Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Rio Noguchi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Tokyo Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Rio Noguchi
Result
2:0
21/09/2025 at 23:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
40
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
60%63%
1st Serve Points Won
86% (24/28)50% (15/30)
2nd Serve Points Won
47% (9/19)50% (9/18)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/1)0% (0/4)
1st Return Points Won
50% (15/30)14% (4/28)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (9/18)53% (10/19)
Break Points Converted
100% (4/4)100% (1/1)
Service Points Won
70% (33/47)50% (24/48)
Return Points Won
50% (24/48)30% (14/47)
Total Points Won
60% (57/95)40% (38/95)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
89% (8/9)50% (4/8)
Return Games Won
50% (4/8)11% (1/9)
Total Games Won
71% (12/17)29% (5/17)

Chances of winning


Juan Manuel Cerundolo
68.6%
Rio Noguchi
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.7% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juan Manuel Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Rio Noguchi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.34)

    3.09
    (3.23)
    3.2%
    (5.6%)
    What is the prediction for Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Rio Noguchi?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Noguchi will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Noguchi (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 72. Noguchi is ranked ATP: 214.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Noguchi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Cerundolo might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Juan Manuel Cerundolo
    Latest results of Rio Noguchi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.0 : 0
    2Bergs Z.Tabilo A.0 : 1
    3Thompson J.Nakashima B.1 : 2
    4Fucsovics M. (Q)Tiafoe F. (8)2 : 1
    5Ruud C. (4)Mochizuki S. (WC)2 : 1
    6Munar J.Berrettini M.0 : 2
    7Dzumhur D.Vukic A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Altmaier D.Shapovalov D. (7)2 : 0
    9Humbert U. (6)Brooksby J. (PR)0 : 2
    10Nishioka Y. (WC)Darderi L.0 : 2
    11Michelsen A.Quinn E. (Q)0 : 2
    12Medjedovic H.Rune H. (3)0 : 0
    13Machac T. (5)Shimabukuro S. (Q)0 : 2
    14Giron M.Korda S.1 : 2
    15Watanuki Y. (WC)Borges N.1 : 2
    16Diallo G.Fritz T. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2Nakashima B.Fucsovics M.
    3Ruud C. (4)Berrettini M.
    4Vukic A.Altmaier D.
    5Brooksby J.Darderi L.
    6Quinn E.TBD #12
    7Shimabukuro S.Korda S.
    8Borges N.Fritz T. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2