Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Campinas Challenger Men Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Result
2:1
04/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Campinas, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
92
Double Faults
34
1st Serve Percentage
62%57%
1st Serve Points Won
68% (42/62)63% (35/56)
2nd Serve Points Won
53% (20/38)56% (24/43)
Break Points Saved
67% (6/9)58% (7/12)
1st Return Points Won
38% (21/56)32% (20/62)
2nd Return Points Won
44% (19/43)47% (18/38)
Break Points Converted
42% (5/12)33% (3/9)
Service Points Won
62% (62/100)60% (59/99)
Return Points Won
40% (40/99)38% (38/100)
Total Points Won
51% (102/199)49% (97/199)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
81% (13/16)67% (10/15)
Return Games Won
33% (5/15)19% (3/16)
Total Games Won
58% (18/31)42% (13/31)

Chances of winning


Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
48.3%
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.4% 44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1% 44.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio's form might have worsened.
  • Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.68)

    1.8
    (2.09)
    8%
    (7.5%)
    What is the prediction for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Varillas will win (votes: 8 - 27.6%). Pucinelli De Almeida will win (votes: 21 - 72.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pucinelli De Almeida: 56.1%88.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Varillas is ranked ATP: 269. Pucinelli De Almeida is ranked ATP: 330.
    • Both players are now playing unstable.
    • Pucinelli De Almeida could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Varillas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida were as follows:
    10.03.2025 Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 1:2
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Barrios Vera T. (1)Ambrogi L. E.2 : 1
    2Olivo R.Reis Da Silva J.0 : 2
    3Boscardin Dias P.Ribeiro E. (WC)0 : 2
    4Bertola R.Couacaud E. (5)0 : 2
    5Varillas J. P. (4)Torres J. B.2 : 0
    6Mochizuki Y. (Q)Pucinelli de Almeida M.0 : 2
    7Sakamoto P.Monzon I. (Q)2 : 0
    8Nunez D. A. (Q)Bueno G. (8)1 : 2
    9Guillen Meza A. (7)Ribeiro de Almeida G. (WC)2 : 0
    10Kestelboim M. (Alt)Justo G. I.2 : 0
    11Prado Angelo J. C.Nesterov P.2 : 0
    12Pereira J. (Alt)Collarini A. (3)0 : 2
    13Soto M. (6)Villanueva G.2 : 0
    14Huertas Del Pino C. (Q)Albieri G. (WC)2 : 1
    15Camargo Lima E. (Q)Dutra Da Silva D.0 : 2
    16Jones M. (Q)Mena F. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Barrios Vera T. (1)Reis Da Silva J.2 : 1
    2Ribeiro E.Couacaud E. (5)2 : 0
    3Varillas J. P. (4)Pucinelli de Almeida M.2 : 1
    4Sakamoto P.Bueno G. (8)1 : 2
    5Guillen Meza A. (7)Kestelboim M.2 : 0
    6Prado Angelo J. C.Collarini A. (3)2 : 1
    7Soto M. (6)Huertas Del Pino C.2 : 1
    8Dutra Da Silva D.Mena F. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Barrios Vera T. (1)Ribeiro E.2 : 0
    2Varillas J. P. (4)Bueno G. (8)2 : 0
    3Guillen Meza A. (7)Prado Angelo J. C.2 : 1
    4Soto M. (6)Dutra Da Silva D.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Barrios Vera T. (1)Varillas J. P. (4)2 : 0
    2Guillen Meza A. (7)Soto M. (6)2 : 0

    Final
    1Barrios Vera T. (1)Guillen Meza A. (7)2 : 0