Juan Manuel La Serna vs Adhithya Ganesan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
25/11/2025 at 08:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Temuco, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
43
Double Faults
64
1st Serve Percentage
63%64%
1st Serve Points Won
73% (49/67)60% (45/75)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (17/39)63% (27/43)
Break Points Saved
75% (9/12)55% (6/11)
1st Return Points Won
43% (32/75)27% (18/67)
2nd Return Points Won
37% (16/43)56% (22/39)
Break Points Converted
45% (5/11)25% (3/12)
Winners
1531
Unforced Errors
4964
Net Points Won
71% (12/17)70% (14/20)
Service Points Won
62% (66/106)59% (70/118)
Return Points Won
41% (48/118)38% (40/106)
Total Points Won
51% (114/224)49% (110/224)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
82% (14/17)71% (12/17)
Return Games Won
29% (5/17)18% (3/17)
Total Games Won
56% (19/34)44% (15/34)

Chances of winning


Juan Manuel La Serna
38.4%
Adhithya Ganesan
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8% 67.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juan Manuel La Serna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Adhithya Ganesan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel La Serna than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juan Manuel La Serna that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adhithya Ganesan than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adhithya Ganesan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Juan Manuel La Serna - Adhithya Ganesan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.62)

    1.52
    (1.44)
    7.1%
    (7.7%)
    What is the prediction for Juan Manuel La Serna - Adhithya Ganesan?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. La Serna will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ganesan will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ganesan (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • La Serna is ranked ATP: 453. Ganesan is ranked ATP: 566.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Ganesan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Ganesan might have a minor edge in this game.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Adhithya Ganesan
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo J. M. (1)Ghibaudo A.2 : 0
    2Aguilar J. C. M.Negritu Ch.0 : 2
    3Cossu M. (WC)Ayeni A. (Q)0 : 2
    4Schachter N. (Q)Kicker N. (6)0 : 2
    5Diaz Acosta F. (4)Torrealba B. (WC)2 : 0
    6Milavsky D.Ribeiro E.1 : 2
    7Nunez D. A. (WC)Leite W. (Q)2 : 1
    8Gomez F. A.Boscardin Dias P. (8)2 : 0
    9Prado Angelo J. C. (5)Jarry Fillol D. (Q)2 : 0
    10Pucinelli de Almeida M.Villanueva G.0 : 2
    11Schiessl J. E.Kuhar M. (Q)0 : 2
    12Zarate C. M.Reis Da Silva J. (3)2 : 0
    13Midon L. (7)Andrade A.2 : 0
    14Kirchheimer S.Dutra Da Silva D.2 : 0
    15La Serna J. M.Ganesan A.2 : 1
    16Ratti L. (Q)Habib H. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo J. M. (1)Negritu Ch.2 : 0
    2Ayeni A.Kicker N. (6)2 : 0
    3Diaz Acosta F. (4)Ribeiro E.2 : 0
    4Nunez D. A.Gomez F. A.0 : 2
    5Prado Angelo J. C. (5)Villanueva G.2 : 1
    6Kuhar M.Zarate C. M.2 : 0
    7Midon L. (7)Kirchheimer S.2 : 1
    8La Serna J. M.Ratti L.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Cerundolo J. M. (1)Ayeni A.1 : 2
    2Diaz Acosta F. (4)Gomez F. A.1 : 2
    3Prado Angelo J. C. (5)Kuhar M.2 : 1
    4Midon L. (7)La Serna J. M.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Ayeni A.Gomez F. A.0 : 2
    2Prado Angelo J. C. (5)Midon L. (7)0 : 2

    Final
    1Gomez F. A.Midon L. (7)2 : 0