Result
1:2
10/04/2026 at 23:06 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, FOX One |
 Usa | Estrella TV, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, NBC Universo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.88 | 1.57 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (230/289) | 88% (430/487) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.88 | 1.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 2.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (230/289) | 88% (430/487) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (22/40) | 49% (17/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (67/99) | 74% (69/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (4/25) | 35% (8/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.85 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 28 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.20 | 0.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', Monchu 🟥,
- 11', Tona I. 🟨,
- 30', Gomez A. 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 1, Castaneda K. ⚽, El Ghezouani M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Perez A. ↓, Blanco D. ↑,
- 54', 0 - 2, Arciga R. ⚽,
- 62', Estupinan O. ↓, Guilherme Castilho ↑,
- 62', Puma ↓, Ayon E. ↑,
- 63', Pizarro R. ↓, Martinez Yepez H. E. ↑,
- 63', Torres Ramirez I. J. M. ↓, Dupuy L. ↑,
- 63', Tona I. ↓, Mora G. ↑,
- 71', El Ghezouani M. ↓, Abreu D. ↑,
- 72', Arciga R. ↓, Preciado A. ↑,
- 77', Garcia D. ↓, Madson ↑,
- 81', Castaneda K. ↓, Boya F. ↑,
- 84', Martinez Yepez H. E. 🟨,
- 89', 1 - 2, Guilherme Castilho (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+6', Murillo J. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Juárez
56.7% | Draw
23.6% | Tijuana
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juárez's performance.Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tijuana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juárez that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tijuana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Juárez - Tijuana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.9) |
3.97 ↑
(3.48) |
4.72 ↑
(3.52) |
6.5%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Juárez - Tijuana?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Juárez will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Juárez (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.75 - Juárez (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Juárez (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Juárez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Juárez is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Juárez: Romero B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Juárez: Nevarez Pulgarin F. J.
(Injury)
Ricardinho
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Tijuana: Mora G.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Juárez won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1.1:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Juárez won against Tijuana?
Juárez has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against Juárez?
Tijuana has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juárez - Tijuana were as follows:
20.11.2025
Tijuana
-
Juárez
3:1
25.07.2025
Tijuana
-
Juárez
1:1
14.02.2025
Tijuana
-
Juárez
1:2
06.11.2024
Juárez
-
Tijuana
1:1
14.04.2024
Juárez
-
Tijuana
0:1
Latest results of Tijuana
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | UNAM Pumas (1) | Club America (8) | |
| 2 | Pachuca (4) | Toluca (5) | |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas (2) | Tigres UANL (7) | 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul (3) | Atlas (6) | 3 : 2 |
