Result
0:1
31/03/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 11
- Referee: Gracia Benitez L. D. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.19 | 1.18 |
Ball Possession |
---|
52% | 48% |
Total shots |
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19 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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9 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
82% (262/318) | 80% (246/309) |
Yellow Cards |
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3 | 3 |
Red Cards |
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0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.19 | 1.18 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.32 | 1.09 |
Total shots |
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19 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
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6 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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9 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
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17 | 8 |
Offsides |
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1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
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9 | 15 |
Passes |
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82% (262/318) | 80% (246/309) |
Long passes |
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41% (19/46) | 37% (20/54) |
Passes in final third |
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63% (53/84) | 53% (31/59) |
Crosses |
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43% (10/23) | 57% (4/7) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.39 | 0.26 |
Fouls |
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15 | 9 |
Tackles |
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100% (9/9) | 67% (10/15) |
Duels won |
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31 | 39 |
Clearances Total |
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9 | 17 |
Interceptions |
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4 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.09 | 0.32 |
Goals prevented |
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0.09 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Castrillon B. 🟥,
- 45+1', Herrera E. 🟨,
- 45+2', Orozco S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Angel Amaya Pena M. ↓, Polanco D. ↑,
- 46', Orozco S. ↓, Castro Espinosa B. D. ↑,
- 56', 0 - 1, Gonzalez L. (Pen),
- 64', Enamorado J. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
- 64', Gonzalez L. ↓, Angel Bernal F. S. ↑,
- 64', Del Valle A. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
- 71', Gutierrez T. ↓, Caicedo D. ↑,
- 71', Chara Y. ↓, Mosquera Moreno Y. ↑,
- 80', Correa A. 🟨,
- 80', Gutierrez T. 🟨,
- 85', Mayo S. ↓, Torralvo A. ↑,
- 85', Tegue G. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
- 87', Mosquera Moreno Y. 🟨,
- 87', Mosquera Moreno Y. ↓, Paiva G. ↑,
- 88', Torralvo A. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/bdh44m56
Chances of winning
Deportivo La Equidad 40.7% | Draw 30.3% | Junior Barranquilla 29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo La Equidad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo La Equidad's performance.Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Junior Barranquilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo La Equidad that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Junior Barranquilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo La Equidad - Junior Barranquilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.29 ↓ (2.7) |
3.08 ↓ (3.15) |
3.22 ↑ (2.62) |
7.2% (7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Deportivo La Equidad - Junior Barranquilla?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. La Equidad will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Junior will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Junior: 15.2% – 64.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches La Equidad won 1.
- La Equidad is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Junior is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- La Equidad could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- La Equidad will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches La Equidad won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 8:21 (average 0.4:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams La Equidad won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 0.6:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Equidad won against Junior Barranquilla?
Deportivo La Equidad has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Junior Barranquilla won against Deportivo La Equidad?
Junior Barranquilla has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo La Equidad - Junior Barranquilla were as follows:
12.10.2024
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Junior Barranquilla
1:0
29.03.2024
Junior Barranquilla
-
Deportivo La Equidad
1:0
19.08.2023
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Junior Barranquilla
0:0
25.02.2023
Junior Barranquilla
-
Deportivo La Equidad
1:0
Latest results of Deportivo La Equidad
Latest results of Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Atl. Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
2 | Junior | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
3 | Fortaleza | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
5 | Chico | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
6 | Pereira | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
7 | Alianza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
8 | Dep. Pasto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
10 | Llaneros | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 |
11 | Aguilas | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
12 | Bucaramanga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
13 | America De Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
14 | U. Magdalena | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
15 | Envigado | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
16 | Ind. Medellin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
17 | La Equidad | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
18 | Dep. Cali | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
19 | Millonarios | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Once Caldas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )