Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alexander Bublik – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Gstaad Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Alexander Bublik
Result
1:2
20/07/2025 at 05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Gstaad, clay - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 2
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 2
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports+

Match Stats

Aces
113
Double Faults
24
1st Serve Percentage
73%66%
1st Serve Points Won
60% (44/73)81% (50/62)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (13/27)34% (11/32)
Break Points Saved
71% (10/14)70% (7/10)
1st Return Points Won
27% (17/62)40% (29/73)
2nd Return Points Won
66% (21/32)52% (14/27)
Break Points Converted
30% (3/10)29% (4/14)
Winners
2147
Unforced Errors
2539
Net Points Won
55% (11/20)71% (20/28)
Service Points Won
57% (58/102)65% (62/96)
Return Points Won
35% (34/96)43% (44/102)
Total Points Won
46% (92/198)54% (106/198)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
71% (10/14)80% (12/15)
Return Games Won
20% (3/15)29% (4/14)
Total Games Won
45% (13/29)55% (16/29)

Chances of winning


Juan Manuel Cerundolo
27.7%
Alexander Bublik
72.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.5% 67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5% 67.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juan Manuel Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Alexander Bublik Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.38
    (2.93)

    1.33
    (1.41)
    4.7%
    (5.1%)
    What is the prediction for Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Alexander Bublik?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Bublik will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cerundolo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 109. Bublik is ranked ATP: 34.
    • Currently, both players are in excellent shape.
    • Cerundolo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Bublik is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Bublik will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Alexander Bublik
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ruud C. (1)Bye
    2Stricker D. (WC)Herbert P.2 : 1
    3Cerundolo J. M.Struff J-L.2 : 1
    4Landaluce M. (NG)Goffin D. (WC)0 : 2
    5Zahraj P. (LL)Bye
    6Burruchaga R. A.Svrcina D.2 : 0
    7Majchrzak K.Atmane T.2 : 1
    8Buse I. (Q)Djere L. (5)2 : 1
    9Rinderknech A. (8)Passaro F. (Q)0 : 2
    10Kym J. (WC)Hemery C. (Q)2 : 1
    11Cazaux A.Basilashvili N.2 : 1
    12ByeEtcheverry T. M. (4)
    13Comesana F. (7)Trungelliti M. (Q)2 : 0
    14Carballes Baena R.Taberner C.2 : 1
    15Shevchenko A.Wawrinka S.2 : 0
    16ByeBublik A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Ruud C. (1)Stricker D.2 : 0
    2Cerundolo J. M.Goffin D.2 : 1
    3Zahraj P.Burruchaga R. A.1 : 2
    4Majchrzak K.Buse I.1 : 2
    5Passaro F.Kym J.0 : 2
    6Cazaux A.Etcheverry T. M. (4)2 : 1
    7Comesana F. (7)Carballes Baena R.2 : 0
    8Shevchenko A.Bublik A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ruud C. (1)Cerundolo J. M.1 : 2
    2Burruchaga R. A.Buse I.1 : 2
    3Kym J.Cazaux A.1 : 2
    4Comesana F. (7)Bublik A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Cerundolo J. M.Buse I.2 : 0
    2Cazaux A.Bublik A. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Cerundolo J. M.Bublik A. (2)1 : 2