Result
3:0
23/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (424/479) | 78% (261/336) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (424/479) | 78% (261/336) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (29/42) | 49% (35/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (98/124) | 60% (58/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 46% (6/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.04 | -2.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 30', Vega J. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Campodonico R. ⚽, Lliuya M. (A),
- 45+2', 2 - 0, Sernaque J. ⚽, Campodonico R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Aliaga R. ↓, Fernandez R. ↑,
- 46', Affonso M. ↓, Villar E. ↑,
- 46', Rasmussen M. ↓, Canova J. ↑,
- 46', Loyola N. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
- 61', Sernaque J. ↓, Mendieta J. ↑,
- 70', Campodonico R. ↓, Ramirez N. ↑,
- 71', Flores C. 🟨,
- 81', 3 - 0, Lliuya M. ⚽, Mena Y. (A),
- 82', Vega J. ↓, Rojas A. ↑,
- 83', Guevara B. ↓, Iraola G. ↑,
- 90+1', Escobar J. 🟨,
- 90+3', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
48.3% | Draw
27% | Juan Pablo II College
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianza Universidad de Huánuco's performance.Juan Pablo II College has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Pablo II College might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (-9.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza Universidad de Huánuco that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Pablo II College could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Juan Pablo II College Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(2.27) |
3.46 ↑
(3.43) |
3.73 ↑
(2.85) |
7.1%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Juan Pablo II College?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza Universidad (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 and 15).
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Juan Pablo II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Alianza Universidad could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Alianza Universidad: Gomez R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Juan Pablo II: Fernandez F.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alianza Universidad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Alianza Universidad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Universidad de Huánuco won against Juan Pablo II College?
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juan Pablo II College won against Alianza Universidad de Huánuco?
Juan Pablo II College has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Juan Pablo II College were as follows:
13.07.2025
Juan Pablo II College
-
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
1:0
23.06.2024
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
-
Juan Pablo II College
3:0
28.04.2024
Juan Pablo II College
-
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
1:1
Latest results of Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
Latest results of Juan Pablo II College
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Los Chankas | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 18:10 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22:12 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Cajamarca | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Cusco | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
| 8 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 | Alianza Atl | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | FBC Melgar | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Moquegua | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 10 |
| 14 | AD Tarma | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Sport Boys | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 | Grau | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | FC Cajamarca | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
