Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
07/02/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rosario, clay - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2

Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
01
1st serve percentage
50%72%
1st serve points won
88% (23/26)51% (22/43)
2nd serve points won
50% (13/26)35% (6/17)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)38% (3/8)
1st return points won
49% (21/43)38% (10/26)
2nd return points won
65% (11/17)50% (13/26)
Break Points Converted
63% (5/8)40% (2/5)
Winners
278
Unforced errors
2422
Net points won
73% (8/11)67% (4/6)
Service Points Won
69% (35/51)47% (28/60)
Return Points Won
53% (32/60)31% (16/51)
Total Points Won
60% (67/111)40% (44/111)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
80% (8/10)44% (4/9)
Return games won
56% (5/9)20% (2/10)
Total games won
68% (13/19)32% (6/19)

Chances of winning


Camilo Ugo Carabelli
45.7%
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9% 44.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Camilo Ugo Carabelli's form might have worsened.
  • Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juan Manuel Cerundolo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Camilo Ugo Carabelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juan Manuel Cerundolo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Juan Manuel Cerundolo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (1.73)

    1.72
    (2)
    6.9%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Juan Manuel Cerundolo?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ugo Carabelli: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli (votes: 2 - 50%). Cerundolo (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 48. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 85.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ugo Carabelli won 2.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Cerundolo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ugo Carabelli won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Juan Manuel Cerundolo were as follows:
    08.11.2024 Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Juan Manuel Cerundolo 0:2
    12.10.2024 Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Juan Manuel Cerundolo 2:0
    24.02.2024 Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Juan Manuel Cerundolo 0:2
    20.09.2023 Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Camilo Ugo Carabelli 1:2
    02.10.2022 Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Camilo Ugo Carabelli 2:1
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ugo Carabelli C. (1)Justo G. I. (Q)2 : 0
    2Diaz Acosta F.Marcondes I. (Q)2 : 0
    3La Serna J. M. (Q)Olivo R. (WC)2 : 1
    4Agamenone F. (Alt)Dellien H. (7)0 : 2
    5Cerundolo J. M. (4)Villanueva G. (Alt)2 : 0
    6Barrena A.Torres J. B. (WC)0 : 2
    7Rodriguez Taverna S.Ambrogi L. E. (Q)0 : 2
    8Estevez J. (Q)Pellegrino A. (8)1 : 2
    9Tseng C. H. (6)Casanova H. (RET.) (Q)1 : 0
    10Mena F.Monteiro T.2 : 0
    11Sanchez Izquierdo N.Collarini A.2 : 1
    12Seyboth Wild T.Aboian V. (LL)1 : 2
    13Burruchaga R. A. (5)Midon L.2 : 0
    14Meligeni Alves F.Olivieri G. A.0 : 2
    15Boscardin Dias P.Cecchinato M.2 : 1
    16Kicker N.Comesana F. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Ugo Carabelli C. (1)Diaz Acosta F.2 : 1
    2La Serna J. M.Dellien H. (7)0 : 2
    3Cerundolo J. M. (4)Torres J. B.2 : 1
    4Ambrogi L. E.Pellegrino A. (8)1 : 2
    5Tseng C. H. (6)Mena F.2 : 0
    6Sanchez Izquierdo N.Aboian V.0 : 2
    7Burruchaga R. A. (5)Olivieri G. A.2 : 0
    8Boscardin Dias P.Comesana F. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Ugo Carabelli C. (1)Dellien H. (7)2 : 0
    2Cerundolo J. M. (4)Pellegrino A. (8)2 : 0
    3Tseng C. H. (6)Aboian V.2 : 0
    4Burruchaga R. A. (5)Boscardin Dias P.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Ugo Carabelli C. (1)Cerundolo J. M. (4)2 : 0
    2Tseng C. H. (6)Burruchaga R. A. (5)0 : 2

    Final
    1Ugo Carabelli C. (1)Burruchaga R. A. (5)2 : 0