Result
0:1
31/03/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 11
- Referee: Gracia Benitez L. D. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (262/318) | 80% (246/309) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (262/318) | 80% (246/309) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (19/46) | 37% (20/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (53/84) | 53% (31/59) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (10/23) | 57% (4/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (9/9) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 39 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Castrillon B. 🟥,
- 45+1', Herrera E. 🟨,
- 45+2', Orozco S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Angel Amaya Pena M. ↓, Polanco D. ↑,
- 46', Orozco S. ↓, Castro Espinosa B. D. ↑,
- 56', 0 - 1, Gonzalez L. (Pen),
- 64', Enamorado J. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
- 64', Gonzalez L. ↓, Angel Bernal F. S. ↑,
- 64', Del Valle A. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
- 71', Gutierrez T. ↓, Caicedo D. ↑,
- 71', Chara Y. ↓, Mosquera Moreno Y. ↑,
- 80', Correa A. 🟨,
- 80', Gutierrez T. 🟨,
- 85', Mayo S. ↓, Torralvo A. ↑,
- 85', Tegue G. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
- 87', Mosquera Moreno Y. 🟨,
- 87', Mosquera Moreno Y. ↓, Paiva G. ↑,
- 88', Torralvo A. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/bdh44m56
Chances of winning
Deportivo La Equidad
40.7% | Draw
30.3% | Junior Barranquilla
29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo La Equidad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo La Equidad's performance.Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Junior Barranquilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo La Equidad that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Junior Barranquilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo La Equidad - Junior Barranquilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↓
(2.7) |
3.08 ↓
(3.15) |
3.22 ↑
(2.62) |
7.2%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Deportivo La Equidad - Junior Barranquilla?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. La Equidad will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Junior will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Junior: 15.2% – 64.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches La Equidad won 1.
- La Equidad is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Junior is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- La Equidad could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- La Equidad will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches La Equidad won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 8:21 (average 0.4:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams La Equidad won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 0.6:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Equidad won against Junior Barranquilla?
Deportivo La Equidad has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Junior Barranquilla won against Deportivo La Equidad?
Junior Barranquilla has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo La Equidad - Junior Barranquilla were as follows:
12.10.2024
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Junior Barranquilla
1:0
29.03.2024
Junior Barranquilla
-
Deportivo La Equidad
1:0
19.08.2023
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Junior Barranquilla
0:0
25.02.2023
Junior Barranquilla
-
Deportivo La Equidad
1:0
Latest results of Deportivo La Equidad
Latest results of Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 14 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Llaneros | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Ind. Medellin | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Dep. Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 9 | Pereira | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Bucaramanga | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 | Envigado | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Chico | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | La Equidad | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Dep. Pasto | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 15 | Alianza | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | U. Magdalena | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 | America De Cali | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 18 | Aguilas | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 | Once Caldas | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 2 |
| 20 | Millonarios | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
