Result
1:1
12/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.97 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 72% | 28% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (507/600) | 67% (155/232) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (507/600) | 67% (155/232) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (42/66) | 33% (16/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (138/190) | 48% (27/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (11/31) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | 0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Rivas J. ↓, Castrillon B. ↑,
- 53', Celis G. ↓, Gutierrez T. ↑,
- 69', Chara Y. ↓, Titi ↑,
- 70', 1 - 0, Paiva G. ⚽, Castrillon B. (A),
- 72', Parra Atehortua K. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
- 73', Enamorado J. 🟨,
- 75', Paiva G. ↓, Esparragoza C. ↑,
- 81', Castilla J. ↓, Monaco M. ↑,
- 81', Masllorens J. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
- 87', Mayo S. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
- 87', Abonia Y. ↓, Julio R. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 1, Bolivar J. ⚽,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/424haps3
Chances of winning
Junior Barranquilla
70.9% | Draw
19.4% | Deportivo La Equidad
9.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Junior Barranquilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo La Equidad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↓
(1.38) |
4.75 ↑
(4) |
9.66 ↑
(8.5) |
6.7%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo La Equidad?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Junior will win (votes: 19 - 95%). La Equidad will win (votes: 1 - 5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Junior: 85.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Junior Barranquilla will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Junior won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- La Equidad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Junior is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Junior won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:7. (average 1:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Junior won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:2. (average 1.7:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Junior Barranquilla won against Deportivo La Equidad?
Junior Barranquilla has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Equidad won against Junior Barranquilla?
Deportivo La Equidad has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo La Equidad were as follows:
31.03.2025
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Junior Barranquilla
0:1
12.10.2024
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Junior Barranquilla
1:0
29.03.2024
Junior Barranquilla
-
Deportivo La Equidad
1:0
19.08.2023
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Junior Barranquilla
0:0
25.02.2023
Junior Barranquilla
-
Deportivo La Equidad
1:0
Latest results of Junior Barranquilla
Latest results of Deportivo La Equidad
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 30:19 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 26:12 | 14 | 30 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 33:21 | 12 | 30 |
| 4 | Atl. Nacional | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:19 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21:16 | 5 | 28 |
| 6 | Llaneros | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 16:14 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 18:14 | 4 | 23 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Aguilas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
| 10 | America De Cali | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
| 11 | Alianza | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 | Dep. Cali | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Once Caldas | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 19 |
| 14 | Pereira | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 | U. Magdalena | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | Millonarios | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 18:23 | -5 | 17 |
| 17 | Envigado | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 19:25 | -6 | 13 |
| 19 | Chico | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 13 |
| 20 | La Equidad | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 9:22 | -13 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
