Jozef Kovalik vs Yosuke Watanuki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Marseille Jozef Kovalik - Yosuke Watanuki
Result
0:2
09/02/2025 at 06:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Marseille (France) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
26
Double Faults
72
1st Serve Percentage
44%54%
1st Serve Points Won
68% (19/28)81% (25/31)
2nd Serve Points Won
40% (14/35)58% (15/26)
Break Points Saved
50% (5/10)67% (4/6)
1st Return Points Won
19% (6/31)32% (9/28)
2nd Return Points Won
42% (11/26)60% (21/35)
Break Points Converted
33% (2/6)50% (5/10)
Service Points Won
52% (33/63)70% (39/56)
Return Points Won
30% (17/56)48% (30/63)
Total Points Won
42% (50/119)58% (69/119)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
50% (5/10)80% (8/10)
Return Games Won
20% (2/10)50% (5/10)
Total Games Won
35% (7/20)65% (13/20)

Chances of winning


Jozef Kovalik
29.3%
Yosuke Watanuki
70.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.4% 64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2% 66.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jozef Kovalik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jozef Kovalik's form might have worsened.
  • Yosuke Watanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yosuke Watanuki's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Jozef Kovalik - Yosuke Watanuki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.2
    (2.64)

    1.32
    (1.45)
    6.9%
    (7.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Kovalik is ranked ATP: 127. Watanuki is ranked ATP: 340.
    • Kovalik is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Watanuki is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Kovalik could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Watanuki is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Watanuki to win the game is with odds 1.34.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Jozef Kovalik
    Latest results of Yosuke Watanuki
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Medvedev D. (1)Bye
    2Herbert P. (Q)Mayot H.2 : 1
    3Struff J-L.Guinard M. (LL)2 : 0
    4Grenier H. (Q)Gea A. (Q)2 : 0
    5Khachanov K. (3)Bye
    6Collignon R. (Alt)Medjedovic H.0 : 2
    7Nardi L.Altmaier D.0 : 2
    8Virtanen O.Korda S. (5)2 : 1
    9Borges N. (8)Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 1
    10Chidekh C. (Q)Bergs Z.0 : 2
    11Zhang Z.Halys Q.2 : 1
    12ByeHurkacz H. (4)
    13Sonego L. (7)Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 1
    14van Assche L. (LL)Bonzi B.2 : 1
    15Bublik A.Gasquet R. (WC)2 : 0
    16ByeHumbert U. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Medvedev D. (1)Herbert P.2 : 0
    2Struff J-L.Grenier H.2 : 1
    3Khachanov K. (3)Medjedovic H.0 : 2
    4Altmaier D.Virtanen O.2 : 0
    5Borges N. (8)Bergs Z.1 : 2
    6Zhang Z.Hurkacz H. (4)2 : 1
    7Sonego L. (WO.) (7)van Assche L.
    8Bublik A.Humbert U. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Medvedev D. (1)Struff J-L.2 : 0
    2Medjedovic H.Altmaier D.2 : 1
    3Bergs Z.Zhang Z. (RET.)1 : 0
    4Sonego L. (7)Humbert U. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Medvedev D. (1)Medjedovic H.0 : 2
    2Bergs Z.Humbert U. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Medjedovic H.Humbert U. (2)0 : 2