Juan Manuel La Serna vs Valerio Aboian – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
24/02/2026 at 14:50 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tigre 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
02
Double Faults
24
1st serve percentage
69%48%
1st serve points won
59% (32/54)66% (27/41)
2nd serve points won
58% (14/24)39% (17/44)
Break Points Saved
75% (6/8)64% (7/11)
1st return points won
34% (14/41)41% (22/54)
2nd return points won
61% (27/44)42% (10/24)
Break Points Converted
36% (4/11)25% (2/8)
Winners
2624
Unforced errors
3235
Net points won
87% (20/23)89% (8/9)
Service Points Won
59% (47/79)52% (44/85)
Return Points Won
48% (41/85)41% (32/79)
Total Points Won
54% (88/164)46% (76/164)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
01
Service games won
80% (8/10)60% (6/10)
Return games won
40% (4/10)20% (2/10)
Total games won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Juan Manuel La Serna
56.6%
Valerio Aboian
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6% 43.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juan Manuel La Serna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Valerio Aboian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Juan Manuel La Serna aligns with the current prediction.
  • The ML Model estimate for Valerio Aboian aligns with the current prediction.
  • Juan Manuel La Serna - Valerio Aboian Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.68)

    2.11
    (2.07)
    8.4%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Juan Manuel La Serna - Valerio Aboian?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aboian (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • La Serna is ranked ATP: 345. Aboian is ranked ATP: 470.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • La Serna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Serna won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Juan Manuel La Serna - Valerio Aboian were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Juan Manuel La Serna - Valerio Aboian 2:1
    08.12.2023 Juan Manuel La Serna - Valerio Aboian 1:2
    29.11.2023 Juan Manuel La Serna - Valerio Aboian 1:2
    14.11.2023 Juan Manuel La Serna - Valerio Aboian 0:2
    22.02.2023 Juan Manuel La Serna - Valerio Aboian 0:2
    Latest results of Valerio Aboian
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Den Ouden G. (RET.) (1)Dedura D. (Q)0 : 1
    2La Serna J. M. (WC)Aboian V. (Q)2 : 0
    3Aguilar Cardozo J. (Q)Ribeiro E. (Q)2 : 1
    4Varillas J. P.Midon L. (5)2 : 0
    5Prado Angelo J. C. (3)Damas M.0 : 2
    6Estevez J. (WC)Sanchez Jover C.0 : 2
    7Zarate C. M. (WC)Cadenasso G.1 : 2
    8Dutra Da Silva D.Collarini A. (8)2 : 0
    9Rodriguez Taverna S. (7)Sanchez Izquierdo N.0 : 2
    10Diaz Acosta F.Schiessl J. E. (Alt)2 : 0
    11Marcondes I. (Alt)Agamenone F.2 : 0
    12Torres J. B.Bueno G. (4)2 : 0
    13Olivieri G. A. (6)Ambrogi L. E. (Q)2 : 0
    14Sakamoto P. (Alt)Palosi S. (Q)0 : 2
    15Villanueva G. (Alt)Justo G. I.0 : 2
    16Roncadelli F.Guillen Meza A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Dedura D.La Serna J. M.
    2Aguilar Cardozo J.Varillas J. P.
    3Damas M.Sanchez Jover C.
    4Cadenasso G.Dutra Da Silva D.
    5Sanchez Izquierdo N.Diaz Acosta F.
    6Marcondes I.Torres J. B.
    7Olivieri G. A. (6)Palosi S.
    8Justo G. I.Guillen Meza A. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2