Result
3:1
26/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 30
- Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.57 | 0.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (302/353) | 83% (281/337) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.57 | 0.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 32 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (302/353) | 83% (281/337) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (23/45) | 46% (16/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (69/92) | 72% (71/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 32 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 44% (8/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 70 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | -1.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', Jadson 🟨,
- 27', Gabriel Taliari 🟨,
- 33', Rodrigo Sam 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 0, Carlos Vinicius (Pen),
- 37', Edenilson 🟨,
- 45+3', Rafael Bilu 🟨,
- 45+4', Alan Ruschel 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Jadson ↓, Giovanny ↑,
- 48', 2 - 0, Carlos Vinicius ⚽, Amuzu F. (A),
- 52', Carlos Vinicius 🟨,
- 59', Marcos Paulo 🟨,
- 60', Alysson 🟨,
- 62', Giovanny 🟨,
- 66', Gilberto ↓, Scatolin J. ↑,
- 66', Rafael Bilu ↓, Enio ↑,
- 66', Caique Goncalves ↓, Hudson ↑,
- 67', 3 - 0, Carlos Vinicius ⚽, Alysson (A),
- 70', Marcos Paulo 🟨,
- 72', Gabriel Taliari ↓, Luan Freitas ↑,
- 75', Carlos Vinicius ↓, Andre Henrique ↑,
- 75', Edenilson ↓, Cristaldo F. ↑,
- 75', Alysson ↓, Pavon C. ↑,
- 79', 3 - 1, Igor Formiga ⚽, Luan Freitas (A),
- 81', Amuzu F. ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
- 85', Arthur Melo ↓, Cuellar G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Grêmio
55.4% | Draw
26.3% | Juventude
18.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Grêmio - Juventude Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.53) |
3.66 ↓
(3.8) |
5.23 ↓
(6.5) |
4.7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grêmio - Juventude?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 15 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grêmio: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Grêmio will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 3.
- Recent performances by Grêmio have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Juventude's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Grêmio is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Grêmio: Alysson
(Injury)
Arthur Melo
(Injury)
Braithwaite M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Fabian Balbuena
(Ankle Injury)
Joao Pedro
(Muscle Injury)
Monsalve M.
(Shoulder Injury)
Rodrigo Ely
(Knee Injury)
Tiago Volpi
(Muscle Injury)
Villasanti M.
(Knee Injury)
Willian
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Juventude: Angel W.
(Thigh Injury)
Lucas Fernandes
(Inactive)
Nata
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Grêmio: Marcos Rocha
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Juventude: Emerson Galego
(Ankle Injury)
Luan Freitas
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:20. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:7. (average 1.9:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Juventude?
Grêmio has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juventude won against Grêmio?
Juventude has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Juventude were as follows:
01.06.2025
Juventude
-
Grêmio
0:2
01.03.2025
Juventude
-
Grêmio
2:2
22.02.2025
Grêmio
-
Juventude
2:1
05.02.2025
Juventude
-
Grêmio
2:0
20.11.2024
Grêmio
-
Juventude
2:2
Latest results of Juventude
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ ✔ | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 74:24 | 50 | 75 |
| 2 | Palmeiras ✔ | 36 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 60:32 | 28 | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro ✔ | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 69 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 58:36 | 22 | 63 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 46:38 | 8 | 58 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 50:32 | 18 | 58 |
| 7 | Bahia | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 48:44 | 4 | 57 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 40:46 | -6 | 48 |
| 9 | Gremio | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:48 | -6 | 46 |
| 10 | Vasco | 36 | 13 | 6 | 17 | 55:53 | 2 | 45 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 36 | 13 | 6 | 17 | 40:54 | -14 | 45 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 38:42 | -4 | 45 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38:40 | -2 | 45 |
| 14 | Ceara | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 33:36 | -3 | 43 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 34:48 | -14 | 42 |
| 16 | Santos | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 39:50 | -11 | 41 |
| 17 | Internacional | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 41:53 | -12 | 41 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 38:53 | -15 | 37 |
| 19 | Juventude ✔ | 36 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 34:65 | -31 | 34 |
| 20 | Sport Recife ✔ | 36 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 28:69 | -41 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Clinched Spots for Teams
Flamengo RJ is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Cruzeiro is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Juventude is Relegated to Serie B Superbet
Sport Recife is Relegated to Serie B Superbet
