Mirassol vs Juventude – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Mirassol - Juventude
Result
2:0
21/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 24
  • Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.50
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
411
Passes
87% (409/468)83% (345/416)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.50
xG on target (xGOT)
1.250.37
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
411
Touches in opposition box
2523
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
87% (409/468)83% (345/416)
Long passes
69% (22/32)53% (23/43)
Passes in final third
71% (77/108)76% (87/114)
Crosses
29% (6/21)10% (3/29)
Expected assists (xA)
1.110.54
Throw-ins
2526
Fouls
1010
Tackles
61% (14/23)50% (10/20)
Duels won
4446
Clearances
3223
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.371.25
Goals prevented
0.37-0.75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Reinaldo ,
  • 39', Batalla E. 🟨,
  • 42', Chico 🟨,
  • 43', Chico , Cristian Renato ,
  • 45+2', 2 - 0, Cristian Renato , Negueba (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Giraldo D. , Lucas Fernandes ,
  • 56', Batalla E. , Gabriel Veron ,
  • 61', Mandaca , Sforza J. ,
  • 62', Matheus Babi , Edison Negueba ,
  • 68', Shaylon , Jose Aldo ,
  • 68', Alesson , Gabriel ,
  • 73', Gabriel Taliari , Gilberto ,
  • 77', Jadson 🟨,
  • 81', Lucas Ramon , Daniel Borges ,
  • 81', Negueba , Carlos Eduardo ,

Chances of winning


Mirassol
61%
Draw
23.8%
Juventude
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.8% 25.1% 16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 24.4% 15.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Mirassol - Juventude Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.59)
    3.99
    (3.73)
    6.18
    (5.83)
    5.4%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Mirassol - Juventude?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 16 - 88.9%). Juventude will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 74.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mirassol will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
    • Mirassol is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Juventude has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Juventude may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Mirassol is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Mirassol: Guilherme (Injury) Joao Victor (Yellow Cards) PH (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Juventude: Abner (Inactive) Emerson Galego (Inactive) Enio (Yellow Cards) Ewerthon (Muscle Injury) Nata (Hamstring Injury) Rodrigo Sam (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mirassol: Da Silva (Injury) Matheus Sales (Injury)
    • We predict that Mirassol will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Mirassol won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Juventude were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Juventude - Mirassol 2:2
    22.08.2023 Mirassol - Juventude 0:1
    13.05.2023 Juventude - Mirassol 0:1
    Latest results of Mirassol
    17.09.2025 Botafogo RJ - Mirassol 3:3
    13.09.2025 Grêmio - Mirassol 0:1
    31.08.2025 Mirassol - Bahia 5:1
    24.08.2025 Fortaleza - Mirassol 0:1
    18.08.2025 Mirassol - Cruzeiro 1:1
    Latest results of Juventude
    14.09.2025 Juventude - Flamengo 0:2
    30.08.2025 Ceará - Juventude 0:1
    24.08.2025 Juventude - Botafogo RJ 1:3
    20.08.2025 Juventude - Vasco da Gama 2:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ25167250:123855
    2Palmeiras24164439:192052
    3Cruzeiro26156539:192051
    4Botafogo RJ26127737:211643
    5Mirassol251110442:251743
    6Bahia25117733:30340
    7Sao Paulo26108829:25438
    8Fluminense24105930:31-135
    9Bragantino26961132:38-633
    10Gremio2689928:32-433
    11Ceara25871023:24-131
    12Vasco26861238:38030
    13Corinthians26791026:32-630
    14Atletico-MG2478922:26-429
    15Internacional25781030:38-829
    16Santos25771125:35-1028
    17Vitoria265101121:38-1725
    18Juventude25651420:46-2623
    19Fortaleza25561424:40-1621
    20Sport Recife24291318:37-1915

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet