Grêmio vs Juventude – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A
Result
3:1
26/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 30
  • Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.570.33
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
209
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
86% (302/353)83% (281/337)
Yellow Cards
38
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.570.33
xG on target (xGOT)
1.781.20
Total shots
209
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
144
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2712
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
3211
Passes
86% (302/353)83% (281/337)
Long passes
51% (23/45)46% (16/35)
Passes in final third
75% (69/92)72% (71/98)
Crosses
23% (3/13)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.160.30
Throw-ins
1418
Fouls
1132
Tackles
72% (13/18)44% (8/18)
Duels won
7042
Clearances
2119
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.201.78
Goals prevented
0.20-1.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', Jadson 🟨,
  • 27', Gabriel Taliari 🟨,
  • 33', Rodrigo Sam 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 0, Carlos Vinicius (Pen),
  • 37', Edenilson 🟨,
  • 45+3', Rafael Bilu 🟨,
  • 45+4', Alan Ruschel 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Jadson ↓, Giovanny ↑,
  • 48', 2 - 0, Carlos Vinicius ⚽, Amuzu F. (A),
  • 52', Carlos Vinicius 🟨,
  • 59', Marcos Paulo 🟨,
  • 60', Alysson 🟨,
  • 62', Giovanny 🟨,
  • 66', Gilberto ↓, Scatolin J. ↑,
  • 66', Rafael Bilu ↓, Enio ↑,
  • 66', Caique Goncalves ↓, Hudson ↑,
  • 67', 3 - 0, Carlos Vinicius ⚽, Alysson (A),
  • 70', Marcos Paulo 🟨,
  • 72', Gabriel Taliari ↓, Luan Freitas ↑,
  • 75', Carlos Vinicius ↓, Andre Henrique ↑,
  • 75', Edenilson ↓, Cristaldo F. ↑,
  • 75', Alysson ↓, Pavon C. ↑,
  • 79', 3 - 1, Igor Formiga ⚽, Luan Freitas (A),
  • 81', Amuzu F. ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
  • 85', Arthur Melo ↓, Cuellar G. ↑,

Chances of winning


Grêmio
55.4%		Draw
26.3%		Juventude
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61% 24.6% 14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6% 24% 14%

Grêmio - Juventude Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.72 ↑
(1.53)		 3.66 ↓
(3.8)		 5.23 ↓
(6.5)		 4.7%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grêmio - Juventude?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 15 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Grêmio: 100% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Grêmio will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 3.
    • Recent performances by Grêmio have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Juventude's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Grêmio is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Grêmio: Alysson (Injury) Arthur Melo (Injury) Braithwaite M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Fabian Balbuena (Ankle Injury) Joao Pedro (Muscle Injury) Monsalve M. (Shoulder Injury) Rodrigo Ely (Knee Injury) Tiago Volpi (Muscle Injury) Villasanti M. (Knee Injury) Willian (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Juventude: Angel W. (Thigh Injury) Lucas Fernandes (Inactive) Nata (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Grêmio: Marcos Rocha (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Juventude: Emerson Galego (Ankle Injury) Luan Freitas (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:20. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:7. (average 1.9:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Juventude were as follows:
    01.06.2025 Juventude - Grêmio 0:2
    01.03.2025 Juventude - Grêmio 2:2
    22.02.2025 Grêmio - Juventude 2:1
    05.02.2025 Juventude - Grêmio 2:0
    20.11.2024 Grêmio - Juventude 2:2
    Latest results of Grêmio
    19.10.2025 Bahia - Grêmio 4:0 ✺
    16.10.2025 Grêmio - São Paulo 2:0 ✺
    04.10.2025 Red Bull Bragantino - Grêmio 1:0 ✺
    01.10.2025 Santos - Grêmio 1:1 ✺
    28.09.2025 Grêmio - Vitória Salvador 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Juventude
    20.10.2025 Juventude - Red Bull Bragantino 1:0 ✺
    16.10.2025 Fluminense - Juventude 1:0 ✺
    11.10.2025 Palmeiras - Juventude 4:1
    05.10.2025 Juventude - Fortaleza 1:2
    30.09.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Juventude 0:0 ✺
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bragantino00000:000
    2Internacional00000:000
    3Vasco00000:000
    4Gremio00000:000
    5Botafogo RJ00000:000
    6Santos00000:000
    7Sao Paulo00000:000
    8Coritiba00000:000
    9Cruzeiro00000:000
    10Vitoria00000:000
    11Atletico-MG00000:000
    12Fluminense00000:000
    13Flamengo RJ00000:000
    14Palmeiras00000:000
    15Athletico-PR00000:000
    16Bahia00000:000
    17Corinthians00000:000
    18Mirassol00000:000
    19Remo00000:000
    20Chapecoense-SC00000:000

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
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          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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