Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio vs Fabio Fognini – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Gstaad Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Fabio Fognini
Result
1:2
17/07/2024 at 04:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Gstaad (Switzerland), clay - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 2
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 2
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport 3
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2, SportKlub 4, SportKlub 5, SportKlub 6

Match Stats

Aces
32
Double Faults
13
1st Serve Percentage
58%56%
1st Serve Points Won
57% (36/63)74% (42/57)
2nd Serve Points Won
65% (30/46)48% (21/44)
Break Points Saved
33% (2/6)69% (9/13)
1st Return Points Won
26% (15/57)43% (27/63)
2nd Return Points Won
52% (23/44)35% (16/46)
Break Points Converted
31% (4/13)67% (4/6)
Winners
2930
Unforced Errors
2124
Net Points Won
60% (18/30)79% (11/14)
Max Points In Row
611
Service Points Won
62% (66/107)62% (61/99)
Return Points Won
38% (38/99)38% (41/107)
Total Points Won
50% (104/206)50% (102/206)
Max Games In Row
33
Service Games Won
76% (13/17)75% (12/16)
Return Games Won
25% (4/16)24% (4/17)
Total Games Won
52% (17/33)48% (16/33)

Chances of winning


Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
46.2%
Fabio Fognini
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 57.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Fabio Fognini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Fabio Fognini Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.07)

    1.77
    (1.71)
    5%
    (6.9%)
    What is the prediction for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Fabio Fognini?
  • Users Predictions: Fabio Fognini will win (26 of 32 users predict this - 81.25%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.73%94.77%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Varillas Patino-Samudio is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Fognini is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Varillas Patino-Samudio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Fabio Fognini
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ruud C. (1)Bye
    2Stricker D. (WC)Herbert P.2 : 1
    3Cerundolo J. M.Struff J-L.2 : 1
    4Landaluce M. (NG)Goffin D. (WC)0 : 2
    5Zahraj P. (LL)Bye
    6Burruchaga R. A.Svrcina D.2 : 0
    7Majchrzak K.Atmane T.2 : 1
    8Buse I. (Q)Djere L. (5)2 : 1
    9Rinderknech A. (8)Passaro F. (Q)0 : 2
    10Kym J. (WC)Hemery C. (Q)2 : 1
    11Cazaux A.Basilashvili N.2 : 1
    12ByeEtcheverry T. M. (4)
    13Comesana F. (7)Trungelliti M. (Q)2 : 0
    14Carballes Baena R.Taberner C.2 : 1
    15Shevchenko A.Wawrinka S.2 : 0
    16ByeBublik A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Ruud C. (1)Stricker D.2 : 0
    2Cerundolo J. M.Goffin D.2 : 1
    3Zahraj P.Burruchaga R. A.1 : 2
    4Majchrzak K.Buse I.1 : 2
    5Passaro F.Kym J.0 : 2
    6Cazaux A.Etcheverry T. M. (4)2 : 1
    7Comesana F. (7)Carballes Baena R.2 : 0
    8Shevchenko A.Bublik A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ruud C. (1)Cerundolo J. M.1 : 2
    2Burruchaga R. A.Buse I.1 : 2
    3Kym J.Cazaux A.1 : 2
    4Comesana F. (7)Bublik A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Cerundolo J. M.Buse I.2 : 0
    2Cazaux A.Bublik A. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Cerundolo J. M.Bublik A. (2)1 : 2