Julian Erosa vs Melquizael Costa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

MMA Featherweight UFC Men
MMA Featherweight UFC Men Julian Erosa - Melquizael Costa
Result
Costa M. win
17/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FEATHERWEIGHT - MEN: UFC
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN 2
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalSport TV2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports Premium
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 1

Chances of winning


Julian Erosa
39%		Melquizael Costa
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 63.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Julian Erosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Melquizael Costa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
    •

    Julian Erosa - Melquizael Costa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.46 ↓
    (2.6)
    		1.56 ↑
    (1.49)    		 5%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    •
    Preview Facts
    • No spectators.
    • Costa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In recent times, the fighters did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Julian Erosa
    12.04.2025 Darren Elkins - Julian Erosa Erosa J. - 1st Round TKO ✺
    13.07.2024 Julian Erosa - Christian Rodriguez Erosa J. - 1st Round TKO ✺
    23.03.2024 Ricardo Lucas Ramos - Julian Erosa TKO/1:TKO/1 ✺
    Latest results of Melquizael Costa
    29.03.2025 Christian Rodriguez - Melquizael Costa Costa M. win ✺
    22.02.2025 Andre Fili - Melquizael Costa Costa M. - 1st Round TKO ✺
    15.06.2024 Melquizael Costa - Yilan Sha Costa M. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
    09.12.2023 Steve Garcia - Melquizael Costa Garcia S. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
    02.12.2023 Steve Garcia - Melquizael Costa Canceled ✺
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