Result
1:1
31/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.38 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (330/392) | 83% (300/360) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (330/392) | 83% (300/360) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (16/35) | 54% (22/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (58/81) | 57% (51/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/13) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.32 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.57 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Andre Henrique ↓, Carlos Vinicius ↑,
- 46', Willian ↓, Monsalve M. ↑,
- 46', Tiago ↓, Arthur Melo ↑,
- 46', Roger ↓, Amuzu F. ↑,
- 53', Arthur Melo 🟥,
- 54', Gabriel Pinheiro 🟥,
- 65', Leo Indio 🟨,
- 66', Gabriel Taliari ↓, Castro M. ↑,
- 66', Pablo Roberto ↓, Juan Christian ↑,
- 72', Marcos Rocha ↓, Gabriel Mec ↑,
- 81', Alisson Safira ↓, Emerson Galego ↑,
- 86', 1 - 0, Monsalve M. ⚽, Amuzu F. (A),
- 90', Mandaca ↓, Ly I. ↑,
- 90', Leo Indio ↓, Ray Breno ↑,
- 90+1', Emerson Galego 🟨,
- 90+9', 1 - 1, Juan Christian ⚽, Ray Breno (A),
Chances of winning
Grêmio
45.7% | Draw
27% | Juventude
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Grêmio - Juventude Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(1.92) |
3.38 ↑
(3.16) |
3.37 ↓
(3.76) |
9%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Grêmio is Qualified for Gaucho (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- Juventude is Qualified for Gaucho (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 4.
- Grêmio has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Juventude is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Juventude may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Grêmio is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:21. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:8. (average 2.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Juventude?
Grêmio has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juventude won against Grêmio?
Juventude has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Juventude were as follows:
26.10.2025
Grêmio
-
Juventude
3:1
01.06.2025
Juventude
-
Grêmio
0:2
01.03.2025
Juventude
-
Grêmio
2:2
22.02.2025
Grêmio
-
Juventude
2:1
05.02.2025
Juventude
-
Grêmio
2:0
Latest results of Juventude
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho Table
MainGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Internacional | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 | 15 |
| 2 | Juventude | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | EC Sao Jose | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Sao Luiz | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 5 | Avenida | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 5 |
| 6 | Guarany de Bage | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 5 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gremio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:6 | 8 | 10 |
| 2 | SER Caxias | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Ypiranga FC | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 4 | Novo Hamburgo | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Monsoon | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:11 | -6 | 6 |
| 6 | Inter Santa Maria | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1:4 | -3 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Gaucho (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
