Result
0:2
01/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 11
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.52 | 2.65 |
Ball Possession |
---|
56% | 44% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 9 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
84% (342/406) | 78% (254/326) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.52 | 2.65 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.46 | 4.13 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 9 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 13 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
9 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 31 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
84% (342/406) | 78% (254/326) |
Long passes |
---|
55% (26/47) | 37% (19/51) |
Passes in final third |
---|
70% (76/109) | 65% (70/107) |
Crosses |
---|
14% (3/21) | 43% (6/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.82 | 1.61 |
Throw-ins |
---|
34 | 24 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
71% (17/24) | 60% (15/25) |
Duels won |
---|
54 | 69 |
Clearances |
---|
23 | 38 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
7 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
4.13 | 0.46 |
Goals prevented |
---|
2.13 | 0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 14', 0 - 1, Braithwaite M. (Pen),
- 38', 0 - 2, Olivera C. ⚽, Cristaldo F. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Giovanny ↓, Enio ↑,
- 48', Marcos Paulo 🟨,
- 55', Braithwaite M. ↓, Andre Henrique ↑,
- 63', Alysson ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
- 64', Nene ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
- 64', Caique Goncalves ↓, Peixoto ↑,
- 66', Wagner Leonardo 🟨,
- 75', Alan Ruschel 🟨,
- 75', Mandaca ↓, Gilberto ↑,
- 75', Gabriel Taliari ↓, Matheus Babi ↑,
- 81', Olivera C. ↓, Ronald ↑,
- 81', Cristaldo F. ↓, Freitas dos Santos R. ↑,
- 87', Gustavo Martins 🟨,
Chances of winning
Juventude 30.7% | Draw 29.4% | Grêmio 39.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Juventude - Grêmio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.1 ↑ (2.87) |
3.23 ↓ (3.36) |
2.38 ↓ (2.41) |
5.3% (6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Juventude - Grêmio?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Grêmio will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juventude: 26.7% – 80.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 2.
- Juventude has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Grêmio has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Juventude may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Grêmio has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Juventude: Felipinho
(Thigh Injury)
Jadson
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Grêmio: Cuellar G.
(Muscle Injury)
Edenilson
(Thigh Injury)
Igor Serrote
(Wrist Injury)
Joao Lucas
(Muscle Injury)
Monsalve M.
(Muscle Injury)
Rodrigo Ely
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Juventude: Cipriano
(Hamstring Injury)
Enio
(Inactive)
Gustavo
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Grêmio: Joao Pedro
(Ankle Injury)
Mayk
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:32. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Juventude won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Juventude won against Grêmio?
Juventude has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Juventude?
Grêmio has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juventude - Grêmio were as follows:
01.03.2025
Juventude
-
Grêmio
2:2
22.02.2025
Grêmio
-
Juventude
2:1
05.02.2025
Juventude
-
Grêmio
2:0
20.11.2024
Grêmio
-
Juventude
2:2
07.07.2024
Juventude
-
Grêmio
3:0
Latest results of Juventude
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cruzeiro | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 27:9 | 18 | 34 |
2 | Flamengo RJ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 29:6 | 23 | 33 |
3 | Palmeiras | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
4 | Bragantino | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 27 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 25 |
6 | Bahia | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Mirassol | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
8 | Fluminense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 20 |
9 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
10 | Internacional | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 20 |
11 | Corinthians | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Ceara | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
13 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
14 | Sao Paulo | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
15 | Vitoria | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 |
17 | Santos | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 13:19 | -6 | 14 |
18 | Juventude | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10:28 | -18 | 11 |
19 | Fortaleza | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7:23 | -16 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet