Result
0:2
01/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 11
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 2.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (342/406) | 78% (254/326) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 2.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 4.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (342/406) | 78% (254/326) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (26/47) | 37% (19/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (76/109) | 65% (70/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 34 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (17/24) | 60% (15/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 69 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.13 | 0.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 14', 0 - 1, Braithwaite M. (Pen),
- 38', 0 - 2, Olivera C. ⚽, Cristaldo F. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Giovanny ↓, Enio ↑,
- 48', Marcos Paulo 🟨,
- 55', Braithwaite M. ↓, Andre Henrique ↑,
- 63', Alysson ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
- 64', Nene ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
- 64', Caique Goncalves ↓, Peixoto ↑,
- 66', Wagner Leonardo 🟨,
- 75', Alan Ruschel 🟨,
- 75', Mandaca ↓, Gilberto ↑,
- 75', Gabriel Taliari ↓, Matheus Babi ↑,
- 81', Olivera C. ↓, Ronald ↑,
- 81', Cristaldo F. ↓, Freitas dos Santos R. ↑,
- 87', Gustavo Martins 🟨,
Chances of winning
Juventude
30.7% | Draw
29.4% | Grêmio
39.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Juventude - Grêmio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.1 ↑
(2.87) |
3.23 ↓
(3.36) |
2.38 ↓
(2.41) |
5.3%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Juventude - Grêmio?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Grêmio will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juventude: 26.7% – 80.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 2.
- Juventude has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Grêmio has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Juventude may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Grêmio has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Juventude: Felipinho
(Thigh Injury)
Jadson
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Grêmio: Cuellar G.
(Muscle Injury)
Edenilson
(Thigh Injury)
Igor Serrote
(Wrist Injury)
Joao Lucas
(Muscle Injury)
Monsalve M.
(Muscle Injury)
Rodrigo Ely
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Juventude: Cipriano
(Hamstring Injury)
Enio
(Inactive)
Gustavo
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Grêmio: Joao Pedro
(Ankle Injury)
Mayk
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:32. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Juventude won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Juventude won against Grêmio?
Juventude has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Juventude?
Grêmio has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juventude - Grêmio were as follows:
01.03.2025
Juventude
-
Grêmio
2:2
22.02.2025
Grêmio
-
Juventude
2:1
05.02.2025
Juventude
-
Grêmio
2:0
20.11.2024
Grêmio
-
Juventude
2:2
07.07.2024
Juventude
-
Grêmio
3:0
Latest results of Juventude
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 48:11 | 37 | 51 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 39:17 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 36:18 | 18 | 49 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 41:23 | 18 | 42 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:18 | 17 | 40 |
| 6 | Bahia | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31:28 | 3 | 37 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 11 | Gremio | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 12 | Ceara | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 22:23 | -1 | 28 |
| 13 | Vasco | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 27 |
| 14 | Internacional | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 28:36 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 | Santos | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 22:32 | -10 | 26 |
| 16 | Atletico-MG | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 19:35 | -16 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 19:45 | -26 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23:38 | -15 | 18 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 16:34 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
