Justin Gaethje vs Rafael Fiziev – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

MMA Lightweight UFC Men
MMA Lightweight UFC Men Justin Gaethje - Rafael Fiziev
Result
Gaethje J. win
08/03/2025 at 23:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LIGHTWEIGHT - MEN: UFC (World)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN 2
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceRMC Sport 1
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8
icelandIcelandViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1
portugalPortugalSport TV1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 1

Chances of winning


Justin Gaethje
42.3%		Rafael Fiziev
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.8% 53.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Justin Gaethje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Rafael Fiziev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
    •

    Justin Gaethje - Rafael Fiziev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.24 ↑
    (2.04)
    		1.67 ↓
    (1.8)    		 4.7%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Fiziev will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Gaethje won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    Latest results of Justin Gaethje
    08.03.2025 Justin Gaethje - Daniel Hooker Canceled ✺
    13.04.2024 Justin Gaethje - Max Holloway Holloway M. - 5th Round KO ✺
    30.07.2023 Dustin Poirier - Justin Gaethje KO/2:KO/2 ✺
    Latest results of Rafael Fiziev
    23.09.2023 Rafael Fiziev - Mateusz Gamrot Gamrot M. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
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