Albirex Niigata vs Júbilo Iwata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Albirex Niigata - Júbilo Iwata
Result
2:2
07/08/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • JAPAN: J1 League - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
159
Shots on Goal
63
Shots off Goal
96
Free Kicks
1410
Corner Kicks
65
Offsides
11
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Fouls
914
Red Cards
01
Yellow Cards
13
Total Passes
553440
Completed Passes
473345
Tackles
1515
Attacks
105108
Dangerous Attacks
4438
Clearances Completed
1518
Crosses Completed
95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Miyamoto E. , Akiyama H. (A),
  • 20', Ono Y. 🟨,
  • 25', Yamada H. 🟨,
  • 27', 2 - 0, Akiyama H. , Horigome Y. (A),
  • 45+1', Suzuki K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Uehara R. , Matsumoto M. ,
  • 46', Yamada H. , Matheus Peixoto ,
  • 57', Croux J. , Bruno Jose ,
  • 57', Kaneko S. , Furukawa Y. ,
  • 57', Germain R. 🟨,
  • 66', 2 - 1, Germain R. ,
  • 70', Ono Y. , Taniguchi K. ,
  • 70', Matsuda E. , Danilo Gomes ,
  • 80', Horigome Y. , Inamura H. ,
  • 86', Leo Gomes , Watanabe R. ,
  • 88', Matheus Peixoto 🟥,
  • 90+1', 2 - 2, Germain R. , Watanabe R. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Albirex Niigata
53.6%
Draw
25.3%
Júbilo Iwata
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.7% 27.4% 26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 22.5% 32.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Albirex Niigata's performance.
  • Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Júbilo Iwata might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-16.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Albirex Niigata that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Júbilo Iwata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Albirex Niigata - Júbilo Iwata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (2.07)
    3.72
    (3.45)
    4.44
    (3.52)
    6.5%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Júbilo Iwata?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%). Iwata will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Niigata: 43.5%83.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Niigata won 0.
    • Recent matches Niigata is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Iwata is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Niigata could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Niigata is a favorite.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Niigata won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14-21.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Niigata won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-10.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Júbilo Iwata were as follows:
    03.04.2024 Júbilo Iwata - Albirex Niigata 2:0
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Latest results of Júbilo Iwata
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers34206852:282466
    2Kashiwa Reysol341712553:332063
    3Kyoto341710758:362261
    4Vissel Kobe34187943:281561
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima34178939:231659
    6Kawasaki Frontale341511865:481756
    7Machida341681049:351456
    8Urawa Reds3414101040:36452
    9Gamba Osaka341551446:52-650
    10Cerezo Osaka3412101252:50246
    11FC Tokyo341191436:46-1042
    12Verdy341191422:35-1342
    13Avispa Fukuoka3410111332:37-541
    14Shimizu S-Pulse3410111338:44-641
    15Okayama341181530:37-741
    16Nagoya Grampus3410101442:50-840
    17Yokohama F. Marinos34971836:44-834
    18Yokohama FC34881823:39-1632
    19Shonan Bellmare34682029:58-2926
    20Albirex Niigata344102030:56-2622

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League