Result
0:2
14/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 23
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 26% | 74% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (185/219) | 92% (597/650) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (185/219) | 92% (597/650) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (20/34) | 46% (12/26) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (28/41) | 83% (154/185) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 83% (15/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.68 | 0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', 0 - 1, de Arrascaeta G. ⚽, Niguez S. (A),
- 41', Ayrton Lucas 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Rafael Bilu ↓, Gabriel Veron ↑,
- 50', Gabriel Taliari 🟨,
- 60', Nene ↓, Matheus Babi ↑,
- 61', Reginaldo ↓, Igor Formiga ↑,
- 62', Mandaca 🟨,
- 65', Pedro ↓, Plata G. ↑,
- 71', Luiz Araujo 🟨,
- 76', Jadson ↓, Lucas Fernandes ↑,
- 78', Luiz Araujo ↓, Carrascal J. ↑,
- 83', Gabriel Taliari ↓, Gilberto ↑,
- 86', Samuel Lino ↓, Everton ↑,
- 86', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Wallace Yan ↑,
- 87', 0 - 2, Emerson Royal ⚽, Carrascal J. (A),
Chances of winning
Juventude
12.1% | Draw
21.6% | Flamengo
66.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Juventude - Flamengo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.09 ↓
(7.36) |
4.01 ↓
(4.4) |
1.33 ↓
(1.43) |
14.2%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Juventude - Flamengo?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Flamengo will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 59% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 1.
- Juventude is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Flamengo is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Flamengo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Flamengo is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Juventude: Batalla E.
(Yellow Cards)
Ewerthon
(Muscle Injury)
Gilberto
(Hamstring Injury)
Giraldo D.
(Yellow Cards)
Lucas Fernandes
(Muscle Injury)
Nata
(Hamstring Injury)
Rodrigo Sam
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Flamengo: Alex Sandro
(Calf Injury)
Bruno Henrique
(Suspended)
Leo Ortiz
(Yellow Cards)
Pulgar E.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 1.1:2.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Juventude won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Juventude won against Flamengo?
Juventude has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Juventude?
Flamengo has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juventude - Flamengo were as follows:
16.04.2025
Flamengo
-
Juventude
6:0
26.10.2024
Flamengo
-
Juventude
4:2
26.06.2024
Juventude
-
Flamengo
2:1
09.11.2022
Juventude
-
Flamengo
2:2
Latest results of Juventude
Latest results of Flamengo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 48:11 | 37 | 51 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 39:17 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 36:18 | 18 | 49 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 41:23 | 18 | 42 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 34:17 | 17 | 39 |
| 6 | Bahia | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 37 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 11 | Ceara | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 22:23 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Gremio | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 23:29 | -6 | 28 |
| 13 | Internacional | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 28:36 | -8 | 27 |
| 14 | Santos | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 22:32 | -10 | 26 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 25 |
| 16 | Vasco | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 24 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 19:35 | -16 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 19:45 | -26 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23:38 | -15 | 18 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 16:34 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
