Result
2:1
21/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 22
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 79', 1 - 0, Evaristi M. ⚽,
- 81', 2 - 0, Belward S. ⚽,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, Cecchetti L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Fiorentino
26% | Draw
27.3% | Juvenes-Dogana
46.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fiorentino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fiorentino's form might have worsened.Juvenes-Dogana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juvenes-Dogana's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentino than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fiorentino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juvenes-Dogana than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Fiorentino - Juvenes-Dogana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.49 ↑
(2.78) |
3.32 ↓
(3.45) |
1.95 ↓
(2.22) |
10.1%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentino won 0.
- In recent matches, Fiorentino has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Juvenes-Dogana is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Fiorentino won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 0.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentino won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentino won against Juvenes-Dogana?
Fiorentino has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juvenes-Dogana won against Fiorentino?
Juvenes-Dogana has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentino - Juvenes-Dogana were as follows:
26.10.2025
Juvenes-Dogana
-
Fiorentino
1:1
22.10.2025
Juvenes-Dogana
-
Fiorentino
3:0
24.09.2025
Fiorentino
-
Juvenes-Dogana
2:2
30.04.2025
Fiorentino
-
Juvenes-Dogana
1:1
18.01.2025
Juvenes-Dogana
-
Fiorentino
0:0
Latest results of Fiorentino
Latest results of Juvenes-Dogana
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Virtus | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 50:11 | 39 | 56 |
| 2 | Tre Fiori | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 48:9 | 39 | 56 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 50:13 | 37 | 53 |
| 4 | Folgore | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 51:24 | 27 | 46 |
| 5 | La Fiorita | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 49:21 | 28 | 42 |
| 6 | Domagnano | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 47:22 | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | Cosmos | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 25:16 | 9 | 35 |
| 8 | Fiorentino | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 23:35 | -12 | 33 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 28:31 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Libertas | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 27:47 | -20 | 25 |
| 11 | San Giovanni | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 17:31 | -14 | 21 |
| 12 | Pennarossa | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 23:45 | -22 | 21 |
| 13 | Faetano | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 18:43 | -25 | 19 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 17:48 | -31 | 11 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 23 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 15:48 | -33 | 10 |
| 16 | Murata | 23 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 15:59 | -44 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
