Juventude vs Mirassol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Juventude - Mirassol
Result
2:2
20/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 5
  • Referee: Belence P. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.242.24
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1825
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
78% (266/341)82% (359/437)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.242.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.861.84
Total shots
1825
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
615
Shots inside the Box
1218
Shots outside the Box
67
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2342
Through passes
0% (0/1)0% (0/1)
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1018
Passes
78% (266/341)82% (359/437)
Long passes
47% (21/45)37% (15/41)
Passes in final third
65% (64/99)62% (67/108)
Crosses
13% (4/31)26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.471.32
Fouls
1810
Tackles
67% (14/21)55% (6/11)
Duels won
5154
Clearances Total
4238
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.840.86
Goals prevented
-0.16-1.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 10', Felipinho 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Enio ,
  • 33', 1 - 1, Iury Castilho , Edson Carioca (A),
  • 45+1', 2 - 1, Batalla E. , Gabriel Taliari (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Iury Castilho , Cristian Renato ,
  • 54', Angel W. 🟨,
  • 57', Gabriel Taliari , Gilberto ,
  • 58', Batalla E. , Vitor Pernambuco ,
  • 58', Jean Carlos , Mandaca ,
  • 64', Yago Felipe , Daniel Fabricio ,
  • 72', 2 - 2, Reinaldo (Pen),
  • 74', Negueba , Clayson ,
  • 79', Giraldo D. , Nene ,
  • 81', Neto Moura , Jose Aldo ,
  • 82', Edson Carioca , Maceio ,
  • 83', Alex Muralha 🟨,
  • 85', Jose Aldo 🟨,
  • 86', Enio , Giovanny ,

Chances of winning


Juventude
43.4%
Draw
30.3%
Mirassol
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 29.8% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7% 25.7% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Juventude - Mirassol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.04)
    3.15
    (3.15)
    3.62
    (3.89)
    5%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Mirassol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Juventude will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Juventude: Caique Goncalves (Knee Injury) Gabriel Taliari (Ankle Injury) Giraldo D. (Head Injury) Peixoto (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Mirassol: Luiz Otavio (Injury) Matheus Sales (Injury) Ze Vitor (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Juventude: Cipriano (Hamstring Injury) Rodrigo Sam (Pelvis Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mirassol: David Braz (Injury) Gabriel (Injury) Leo Gamalho (Injury) Rafa Silva (Inactive)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Juventude won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Juventude won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Juventude - Mirassol were as follows:
    22.08.2023 Mirassol - Juventude 0:1
    13.05.2023 Juventude - Mirassol 0:1
    Latest results of Juventude
    16.04.2025 Flamengo - Juventude 6:0
    12.04.2025 Juventude - Ceará 2:1
    05.04.2025 Botafogo RJ - Juventude 2:0
    01.03.2025 Juventude - Grêmio 2:2
    Latest results of Mirassol
    16.04.2025 Mirassol - Grêmio 4:1
    13.04.2025 Bahia - Mirassol 1:1
    06.04.2025 Mirassol - Fortaleza 1:1
    29.03.2025 Cruzeiro - Mirassol 2:1
    02.03.2025 Corinthians - Mirassol 2:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ19134236:92743
    2Palmeiras18123324:15939
    3Cruzeiro20115432:141838
    4Bahia1896325:17833
    5Botafogo RJ1885523:111229
    6Mirassol1878329:191029
    7Sao Paulo2078524:22229
    8Fluminense1883723:24-127
    9Bragantino2083922:26-427
    10Ceara1974819:19025
    11Atletico-MG1866620:21-124
    12Internacional1966722:26-424
    13Gremio1965819:25-623
    14Corinthians2057819:25-622
    15Santos19631020:29-921
    16Vasco19541025:26-119
    17Vitoria20310718:24-619
    18Juventude19531117:38-2118
    19Fortaleza19361019:31-1215
    20Sport Recife18171012:27-1510

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