Result
3:1
20/11/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Play In - Semi-finals
- Referee: Ortiz M. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Caliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 0.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (462/522) | 76% (177/234) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 0.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.63 | 0.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (462/522) | 76% (177/234) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (42/69) | 36% (14/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (77/108) | 55% (26/47) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (7/25) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (17/19) | 86% (6/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.36 | 2.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | -0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', Estupinan O. 🟨,
- 9', El Ghezouani M. 🟨,
- 12', 0 - 1, Estupinan O. ⚽, Mayorga A. (A),
- 31', 1 - 1, El Ghezouani M. ⚽, Vega A. (A),
- 45+2', Martinez Yepez H. E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Fulgencio R. ↓, Puma ↑,
- 52', Tona I. 🟨,
- 54', Mayorga A. 🟥,
- 59', 2 - 1, Mora G. (Pen),
- 60', Pizarro R. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 67', Guilherme Castilho 🟨,
- 74', Garcia D. 🟨,
- 74', Estupinan O. ↓, Zaldivar A. ↑,
- 74', Madson ↓, Torres Ramirez I. J. M. ↑,
- 77', Mora G. ↓, Corona J. ↑,
- 77', Blanco D. ↓, Preciado A. ↑,
- 77', Inzunza R. ↓, Mejia A. ↑,
- 80', Guilherme Castilho ↓, Ricardinho ↑,
- 90', Castaneda K. ↓, Bullaude E. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 1, Bullaude E. ⚽, Vega A. (A),
- 90+4', Tona I. ↓, Padilla G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tijuana
43.1% | Draw
27.9% | Juárez
29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Juárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Tijuana - Juárez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↑
(2.05) |
3.42 ↓
(3.6) |
3.23 ↑
(3.05) |
5.9%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Tijuana - Juárez?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Tijuana will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Juárez will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tijuana (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 2.
- Recent form of Tijuana has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Juárez has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Tijuana is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tijuana won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against Juárez?
Tijuana has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juárez won against Tijuana?
Juárez has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tijuana - Juárez were as follows:
25.07.2025
Tijuana
-
Juárez
1:1
14.02.2025
Tijuana
-
Juárez
1:2
06.11.2024
Juárez
-
Tijuana
1:1
14.04.2024
Juárez
-
Tijuana
0:1
29.09.2023
Tijuana
-
Juárez
5:1
Latest results of Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Toluca | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 18 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 18 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 15:7 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | Pachuca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Tigres UANL | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Atlas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 | Club America | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Club Tijuana | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Puebla | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Juarez | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9:23 | -14 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
