Result
1:2
24/02/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 66% | 59% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 53% (26/49) | 66% (37/56) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 52% (13/25) | 41% (16/39) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 50% (5/10) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 34% (19/56) | 47% (23/49) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 59% (23/39) | 48% (12/25) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 46% (6/13) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 17 | 29 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 33 | 50 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 67% (12/18) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (38/71) | 54% (50/92) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (42/92) | 46% (33/71) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (80/163) | 51% (83/163) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 64% (9/14) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 46% (6/13) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 44% (12/27) | 56% (15/27) |
Chances of winning
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
61.2% | Christian Garin
38.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Christian Garin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Christian Garin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.57) |
|
2.49 ↑
(2.38) |
4.8%
(5.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Christian Garin?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Garin will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cerundolo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Garin (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.5 Sets - Garin (4.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Cerundolo (votes: 2 - 50%). Garin (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 78. Garin is ranked ATP: 89.
- Cerundolo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Garin is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Garin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Cerundolo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Juan Manuel Cerundolo won against Christian Garin?
Juan Manuel Cerundolo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Christian Garin won against Juan Manuel Cerundolo?
Christian Garin has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Christian Garin were as follows:
Latest results of Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Latest results of Christian Garin
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Moller E. | Burruchaga R. A. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Passaro F. (RET.) (WC) | Vallejo D. (Q) | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Nava E. | Berrettini M. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Ugo Carabelli C. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Lajovic D. | Hanfmann Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Jarry N. (WC) | Prizmic D. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Soto M. (WC) | Gaubas V. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Tabilo A. (8) | Barrios Vera T. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Tirante T. A. | Buse I. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Cerundolo J. M. | Garin C. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Baez S. (3) | |
| 13 | Comesana F. (7) | Martinez P. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Pellegrino A. (Q) | Barrena A. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Navone M. | Kopriva V. (RET.) | 1 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Darderi L. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Moller E. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Vallejo D. | Nava E. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Ugo Carabelli C. (4) | Hanfmann Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Prizmic D. | Gaubas V. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Tabilo A. (8) | Tirante T. A. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Garin C. | Baez S. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Comesana F. (7) | Pellegrino A. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Navone M. | Darderi L. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Nava E. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Hanfmann Y. | Gaubas V. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Tabilo A. (8) | Baez S. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Pellegrino A. | Darderi L. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Hanfmann Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Baez S. (3) | Darderi L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Hanfmann Y. | Darderi L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
