Juan Manuel La Serna vs Valerio Aboian – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
24/02/2026 at 14:50 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tigre 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
02
Double Faults
24
1st serve percentage
69%48%
1st serve points won
59% (32/54)66% (27/41)
2nd serve points won
58% (14/24)39% (17/44)
Break Points Saved
75% (6/8)64% (7/11)
1st return points won
34% (14/41)41% (22/54)
2nd return points won
61% (27/44)42% (10/24)
Break Points Converted
36% (4/11)25% (2/8)
Winners
2624
Unforced errors
3235
Net points won
87% (20/23)89% (8/9)
Service Points Won
59% (47/79)52% (44/85)
Return Points Won
48% (41/85)41% (32/79)
Total Points Won
54% (88/164)46% (76/164)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
01
Service games won
80% (8/10)60% (6/10)
Return games won
40% (4/10)20% (2/10)
Total games won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Juan Manuel La Serna
56.6%
Valerio Aboian
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6% 43.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juan Manuel La Serna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Valerio Aboian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Juan Manuel La Serna aligns with the current prediction.
  • The ML Model estimate for Valerio Aboian aligns with the current prediction.
  • Juan Manuel La Serna - Valerio Aboian Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.68)

    2.11
    (2.07)
    8.4%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Juan Manuel La Serna - Valerio Aboian?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aboian (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • La Serna is ranked ATP: 345. Aboian is ranked ATP: 470.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • La Serna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Serna won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Juan Manuel La Serna - Valerio Aboian were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Juan Manuel La Serna - Valerio Aboian 2:1
    08.12.2023 Juan Manuel La Serna - Valerio Aboian 1:2
    29.11.2023 Juan Manuel La Serna - Valerio Aboian 1:2
    14.11.2023 Juan Manuel La Serna - Valerio Aboian 0:2
    22.02.2023 Juan Manuel La Serna - Valerio Aboian 0:2
    Latest results of Valerio Aboian
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Den Ouden G. (RET.) (1)Dedura D. (Q)0 : 1
    2La Serna J. M. (WC)Aboian V. (Q)2 : 0
    3Aguilar Cardozo J. (Q)Ribeiro E. (Q)2 : 1
    4Varillas J. P.Midon L. (5)2 : 0
    5Prado Angelo J. C. (3)Damas M.0 : 2
    6Estevez J. (WC)Sanchez Jover C.0 : 2
    7Zarate C. M. (WC)Cadenasso G.1 : 2
    8Dutra Da Silva D.Collarini A. (8)2 : 0
    9Rodriguez Taverna S. (7)Sanchez Izquierdo N.0 : 2
    10Diaz Acosta F.Schiessl J. E. (Alt)2 : 0
    11Marcondes I. (Alt)Agamenone F.2 : 0
    12Torres J. B.Bueno G. (4)2 : 0
    13Olivieri G. A. (6)Ambrogi L. E. (Q)2 : 0
    14Sakamoto P. (Alt)Palosi S. (Q)0 : 2
    15Villanueva G. (Alt)Justo G. I.0 : 2
    16Roncadelli F.Guillen Meza A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Dedura D.La Serna J. M.2 : 0
    2Aguilar Cardozo J. (RET.)Varillas J. P.1 : 1
    3Damas M.Sanchez Jover C.2 : 0
    4Cadenasso G.Dutra Da Silva D.2 : 1
    5Sanchez Izquierdo N.Diaz Acosta F.0 : 2
    6Marcondes I.Torres J. B.0 : 2
    7Olivieri G. A. (6)Palosi S.1 : 2
    8Justo G. I.Guillen Meza A. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Dedura D.Varillas J. P.2 : 0
    2Damas M.Cadenasso G.2 : 0
    3Diaz Acosta F.Torres J. B.2 : 0
    4Palosi S.Guillen Meza A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Dedura D.Damas M.1 : 2
    2Diaz Acosta F.Guillen Meza A. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Damas M.Diaz Acosta F.1 : 2