Judd Trump vs Guodong Xiao – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:3
30/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • German Masters - Quarter-finals

Chances of winning


Judd Trump
70.7%
Guodong Xiao
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.3% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1% 32.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Judd Trump has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Guodong Xiao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Judd Trump than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guodong Xiao than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Judd Trump - Guodong Xiao Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.3)

    3.16
    (3.08)
    6.8%
    (9.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Trump is ranked World Ranking: 1. Xiao is ranked World Ranking: 11.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trump won 5.
    • Right now, both players are showing solid form.
    • Xiao may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Trump is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Trump won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 32:17. (average 4:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Judd Trump - Guodong Xiao were as follows:
    04.02.2025 Judd Trump - Guodong Xiao 3:2
    01.03.2023 Judd Trump - Guodong Xiao 3:1
    20.01.2023 Judd Trump - Guodong Xiao 5:3
    01.12.2022 Judd Trump - Guodong Xiao 4:2
    15.11.2022 Judd Trump - Guodong Xiao 6:5
    Latest results of Judd Trump
    29.01.2026 Judd Trump - Si Jiahui 5:2
    28.01.2026 Judd Trump - Ryan Day 5:0
    17.01.2026 Judd Trump - John Higgins 5:6
    15.01.2026 Judd Trump - Mark Allen 6:2
    Latest results of Guodong Xiao
    Draw
    Main

    1/16-finals
    1Wilson K.McGill A.5 : 1
    2Hawkins B.Zhang A.2 : 5
    3Yang G.Allen M.3 : 5
    4Leclercq J.Murphy S.1 : 5
    5Williams M.Robertson J.3 : 5
    6Brown J.Jones Jak0 : 5
    7Slessor E.Chadha I.3 : 5
    8Pang J.Robertson N.2 : 5
    9Trump J.Day R.5 : 0
    10Si JiahuiGilbert D.5 : 4
    11Lisowski J.Xiao G.1 : 5
    12Zhou Y.Higgins J.3 : 5
    13Selby M.Si X.4 : 5
    14O'Sullivan R.Carter A.3 : 5
    15Bingham S.Donaldson S.5 : 2
    16Ford T.Zhao X.5 : 3

    1/8-finals
    1Wilson K.Zhang A.5 : 2
    2Allen M.Murphy S.0 : 5
    3Robertson J.Jones Jak5 : 2
    4Chadha I.Robertson N.0 : 5
    5Trump J.Si Jiahui5 : 2
    6Xiao G.Higgins J.5 : 3
    7Si X.Carter A.0 : 5
    8Bingham S.Ford T.5 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Wilson K.Murphy S.1 : 5
    2Robertson J.Robertson N.1 : 5
    3Trump J.Xiao G.5 : 3
    4Carter A.Bingham S.5 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Murphy S.Robertson N.6 : 1
    2Trump J.Carter A.6 : 2

    Final
    1Murphy S.Trump J.4 : 10