Jurij Rodionov vs Joel Schwaerzler – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Bonn Challenger Men Jurij Rodionov - Joel Schwaerzler
Result
2:1
09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bonn, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
33
Double Faults
23
1st Serve Percentage
58%56%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (31/43)82% (36/44)
2nd Serve Points Won
58% (18/31)47% (16/34)
Break Points Saved
50% (2/4)63% (5/8)
1st Return Points Won
18% (8/44)28% (12/43)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (18/34)42% (13/31)
Break Points Converted
38% (3/8)50% (2/4)
Winners
2329
Unforced Errors
2236
Net Points Won
70% (7/10)68% (15/22)
Service Points Won
66% (49/74)67% (52/78)
Return Points Won
33% (26/78)34% (25/74)
Total Points Won
49% (75/152)51% (77/152)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
83% (10/12)77% (10/13)
Return Games Won
23% (3/13)17% (2/12)
Total Games Won
52% (13/25)48% (12/25)

Chances of winning


Jurij Rodionov
54.7%
Joel Schwaerzler
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6% 45.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jurij Rodionov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Joel Schwaerzler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Jurij Rodionov - Joel Schwaerzler Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.67)

    2.08
    (2.1)
    6.6%
    (7.5%)
    What is the prediction for Jurij Rodionov - Joel Schwaerzler?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rodionov will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Schwaerzler will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rodionov: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Rodionov (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Rodionov is ranked ATP: 185. Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 342.
    • Right now, both players are showing solid form.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Jurij Rodionov
    Latest results of Joel Schwaerzler
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rosenkranz M. (LL)Tabur C.2 : 0
    2Boscardin Dias P. (Q)Midon L.0 : 2
    3Mackenzie J. (WC)Pucinelli de Almeida M.2 : 0
    4Nagal S. (Alt)Rodionov J. (7)0 : 2
    5Gaubas V. (4)Dedura D. (WC)2 : 0
    6Krumich M. (Q)Zahraj P.2 : 0
    7Schwaerzler J. J. (NG)Negritu Ch.2 : 0
    8Cecchinato M. (Q)Coria F. (6)0 : 2
    9Hassan B. (8)Jianu F. C.1 : 2
    10Skatov T.Popko D.2 : 0
    11McDonald N. (WC)Milev Y. (Q)1 : 2
    12Villanueva G. (Q)Moller E. (3)0 : 2
    13Choinski J. (5)Blancaneaux G.0 : 2
    14Reis Da Silva J.Wallin O. (SE)2 : 1
    15Kym J.Yevseyev D.2 : 0
    16Fajta P. (Q)Collignon R. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Rosenkranz M.Midon L.0 : 2
    2Mackenzie J.Rodionov J. (7)0 : 2
    3Gaubas V. (4)Krumich M.2 : 1
    4Schwaerzler J. J.Coria F. (6)2 : 0
    5Jianu F. C.Skatov T.0 : 2
    6Milev Y.Moller E. (3)2 : 1
    7Blancaneaux G.Reis Da Silva J.0 : 2
    8Kym J.Collignon R. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Midon L.Rodionov J. (7)0 : 2
    2Gaubas V. (4)Schwaerzler J. J.1 : 2
    3Skatov T.Milev Y. (RET.)1 : 0
    4Reis Da Silva J.Collignon R. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Rodionov J. (7)Schwaerzler J. J.2 : 1
    2Skatov T.Collignon R. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Rodionov J. (7)Skatov T.2 : 1