Result
2:1
21/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 22
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 79', 1 - 0, Evaristi M. ⚽,
- 81', 2 - 0, Belward S. ⚽,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, Cecchetti L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Fiorentino
26% | Draw
27.3% | Juvenes-Dogana
46.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fiorentino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fiorentino's form might have worsened.Juvenes-Dogana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juvenes-Dogana's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentino than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fiorentino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juvenes-Dogana than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Fiorentino - Juvenes-Dogana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.49 ↑
(2.78) |
3.32 ↓
(3.45) |
1.95 ↓
(2.22) |
10.1%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentino won 0.
- In recent matches, Fiorentino has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Juvenes-Dogana is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Fiorentino won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 0.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentino won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentino won against Juvenes-Dogana?
Fiorentino has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juvenes-Dogana won against Fiorentino?
Juvenes-Dogana has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentino - Juvenes-Dogana were as follows:
26.10.2025
Juvenes-Dogana
-
Fiorentino
1:1
22.10.2025
Juvenes-Dogana
-
Fiorentino
3:0
24.09.2025
Fiorentino
-
Juvenes-Dogana
2:2
30.04.2025
Fiorentino
-
Juvenes-Dogana
1:1
18.01.2025
Juvenes-Dogana
-
Fiorentino
0:0
Latest results of Fiorentino
Latest results of Juvenes-Dogana
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 28 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 61:12 | 49 | 69 |
| 2 | Virtus | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 61:19 | 42 | 66 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 64:17 | 47 | 64 |
| 4 | La Fiorita ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 59:23 | 36 | 51 |
| 5 | Folgore ✔ | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 57:30 | 27 | 51 |
| 6 | Domagnano ✔ | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 54:29 | 25 | 46 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 43 |
| 8 | Cosmos | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 27:20 | 7 | 39 |
| 9 | Libertas | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 31:51 | -20 | 35 |
| 10 | Juvenes/Dogana | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | San Giovanni | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Pennarossa | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 28:52 | -24 | 30 |
| 13 | Faetano | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 22:52 | -30 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 22:56 | -34 | 15 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 21:64 | -43 | 10 |
| 16 | Murata | 28 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 17:74 | -57 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
La Fiorita is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Folgore is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Domagnano is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
