Shintaro Mochizuki vs Jurij Rodionov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
06/02/2026 at 01:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Davis Cup - World Group - Qualification

Match Stats

Aces
37
Double Faults
74
1st serve percentage
31%51%
1st serve points won
76% (19/25)76% (29/38)
2nd serve points won
46% (26/56)49% (18/37)
Break Points Saved
64% (7/11)78% (7/9)
1st return points won
24% (9/38)24% (6/25)
2nd return points won
51% (19/37)54% (30/56)
Break Points Converted
22% (2/9)36% (4/11)
Service Points Won
56% (45/81)62% (48/77)
Return Points Won
38% (29/77)44% (36/81)
Total Points Won
47% (74/158)53% (84/158)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
10
Service games won
64% (7/11)82% (9/11)
Return games won
18% (2/11)36% (4/11)
Total games won
41% (9/22)59% (13/22)

Chances of winning


Shintaro Mochizuki
45.3%
Jurij Rodionov
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.5% 48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4% 52.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shintaro Mochizuki's form might have worsened.
  • Jurij Rodionov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jurij Rodionov's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Shintaro Mochizuki - Jurij Rodionov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (1.8)

    1.74
    (1.91)
    5.4%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Shintaro Mochizuki - Jurij Rodionov?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Mochizuki (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Rodionov (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Jurij Rodionov will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 108. Rodionov is ranked ATP: 170.
    • Mochizuki is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Rodionov has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mochizuki won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shintaro Mochizuki - Jurij Rodionov were as follows:
    19.08.2025 Shintaro Mochizuki - Jurij Rodionov 2:1
    18.02.2025 Shintaro Mochizuki - Jurij Rodionov 1:2
    03.01.2025 Jurij Rodionov - Shintaro Mochizuki 0:2
    Latest results of Jurij Rodionov