Toluca U23 vs Juárez U23 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX U23 Toluca U23 - Juárez U23
Result
4:1
11/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX U23 - Clausura - Play Offs - Final

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
25
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 🟨,
  • 14', 🟨,
  • 30', 🟨,
  • 32', 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 0, ,
  • 36', 🟨,
  • 36', 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 50', 2 - 0, ,
  • 54', 🟨,
  • 61', 🟨,
  • 67', 3 - 0, ,
  • 73', 3 - 1, ,
  • 81', 4 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Toluca U23
46.3%
Draw
29.7%
Juárez U23
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.9% 27.7% 25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 26.7% 24.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toluca U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Juárez U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca U23 than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juárez U23 than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Toluca U23 - Juárez U23 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.96)
    3.08
    (3.32)
    3.81
    (3.61)
    9.5%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX U23 (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX U23 (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Toluca U23 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Juárez U23 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Juárez U23 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Toluca U23 could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Toluca U23 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Toluca U23 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca U23 - Juárez U23 were as follows:
    08.05.2025 Juárez U23 - Toluca U23 1:1
    13.07.2024 Toluca U23 - Juárez U23 1:2
    08.03.2024 Juárez U23 - Toluca U23 1:0
    Latest results of Toluca U23
    Latest results of Juárez U23
    08.05.2025 Juárez U23 - Toluca U23 1:1
    04.05.2025 Juárez U23 - Pachuca U23 2:1
    01.05.2025 Pachuca U23 - Juárez U23 2:1
    27.04.2025 Juárez U23 - Necaxa U23 1:0
    24.04.2025 Necaxa U23 - Juárez U23 0:0
    Draw
    Clausura - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Toluca U23 (1)Atl. San Luis U23 (8)2 : 0, 2 : 0
    2Cruz Azul U23 (3)Santos Laguna U23 (6)2 : 4, 1 : 1
    3Juarez U23 (2)Necaxa U23 (7)1 : 0, 0 : 0
    4Monterrey U23 (4)Pachuca U23 (5)1 : 1, 0 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Toluca U23 (1)Santos Laguna U23 (6)4 : 0, 0 : 1
    2Juarez U23 (2)Pachuca U23 (5)2 : 1, 1 : 2

    Final
    1Toluca U23 (1)Juarez U23 (2)4 : 1, 1 : 1