Junior Barranquilla vs Deportivo La Equidad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez (Barranquilla).

Primera A - Clausura - Round 11
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.53	0.97
Ball Possession
72%	28%
Total shots
19	9
Shots on target
6	2
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
16	5
Passes
85% (507/600)	67% (155/232)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53	0.97
xG on target (xGOT)
1.50	1.10
Total shots
19	9
Shots on target
6	2
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked Shots
7	2
Shots inside the Box
15	5
Shots outside the Box
4	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
16	5
Touches in opposition box
29	12
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
8	7
Passes
85% (507/600)	67% (155/232)
Long passes
64% (42/66)	33% (16/49)
Passes in final third
73% (138/190)	48% (27/56)
Crosses
35% (11/31)	18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.34	0.59
Throw-ins
21	14
Fouls
9	8
Tackles
67% (10/15)	80% (8/10)
Duels won
40	30
Clearances
14	41
Interceptions
6	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
1.10	1.50
Goals prevented
0.10	0.50

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Rivas J. ↓, Castrillon B. ↑,
53', Celis G. ↓, Gutierrez T. ↑,
69', Chara Y. ↓, Titi ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Paiva G. ⚽, Castrillon B. (A),
72', Parra Atehortua K. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
73', Enamorado J. 🟨,
75', Paiva G. ↓, Esparragoza C. ↑,
81', Castilla J. ↓, Monaco M. ↑,
81', Masllorens J. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
87', Mayo S. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
87', Abonia Y. ↓, Julio R. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Bolivar J. ⚽,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/424haps3

Chances of winning

Junior Barranquilla
70.9%

Draw
19.4%

Deportivo La Equidad
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

22.9%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

22%

10.4%

Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo La Equidad Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.38)	4.75 ↑ (4)	9.66 ↑ (8.5)	6.7% (9.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo La Equidad?

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Junior will win (votes: 19 - 95%). La Equidad will win (votes: 1 - 5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Junior: 85.4% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Junior Barranquilla will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Junior won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
La Equidad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Junior is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Junior won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:7. (average 1:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Junior won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:2. (average 1.7:0.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Junior Barranquilla won against Deportivo La Equidad?

Junior Barranquilla has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Equidad won against Junior Barranquilla?

Deportivo La Equidad has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo La Equidad were as follows:

31.03.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Junior Barranquilla 0:1

12.10.2024 Deportivo La Equidad - Junior Barranquilla 1:0

29.03.2024 Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo La Equidad 1:0

19.08.2023 Deportivo La Equidad - Junior Barranquilla 0:0

25.02.2023 Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo La Equidad 1:0

Latest results of Junior Barranquilla

06.09.2025 Unión Magdalena - Junior Barranquilla 3:1 ✺

02.09.2025 Atlético Cali - Junior Barranquilla 2:1 ✺

29.08.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Llaneros SA 4:0 ✺

26.08.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Cali 2:0 ✺

23.08.2025 Millonarios - Junior Barranquilla 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Deportivo La Equidad

07.09.2025 Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo La Equidad 1:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Deportivo Pasto 0:0 ✺

23.08.2025 Independiente Medellín - Deportivo La Equidad 3:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Llaneros SA 2:1 ✺

11.08.2025 Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo La Equidad 0:0 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. Medellin ✔	19	11	4	4	43:28	15	37
2	Atl. Nacional ✔	19	10	7	2	37:22	15	37
3	Bucaramanga ✔	19	11	4	4	31:17	14	37
4	Deportes Tolima ✔	19	11	2	6	27:16	11	35
5	Fortaleza ✔	19	9	8	2	25:17	8	35
6	Junior	19	9	5	5	33:24	9	32
7	Aguilas	19	7	6	6	28:25	3	27
8	America De Cali	18	7	5	6	20:16	4	26
9	Alianza	18	7	5	6	22:21	1	26
10	Santa Fe	18	6	7	5	19:17	2	25
11	Llaneros	19	7	4	8	17:22	-5	25
12	Millonarios	19	6	5	8	21:25	-4	23
13	Once Caldas	18	6	5	7	19:23	-4	23
14	Dep. Cali	18	5	5	8	21:26	-5	20
15	U. Magdalena	18	5	3	10	20:29	-9	18
16	Pereira	19	4	6	9	19:32	-13	18
17	Envigado	19	3	8	8	15:22	-7	17
18	Dep. Pasto	18	3	7	8	23:27	-4	16
19	Chico	18	3	7	8	13:25	-12	16
20	La Equidad	19	2	5	12	10:29	-19	11

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Ind. Medellin is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Bucaramanga is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Fortaleza is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )