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Keegan Smith's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joshua Sheehy than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joshua Sheehy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Keegan Smith, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Joshua Sheehy - Keegan Smith Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.01
    (2.2)

    1.43
    (1.56)
    3.3%
    (9.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Sheehy is ranked ATP: 635. Smith is ranked ATP: 558.
    • Sheehy is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Smith has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Sheehy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Joshua Sheehy
    Latest results of Keegan Smith
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Thompson J. (1)Mmoh M.2 : 0
    2Zahraj P.Arutiunian E. (Q)0 : 2
    3Boulais J. (Q)Rosenkranz M.0 : 2
    4Krueger M.Cassone M. (6)1 : 2
    5Draxl L. (4)Blanch Dar. (Alt)2 : 0
    6Martin A.Shah A. (LL)2 : 1
    7Kingsley C. (WC)Perez A. (Alt)0 : 2
    8Monday J.Zheng M. (7)2 : 1
    9Kypson P. (5)Tarvet O. (Alt)2 : 1
    10Jodar R.Purtseladze S.2 : 0
    11Banerjee S. (WC)McHugh A. (Q)2 : 0
    12Pinnington Jones J.Hijikata R. (3)0 : 2
    13Clarke J. (8)Ghibaudo A. (Q)1 : 2
    14Fenty A. (Q)Smith K. (Q)2 : 1
    15Martin D.Damm M.0 : 2
    16Ilagan A. (WC)Holt B. (RET.) (2)0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Thompson J. (1)Arutiunian E.2 : 0
    2Rosenkranz M.Cassone M. (6)2 : 0
    3Draxl L. (4)Martin A.0 : 2
    4Perez A.Monday J.0 : 2
    5Kypson P. (5)Jodar R.2 : 0
    6Banerjee S.Hijikata R. (3)0 : 2
    7Ghibaudo A.Fenty A.2 : 0
    8Damm M.Ilagan A.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Thompson J. (RET.) (1)Rosenkranz M.0 : 1
    2Martin A.Monday J.0 : 2
    3Kypson P. (5)Hijikata R. (3)2 : 0
    4Ghibaudo A.Damm M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Rosenkranz M.Monday J.0 : 2
    2Kypson P. (5)Ghibaudo A.2 : 0

    Final
    1Monday J.Kypson P. (5)1 : 2