Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Nicolas Jarry – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
17/02/2025 at 15:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro (Brazil), clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
412
Double Faults
73
1st Serve Percentage
64%64%
1st Serve Points Won
69% (44/64)73% (43/59)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (18/36)58% (19/33)
Break Points Saved
75% (9/12)60% (3/5)
1st Return Points Won
27% (16/59)31% (20/64)
2nd Return Points Won
42% (14/33)50% (18/36)
Break Points Converted
40% (2/5)25% (3/12)
Service Points Won
62% (62/100)67% (62/92)
Return Points Won
33% (30/92)38% (38/100)
Total Points Won
48% (92/192)52% (100/192)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
79% (11/14)87% (13/15)
Return Games Won
13% (2/15)21% (3/14)
Total Games Won
45% (13/29)55% (16/29)

Chances of winning


Juan Manuel Cerundolo
33.2%
Nicolas Jarry
66.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.7% 65.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 64.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juan Manuel Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Nicolas Jarry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Nicolas Jarry Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.85
    (2.63)

    1.43
    (1.4)
    5.2%
    (9.5%)
    What is the prediction for Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Nicolas Jarry?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Jarry will win (votes: 4 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 53.8%96.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 139. Jarry is ranked ATP: 40.
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Cerundolo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Jarry will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Cerundolo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:4 (average 0:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Nicolas Jarry were as follows:
    19.02.2023 Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Nicolas Jarry 0:2
    Latest results of Nicolas Jarry
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Navone M.2 : 0
    2Garin C.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    3Tabilo A.Nava E.2 : 0
    4Prizmic D. (Q)Passaro F. (LL)0 : 2
    5Fonseca J. (3)Monteiro T. (Q)2 : 0
    6Marcondes I. (Q)Buse I.1 : 2
    7Barrios Vera T. (LL)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    8Lajovic D. (LL)Altmaier D. (7)2 : 0
    9Etcheverry T. M. (8)Comesana F.2 : 1
    10Miguel L. (WC)Gaubas V. (Q)1 : 2
    11Dzumhur D.Martinez P.2 : 1
    12Faria J. (LL)Baez S. (4)2 : 0
    13Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Burruchaga R. A.0 : 2
    14Heide G. (WC)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    15Hanfmann Y.Reis Da Silva J. (WC)2 : 0
    16Cerundolo J. M.Darderi L. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (RET.) (1)Tirante T. A.0 : 1
    2Tabilo A.Passaro F.2 : 1
    3Fonseca J. (3)Buse I.1 : 2
    4Berrettini M.Lajovic D.2 : 1
    5Etcheverry T. M. (8)Gaubas V.2 : 0
    6Dzumhur D.Faria J.0 : 2
    7Burruchaga R. A.Kopriva V.0 : 2
    8Hanfmann Y.Cerundolo J. M.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Tirante T. A.Tabilo A.1 : 2
    2Buse I.Berrettini M.2 : 1
    3Etcheverry T. M. (8)Faria J.2 : 0
    4Kopriva V.Cerundolo J. M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Tabilo A.Buse I.2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M. (8)Kopriva V.2 : 1

    Final
    1Tabilo A.Etcheverry T. M. (8)1 : 2