Juventude vs Flamengo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
14/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 23
  • Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
portugalPortugalCanal 11
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.371.24
Ball Possession
26%74%
Total shots
613
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
67
Passes
84% (185/219)92% (597/650)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.371.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.521.32
Total shots
613
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
14
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
29
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
624
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1116
Passes
84% (185/219)92% (597/650)
Long passes
59% (20/34)46% (12/26)
Passes in final third
68% (28/41)83% (154/185)
Crosses
23% (5/22)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.221.29
Throw-ins
1925
Fouls
1612
Tackles
69% (11/16)83% (15/18)
Duels won
3550
Clearances
2413
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.320.52
Goals prevented
-0.680.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', 0 - 1, de Arrascaeta G. , Niguez S. (A),
  • 41', Ayrton Lucas 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Rafael Bilu , Gabriel Veron ,
  • 50', Gabriel Taliari 🟨,
  • 60', Nene , Matheus Babi ,
  • 61', Reginaldo , Igor Formiga ,
  • 62', Mandaca 🟨,
  • 65', Pedro , Plata G. ,
  • 71', Luiz Araujo 🟨,
  • 76', Jadson , Lucas Fernandes ,
  • 78', Luiz Araujo , Carrascal J. ,
  • 83', Gabriel Taliari , Gilberto ,
  • 86', Samuel Lino , Everton ,
  • 86', de Arrascaeta G. , Wallace Yan ,
  • 87', 0 - 2, Emerson Royal , Carrascal J. (A),

Chances of winning


Juventude
12.1%
Draw
21.6%
Flamengo
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.8% 21.4% 65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.3% 20.6% 68.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Juventude - Flamengo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.09
    (7.36)
    4.01
    (4.4)
    1.33
    (1.43)
    14.2%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Juventude - Flamengo?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Flamengo will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 59%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Flamengo (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH +2 - Flamengo (4.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 1.
    • Juventude is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Flamengo is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Flamengo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Flamengo is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Juventude: Batalla E. (Yellow Cards) Ewerthon (Muscle Injury) Gilberto (Hamstring Injury) Giraldo D. (Yellow Cards) Lucas Fernandes (Muscle Injury) Nata (Hamstring Injury) Rodrigo Sam (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Flamengo: Alex Sandro (Calf Injury) Bruno Henrique (Suspended) Leo Ortiz (Yellow Cards) Pulgar E. (Foot Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 1.1:2.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Juventude won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Juventude - Flamengo were as follows:
    16.04.2025 Flamengo - Juventude 6:0
    26.10.2024 Flamengo - Juventude 4:2
    26.06.2024 Juventude - Flamengo 2:1
    09.11.2022 Juventude - Flamengo 2:2
    Latest results of Juventude
    30.08.2025 Ceará - Juventude 0:1
    24.08.2025 Juventude - Botafogo RJ 1:3
    20.08.2025 Juventude - Vasco da Gama 2:0
    11.08.2025 Juventude - Corinthians 2:1
    Latest results of Flamengo
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras431012:5710
    2Sao Paulo43106:2410
    3Corinthians42115:327
    4Bahia32104:227
    5Fluminense42115:417
    6Athletico-PR42114:317
    7Bragantino42113:307
    8Gremio42028:806
    9Chapecoense-SC31208:625
    10Mirassol31206:515
    11Flamengo RJ31114:404
    12Coritiba41125:6-14
    13Botafogo RJ31027:613
    14Vitoria31024:7-33
    15Remo40316:8-23
    16Atletico-MG40226:8-22
    17Internacional40223:6-32
    18Cruzeiro40224:9-52
    19Vasco30122:4-21
    20Santos30124:7-31

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet