Jan Choinski vs Jurij Rodionov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Thionville Challenger Men Jan Choinski - Jurij Rodionov
Result
0:2
07/03/2025 at 13:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville (France), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
46
Double Faults
14
1st Serve Percentage
70%65%
1st Serve Points Won
52% (22/42)72% (26/36)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (9/18)58% (11/19)
Break Points Saved
56% (5/9)0% (0/1)
1st Return Points Won
28% (10/36)48% (20/42)
2nd Return Points Won
42% (8/19)50% (9/18)
Break Points Converted
100% (1/1)44% (4/9)
Service Points Won
52% (31/60)67% (37/55)
Return Points Won
33% (18/55)48% (29/60)
Total Points Won
43% (49/115)57% (66/115)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
60
Service Games Won
56% (5/9)89% (8/9)
Return Games Won
11% (1/9)44% (4/9)
Total Games Won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Jan Choinski
39%
Jurij Rodionov
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 47.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jan Choinski's form might have worsened.
  • Jurij Rodionov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jurij Rodionov's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jan Choinski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jurij Rodionov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jan Choinski - Jurij Rodionov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (1.84)

    1.53
    (1.88)
    6.9%
    (7.5%)
    What is the prediction for Jan Choinski - Jurij Rodionov?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Choinski will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Rodionov will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rodionov: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Choinski is ranked ATP: 184. Rodionov is ranked ATP: 209.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Rodionov will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Choinski won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jan Choinski - Jurij Rodionov were as follows:
    08.05.2023 Jan Choinski - Jurij Rodionov 2:1
    23.02.2023 Jurij Rodionov - Jan Choinski 2:1
    Latest results of Jan Choinski
    Latest results of Jurij Rodionov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Coric B. (1)Jubb P.2 : 0
    2Ruusuvuori E.Bobichon M. (Q)2 : 0
    3Paris T. (WC)Escoffier A.2 : 1
    4Dougaz A.Shimizu Y. (5)2 : 0
    5Draxl L. (4)Budkov Kjaer N.2 : 1
    6Zhukayev B.Rehberg M. H. (Alt)2 : 0
    7Balshaw F. (WC)Hassan B.0 : 2
    8Onclin G.Kachmazov A. (7)0 : 2
    9Droguet T. (6)Squire H. (Q)2 : 1
    10Broska F. (Q)Bouquier A.0 : 2
    11Added D. (WC)Martineau M.1 : 2
    12Grenier H.van Assche L. (3)0 : 2
    13Choinski J. (8)Henning P. (Q)2 : 0
    14Yevseyev D. (Alt)Gueymard Wayenburg S.1 : 2
    15Rodionov J.Sachko V. (Q)2 : 0
    16Paul J. (Q)Blockx A. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Coric B. (1)Ruusuvuori E. (RET.)1 : 0
    2Paris T.Dougaz A.0 : 2
    3Draxl L. (4)Zhukayev B.2 : 1
    4Hassan B.Kachmazov A. (7)1 : 2
    5Droguet T. (6)Bouquier A.0 : 2
    6Martineau M.van Assche L. (3)1 : 2
    7Choinski J. (8)Gueymard Wayenburg S.2 : 0
    8Rodionov J.Paul J.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Coric B. (1)Dougaz A.2 : 0
    2Draxl L. (4)Kachmazov A. (7)1 : 2
    3Bouquier A. (WO.)van Assche L. (3)
    4Choinski J. (8)Rodionov J.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Coric B. (1)Kachmazov A. (7)2 : 1
    2Bouquier A.Rodionov J.2 : 1

    Final
    1Coric B. (1)Bouquier A.2 : 0