Matteo Martineau vs Jurij Rodionov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
26/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Saint Brieuc, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
52
Double Faults
33
1st serve percentage
61%58%
1st serve points won
66% (27/41)55% (18/33)
2nd serve points won
62% (16/26)50% (12/24)
Break Points Saved
75% (3/4)56% (5/9)
1st return points won
45% (15/33)34% (14/41)
2nd return points won
50% (12/24)38% (10/26)
Break Points Converted
44% (4/9)25% (1/4)
Winners
1911
Unforced errors
2629
Net points won
83% (15/18)67% (6/9)
Service Points Won
64% (42/66)54% (28/52)
Return Points Won
46% (24/52)36% (24/66)
Total Points Won
56% (66/118)44% (52/118)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
89% (8/9)50% (4/8)
Return games won
50% (4/8)11% (1/9)
Total games won
71% (12/17)29% (5/17)

Chances of winning


Matteo Martineau
33.8%
Jurij Rodionov
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5% 63.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matteo Martineau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Jurij Rodionov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Matteo Martineau - Jurij Rodionov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.76
    (2.61)

    1.41
    (1.43)
    7.1%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for Matteo Martineau - Jurij Rodionov?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Martineau will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Rodionov will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Rodionov (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Rodionov (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Rodionov (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Martineau is ranked ATP: 350. Rodionov is ranked ATP: 176.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Rodionov is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Martineau won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Matteo Martineau - Jurij Rodionov were as follows:
    03.09.2025 Jurij Rodionov - Matteo Martineau 2:0
    27.08.2025 Matteo Martineau - Jurij Rodionov 1:2
    14.03.2025 Matteo Martineau - Jurij Rodionov 0:2
    03.06.2024 Jurij Rodionov - Matteo Martineau 2:1
    Latest results of Matteo Martineau
    Latest results of Jurij Rodionov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fearnley J. (1)Bouquier A.0 : 2
    2Lokoli L. (Q)Paul J. (LL)2 : 1
    3Tabur C.Rincon D.2 : 0
    4Chidekh C.Safiullin R. (8)2 : 0
    5Ofner S. (4)Broom C.2 : 1
    6Smith K. (Q)Blancaneaux G.0 : 2
    7Martineau M. (WC)Ghibaudo A. (Q)2 : 1
    8Zahraj P.Rodionov J. (7)0 : 2
    9Lajal M. (5)Berrettini J.2 : 0
    10Perot R. (WC)Herbert P.0 : 2
    11Gombos N. (Alt)Poullain L. (Q)0 : 2
    12Kouame M. (WC)Droguet T. (3)0 : 2
    13Blanchet U. (6)Broska F. (Q)2 : 1
    14Bertrand R.Gadamauri B. (Q)0 : 2
    15Kukushkin M.Loffhagen G. (RET.)0 : 0
    16Gueymard Wayenburg S.Gaston H. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Bouquier A.Lokoli L.1 : 2
    2Tabur C.Chidekh C.0 : 2
    3Ofner S. (4)Blancaneaux G.2 : 0
    4Martineau M.Rodionov J. (7)2 : 0
    5Lajal M. (5)Herbert P.0 : 2
    6Poullain L.Droguet T. (3)1 : 2
    7Blanchet U. (6)Gadamauri B.2 : 0
    8Kukushkin M.Gaston H. (WO.) (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1Lokoli L.Chidekh C.1 : 2
    2Ofner S. (4)Martineau M.2 : 0
    3Herbert P.Droguet T. (3)2 : 1
    4Blanchet U. (6)Gaston H. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Chidekh C.Ofner S. (4)1 : 2
    2Herbert P.Gaston H. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Ofner S. (4)Herbert P.2 : 0