Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio vs Mateus Alves – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
13/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Curitiba - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
27
Double Faults
31
1st Serve Percentage
57%54%
1st Serve Points Won
58% (18/31)90% (19/21)
2nd Serve Points Won
35% (8/23)94% (17/18)
Break Points Saved
56% (5/9)0% (0/0)
1st Return Points Won
10% (2/21)42% (13/31)
2nd Return Points Won
6% (1/18)65% (15/23)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/0)44% (4/9)
Service Points Won
48% (26/54)91% (32/35)
Return Points Won
9% (3/35)52% (28/54)
Total Points Won
33% (29/89)67% (60/89)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
50% (4/8)100% (8/8)
Return Games Won
0% (0/8)50% (4/8)
Total Games Won
25% (4/16)75% (12/16)

Chances of winning


Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
43.8%
Mateus Alves
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.7% 42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7% 44.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio's form might have worsened.
  • Mateus Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mateus Alves's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mateus Alves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Mateus Alves Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (1.63)

    1.72
    (2.22)
    3.5%
    (6.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Varillas is ranked ATP: 313. Alves is ranked ATP: 462.
    • Recent performances by Varillas have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Alves is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Varillas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Varillas will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Nava E. (1)Vallejo D.0 : 2
    2Collarini A.Soto M. (Alt)1 : 2
    3Tobon M. (Q)Dellien Velasco M. A.1 : 2
    4Reis Da Silva J.Barrios Vera T. (6)1 : 2
    5Dellien H. (4)Alves M. (Q)2 : 1
    6Thanos A. (Q)Dutra Da Silva D. (LL)0 : 2
    7Pucinelli de Almeida M. (Alt)Hernandez A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Schiessl J. E. (WC)Barrena A. (8)2 : 0
    9Burruchaga R. A. (5)Miguel L. (WC)2 : 0
    10Diaz Acosta F.Guillen Meza A.2 : 0
    11Sanchez Izquierdo N. (Alt)Bueno G.0 : 2
    12Kicker N. (Alt)Monteiro T. (9)1 : 2
    13Ficovich J. P. (7)Pacheco Mendez R.1 : 2
    14Heide G. (Q)Prado Angelo J. C.1 : 2
    15Ribeiro E. (WC)Boscardin Dias P. (Q)1 : 2
    16Rodriguez Taverna S.Tirante T. A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Vallejo D.Soto M.2 : 0
    2Dellien Velasco M. A.Barrios Vera T. (6)0 : 2
    3Dellien H. (4)Dutra Da Silva D.0 : 2
    4Hernandez A.Schiessl J. E.1 : 2
    5Burruchaga R. A. (5)Diaz Acosta F.2 : 0
    6Bueno G.Monteiro T. (9)2 : 0
    7Pacheco Mendez R.Prado Angelo J. C.0 : 2
    8Boscardin Dias P.Tirante T. A. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Vallejo D.Barrios Vera T. (6)2 : 1
    2Dutra Da Silva D.Schiessl J. E.0 : 2
    3Burruchaga R. A. (5)Bueno G.2 : 0
    4Prado Angelo J. C.Boscardin Dias P.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Vallejo D.Schiessl J. E.2 : 0
    2Burruchaga R. A. (5)Boscardin Dias P.1 : 2

    Final
    1Vallejo D.Boscardin Dias P.2 : 0