Juan Alejandro Hernandez vs Tibo Colson – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
17/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelos, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
18
Double Faults
03
1st serve percentage
72%53%
1st serve points won
64% (25/39)64% (16/25)
2nd serve points won
67% (10/15)23% (5/22)
Break Points Saved
3/43/8
1st return points won
36% (9/25)36% (14/39)
2nd return points won
77% (17/22)33% (5/15)
Break Points Converted
5/81/4
Winners
614
Unforced errors
1444
Net points won
50% (3/6)57% (4/7)
Service Points Won
65% (35/54)45% (21/47)
Return Points Won
55% (26/47)35% (19/54)
Total Points Won
60% (61/101)40% (40/101)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
88% (7/8)38% (3/8)
Return games won
63% (5/8)13% (1/8)
Total games won
75% (12/16)25% (4/16)

Chances of winning


Juan Alejandro Hernandez
27.7%
Tibo Colson
72.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 59.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juan Alejandro Hernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juan Alejandro Hernandez's form might have worsened.
  • Tibo Colson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tibo Colson's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Alejandro Hernandez than the current prediction. (+12.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juan Alejandro Hernandez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tibo Colson than the current prediction. (-12.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tibo Colson, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Tibo Colson Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.38
    (2.48)

    1.3
    (1.5)
    6.7%
    (7.2%)
    What is the prediction for Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Tibo Colson?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Hernandez will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Colson will win (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Hernandez is ranked ATP: 439. Colson is ranked ATP: 538.
    • Hernandez has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Colson is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Hernandez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Colson will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Colson will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Tibo Colson
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Gomez F. A. (1)Martin D.1 : 2
    2Zhukayev B.Mena F.0 : 2
    3Delaney Ja. (Q)Daniel T.0 : 2
    4Mayo A. (PR)Andrade A. (6)0 : 2
    5Crawford O. (3)Wiskandt M.2 : 0
    6Ayeni A. (Alt)Smith K.2 : 1
    7Catry R. (Q)Hayen A. (WC)0 : 2
    8Ursu V.Martin A. (8)1 : 2
    9Kozlov S. (7)Magadan A. (WC)2 : 0
    10Mmoh M.Rubio Fierros A. F. (Q)2 : 0
    11Shah A.Alujas R. (WC)2 : 1
    12Pacheco Mendez R.Galarneau A. (4)2 : 0
    13Huesler M. (5)Yuzuki T. (Q)2 : 1
    14Hernandez A.Colson T. (Q)2 : 0
    15Zink T.Polmans M.2 : 0
    16Tobon M. (Q)Ficovich J. P.2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Martin D.Mena F.0 : 2
    2Daniel T.Andrade A. (6)2 : 1
    3Crawford O. (3)Ayeni A.1 : 2
    4Hayen A.Martin A. (8)1 : 2
    5Kozlov S. (7)Mmoh M.0 : 2
    6Shah A. (RET.)Pacheco Mendez R.0 : 1
    7Huesler M. (5)Hernandez A.2 : 0
    8Zink T.Tobon M.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Mena F.Daniel T.0 : 2
    2Ayeni A.Martin A. (8)0 : 2
    3Mmoh M.Pacheco Mendez R.2 : 1
    4Huesler M. (5)Zink T.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Daniel T.Martin A. (8)2 : 1
    2Mmoh M.Zink T.2 : 1

    Final
    1Daniel T.Mmoh M.