Result
2:1
15/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 25
- Referee: Turrini N. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.78 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (394/480) | 82% (393/482) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.18 | 1.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (394/480) | 82% (393/482) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (26/54) | 34% (17/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (97/143) | 62% (64/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 11% (2/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.40 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 6 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (18/25) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.83 | 3.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Mosti N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', 1 - 1, Hernani ⚽,
- 57', Okoro A. ↓, Gabrielloni A. ↑,
- 60', Alvarez A. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 1, Petagna A. ⚽,
- 70', Mosti N. ↓, Maistro F. ↑,
- 70', Zeroli K. ↓, Matheu P. ↑,
- 70', Carboni A. ↓, Lucchesi L. ↑,
- 70', Ciurria P. ↓, Bakoune A. ↑,
- 77', Cutrone P. ↓, Mota D. ↑,
- 77', Hernani ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
- 78', Carissoni L. ↓, Ricciardi M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Monza
57.7% | Draw
26.1% | Juve Stabia
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monza's performance.Juve Stabia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Monza - Juve Stabia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.76) |
3.58 ↑
(3.32) |
5.85 ↑
(4.73) |
6.6%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Monza - Juve Stabia?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Juve Stabia will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monza: 48.7% – 87.7%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Monza (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Juve Stabia (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Monza (votes: 3 - 50%). Juve Stabia (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Juve Stabia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Monza is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Monza: Antov V.
(Knee Injury)
Galazzi N.
(Inactive)
Maric M.
(Inactive)
Ravanelli L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Juve Stabia: Battistella T.
(Knee Injury)
Candellone L.
(Injury)
Diakite S.
(Inactive)
Morachioli G.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Pierobon C.
(Inactive)
Varnier M.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Monza will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Monza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Monza won against Juve Stabia?
Monza has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juve Stabia won against Monza?
Juve Stabia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monza - Juve Stabia were as follows:
30.11.2025
Juve Stabia
-
Monza
2:2
Latest results of Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
