Jozef Kovalik vs Thiago Augustin Tirante – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Szczecin Challenger Men Jozef Kovalik - Thiago Augustin Tirante
Result
1:2
12/09/2025 at 07:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Szczecin, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
314
Double Faults
53
1st Serve Percentage
58%62%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (39/60)71% (41/58)
2nd Serve Points Won
40% (17/43)49% (17/35)
Break Points Saved
55% (6/11)60% (6/10)
1st Return Points Won
29% (17/58)35% (21/60)
2nd Return Points Won
51% (18/35)60% (26/43)
Break Points Converted
40% (4/10)45% (5/11)
Service Points Won
54% (56/103)62% (58/93)
Return Points Won
38% (35/93)46% (47/103)
Total Points Won
46% (91/196)54% (105/196)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
67% (10/15)73% (11/15)
Return Games Won
27% (4/15)33% (5/15)
Total Games Won
47% (14/30)53% (16/30)

Chances of winning


Jozef Kovalik
25.8%
Thiago Augustin Tirante
74.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.3% 65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5% 65.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jozef Kovalik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jozef Kovalik's form might have worsened.
  • Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thiago Augustin Tirante's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jozef Kovalik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thiago Augustin Tirante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jozef Kovalik - Thiago Augustin Tirante Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.62
    (2.7)

    1.24
    (1.41)
    8%
    (8%)
    What is the prediction for Jozef Kovalik - Thiago Augustin Tirante?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Kovalik will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tirante will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tirante (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kovalik is ranked ATP: 552. Tirante is ranked ATP: 116.
    • Kovalik is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Tirante has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Kovalik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Tirante is seen as the favorite.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Jozef Kovalik
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Michalski D.2 : 0
    2Pavlovic L.Dedura D. (NG)0 : 2
    3Kuzmanov D.Wazny A. (WC)2 : 0
    4Llamas Ruiz P. (PR)Monteiro T. (8)2 : 0
    5Passaro F. (3)Juszczak D. (WC)2 : 0
    6Gakhov I.Squire H. (Q)1 : 2
    7Ymer E.Diaz Acosta F.0 : 2
    8Barton H. (Alt)Burruchaga R. A. (6)2 : 1
    9Pellegrino A. (5)Lange M. (WC)2 : 0
    10Rodriguez Taverna S.Molleker R. (Q)1 : 2
    11Blancaneaux G.Bocchi L. (Q)2 : 0
    12Sanchez Izquierdo N. (Alt)Galan D. E. (4)1 : 2
    13Choinski J. (7)Sachko V.1 : 2
    14Pereira T.Paulson A. (RET.) (SE)1 : 0
    15Vrbensky M. (Q)Kovalik J. (Q)0 : 2
    16Vatutin A. (Q)Tirante T. A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Dedura D.2 : 0
    2Kuzmanov D.Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2
    3Passaro F. (3)Squire H.1 : 2
    4Diaz Acosta F.Barton H.2 : 1
    5Pellegrino A. (5)Molleker R.2 : 0
    6Blancaneaux G.Galan D. E. (4)2 : 0
    7Sachko V.Pereira T.2 : 1
    8Kovalik J.Tirante T. A. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Llamas Ruiz P.1 : 2
    2Squire H.Diaz Acosta F.1 : 2
    3Pellegrino A. (5)Blancaneaux G.0 : 2
    4Sachko V.Tirante T. A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Llamas Ruiz P.Diaz Acosta F.2 : 1
    2Blancaneaux G.Tirante T. A. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1TBD #1Tirante T. A. (2)