Result
1:3
24/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 21
- Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (421/474) | 87% (423/484) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 2.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (421/474) | 87% (423/484) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (21/32) | 54% (27/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (114/141) | 77% (92/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (8/28) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.83 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.34 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.66 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', Newton 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 0, Batalla E. ⚽, Nene (A),
- 39', 1 - 1, Alex Telles (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Alan Ruschel ↓, Marcelo Hermes ↑,
- 46', Nene ↓, Gabriel Veron ↑,
- 52', Barboza A. 🟨,
- 56', Jeffinho ↓, Matheus Martins ↑,
- 56', Alex Telles ↓, Marcal ↑,
- 56', Newton ↓, Danilo ↑,
- 67', Correa J. ↓, Ramos C. ↑,
- 71', Batalla E. ↓, Rafael Bilu ↑,
- 76', Caique Goncalves ↓, Giraldo D. ↑,
- 80', Montoro A. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 2, Ramos C. ⚽, Arthur Cabral (A),
- 90', Mandaca ↓, Matheus Babi ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 3, Ramos C. ⚽, Rodriguez S. (A),
Chances of winning
Juventude
24.5% | Draw
28.9% | Botafogo RJ
46.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Botafogo RJ might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo RJ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Juventude - Botafogo RJ Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.87 ↓
(4.73) |
3.28 ↓
(3.65) |
2.05 ↑
(1.72) |
5.2%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Juventude - Botafogo RJ?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Botafogo will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 13.8% – 69.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Juventude (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Botafogo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Juventude (votes: 7 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Botafogo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Botafogo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Juventude: Abner
(Yellow Cards)
Ewerthon
(Muscle Injury)
Gilberto
(Injury)
Lucas Fernandes
(Muscle Injury)
Marcos Paulo
(Muscle Injury)
Nata
(Inactive)
Rodrigo Sam
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos
(Knee Injury)
Cuiabano
(Ankle Injury)
Kaio
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.4:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Juventude won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Juventude won against Botafogo RJ?
Juventude has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Juventude?
Botafogo RJ has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juventude - Botafogo RJ were as follows:
05.04.2025
Botafogo RJ
-
Juventude
2:0
11.08.2024
Juventude
-
Botafogo RJ
3:2
21.04.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
Juventude
5:1
Latest results of Juventude
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 48:11 | 37 | 51 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 39:17 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 36:18 | 18 | 49 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 41:23 | 18 | 42 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:18 | 17 | 40 |
| 6 | Bahia | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31:28 | 3 | 37 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 11 | Gremio | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 12 | Ceara | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 22:23 | -1 | 28 |
| 13 | Vasco | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 27 |
| 14 | Internacional | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 28:36 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 | Santos | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 22:32 | -10 | 26 |
| 16 | Atletico-MG | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 19:35 | -16 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 19:45 | -26 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23:38 | -15 | 18 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 16:34 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
