Juan Pablo II College vs Cienciano: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Juan Pablo II College - Cienciano
27/06/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 17
  • Referee: Ortega K. (Per)
Juan Pablo II College - Cienciano - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.931.17
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
67% (171/256)75% (261/348)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.931.17
xG on target (xGOT)
1.961.70
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2521
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
1217
Passes
67% (171/256)75% (261/348)
Long passes
41% (24/58)48% (31/65)
Passes in final third
53% (54/102)67% (64/95)
Crosses
24% (6/25)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.381.44
Throw-ins
2616
Fouls
1712
Tackles
93% (14/15)71% (15/21)
Duels won
5358
Clearances
1335
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.701.96
Goals prevented
-0.30-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Valoyes J. ,
  • 27', 0 - 2, Noronha O. ,
  • 31', Estrada J. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 2, Villar E. , Fernandez R. (A),
  • 43', Toledo J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Santillan I. , Agurto F. ,
  • 54', Alfani R. 🟨,
  • 61', Guevara A. 🟨,
  • 61', Tizon C. 🟨,
  • 65', Guevara A. , Soto J. ,
  • 67', Neira C. , Palomino R. ,
  • 67', Da Silva B. , La Torre D. ,
  • 70', Gomez A. 🟨,
  • 75', Gomez A. , Ortiz J. ,
  • 75', Noronha O. , Garces C. ,
  • 80', Rojas A. , Roca F. ,
  • 81', Gonzalez A. , Ascues A. ,
  • 88', Fernandez R. , Rodriguez N. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, Alfani R. , Tizon C. (A),

Chances of winning


Juan Pablo II College
43.1%
Draw
28.8%
Cienciano
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.3% 28.6% 38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4% 28.7% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juan Pablo II College has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juan Pablo II College's performance.
  • Cienciano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cienciano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juan Pablo II College that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cienciano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Juan Pablo II College - Cienciano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.8)
    3.3
    (3.26)
    3.18
    (2.45)
    5.8%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Juan Pablo II College - Cienciano?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Juan Pablo II will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Cienciano will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Juan Pablo II: 9.6%70.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Juan Pablo II (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 9).
    • Juan Pablo II has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cienciano is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Cienciano: Arias Fierro S. D. (Red Card) Ortiz D. (Face Injury)
    • There are questionable in Juan Pablo II: Toledo J. (Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Cienciano
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes16112337:122535
    2Alianza Lima16103318:10833
    3Alianza Atl16101527:161131
    4FBC Melgar1786327:19830
    5Cusco1684429:191028
    6Sporting Cristal1691628:22628
    7Deportivo Garcilaso1783628:181027
    8Sport Huancayo1683522:18427
    9Cienciano1657428:23522
    10Los Chankas1656523:24-121
    11Sport Boys1655625:25020
    12AD Tarma1655622:29-720
    13Grau1647520:22-219
    14Cajamarca1653817:33-1618
    15Binacional1645718:27-917
    16Juan Pablo II1644819:26-716
    17Comerciantes Unidos1625917:29-1211
    18Ayacucho16231112:27-159
    19Alianza Huanuco16151014:32-188

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