Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio vs Nicolas Mejia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
28/11/2025 at 15:50 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bogota 4, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
37
Double Faults
27
1st Serve Percentage
57%48%
1st Serve Points Won
59% (23/39)89% (34/38)
2nd Serve Points Won
63% (19/30)40% (17/42)
Break Points Saved
67% (6/9)88% (7/8)
1st Return Points Won
18% (7/38)41% (16/39)
2nd Return Points Won
60% (25/42)37% (11/30)
Break Points Converted
13% (1/8)33% (3/9)
Winners
1224
Unforced Errors
3135
Net Points Won
78% (7/9)75% (9/12)
Service Points Won
62% (42/68)64% (51/80)
Return Points Won
36% (29/80)38% (26/68)
Total Points Won
48% (71/148)52% (77/148)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
70% (7/10)90% (9/10)
Return Games Won
10% (1/10)30% (3/10)
Total Games Won
40% (8/20)60% (12/20)

Chances of winning


Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
59.1%
Nicolas Mejia
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.5% 39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Nicolas Mejia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Mejia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Nicolas Mejia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.52)

    2.29
    (2.33)
    7%
    (8.7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Varillas is ranked ATP: 270. Mejia is ranked ATP: 216.
    • Varillas is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Mejia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Varillas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Varillas will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Varillas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Nicolas Mejia were as follows:
    21.10.2022 Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Nicolas Mejia 2:0
    Latest results of Nicolas Mejia
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ficovich J. P. (1)Alves M.2 : 1
    2Price S. (WC)McCormick T.0 : 2
    3Saraiva Dos Santos P. A.Barrientos N. (Q)1 : 2
    4Hernandez A.Johns G. (7)2 : 0
    5Popko D. (RET.) (4)Poling K. (Q)1 : 0
    6Heredia S. (WC)Gomez J. S. (Q)0 : 2
    7Jorda Sanchis D.Campana Lee G. (LL)2 : 0
    8Torres J. B.Kozlov S. (8)1 : 2
    9Dellien Velasco M. A. (6)Martin D.2 : 0
    10Magadan A. (Q)Bertran P. (Q)0 : 2
    11McKennon M.Dickerson R. (Q)2 : 1
    12Mena F.Pacheco Mendez R. (3)2 : 0
    13Rodriguez Taverna S. (5)Linde Palacios S. A. (WC)2 : 1
    14Varillas J. P.Rodriguez L. J.2 : 0
    15Martinez A.Tobon M. (Alt)2 : 0
    16Gima S.Mejia N. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Ficovich J. P. (1)McCormick T.2 : 1
    2Barrientos N.Hernandez A.2 : 0
    3Poling K.Gomez J. S.1 : 2
    4Jorda Sanchis D.Kozlov S. (8)0 : 2
    5Dellien Velasco M. A. (6)Bertran P.2 : 0
    6McKennon M.Mena F.0 : 2
    7Rodriguez Taverna S. (5)Varillas J. P.0 : 2
    8Martinez A.Mejia N. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ficovich J. P. (1)Barrientos N.2 : 0
    2Gomez J. S.Kozlov S. (8)2 : 1
    3Dellien Velasco M. A. (6)Mena F.0 : 2
    4Varillas J. P.Mejia N. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Ficovich J. P. (1)Gomez J. S.1 : 2
    2Mena F.Mejia N. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Gomez J. S.Mejia N. (2)0 : 2