Juventude vs Mirassol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Juventude - Mirassol
Result
2:2
20/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 5
  • Referee: Belence P. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.242.24
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1825
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
78% (266/341)82% (359/437)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.242.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.861.84
Total shots
1825
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
615
Shots inside the Box
1218
Shots outside the Box
67
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2342
Through passes
0% (0/1)0% (0/1)
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1018
Passes
78% (266/341)82% (359/437)
Long passes
47% (21/45)37% (15/41)
Passes in final third
65% (64/99)62% (67/108)
Crosses
13% (4/31)26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.471.32
Fouls
1810
Tackles
67% (14/21)55% (6/11)
Duels won
5154
Clearances Total
4238
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.840.86
Goals prevented
-0.16-1.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 10', Felipinho 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Enio ,
  • 33', 1 - 1, Iury Castilho , Edson Carioca (A),
  • 45+1', 2 - 1, Batalla E. , Gabriel Taliari (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Iury Castilho , Cristian Renato ,
  • 54', Angel W. 🟨,
  • 57', Gabriel Taliari , Gilberto ,
  • 58', Batalla E. , Vitor Pernambuco ,
  • 58', Jean Carlos , Mandaca ,
  • 64', Yago Felipe , Daniel Fabricio ,
  • 72', 2 - 2, Reinaldo (Pen),
  • 74', Negueba , Clayson ,
  • 79', Giraldo D. , Nene ,
  • 81', Neto Moura , Jose Aldo ,
  • 82', Edson Carioca , Maceio ,
  • 83', Alex Muralha 🟨,
  • 85', Jose Aldo 🟨,
  • 86', Enio , Giovanny ,

Chances of winning


Juventude
43.4%
Draw
30.3%
Mirassol
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 29.8% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7% 25.7% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Juventude - Mirassol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.04)
    3.15
    (3.15)
    3.62
    (3.89)
    5%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Mirassol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Juventude will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Juventude: Caique Goncalves (Knee Injury) Gabriel Taliari (Ankle Injury) Giraldo D. (Head Injury) Peixoto (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Mirassol: Luiz Otavio (Injury) Matheus Sales (Injury) Ze Vitor (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Juventude: Cipriano (Hamstring Injury) Rodrigo Sam (Pelvis Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mirassol: David Braz (Injury) Gabriel (Injury) Leo Gamalho (Injury) Rafa Silva (Inactive)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Juventude won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Juventude won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Juventude - Mirassol were as follows:
    22.08.2023 Mirassol - Juventude 0:1
    13.05.2023 Juventude - Mirassol 0:1
    Latest results of Juventude
    16.04.2025 Flamengo - Juventude 6:0
    12.04.2025 Juventude - Ceará 2:1
    05.04.2025 Botafogo RJ - Juventude 2:0
    01.03.2025 Juventude - Grêmio 2:2
    Latest results of Mirassol
    16.04.2025 Mirassol - Grêmio 4:1
    13.04.2025 Bahia - Mirassol 1:1
    06.04.2025 Mirassol - Fortaleza 1:1
    29.03.2025 Cruzeiro - Mirassol 2:1
    02.03.2025 Corinthians - Mirassol 2:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ16113230:62436
    2Cruzeiro17104328:111734
    3Palmeiras15102319:12732
    4Bahia1584320:13728
    5Bragantino1783620:20027
    6Botafogo RJ1575318:81026
    7Mirassol1567224:141025
    8Sao Paulo1757518:19-122
    9Ceara1663716:16021
    10Internacional1656517:20-321
    11Corinthians1756616:20-421
    12Fluminense1562717:20-320
    13Atletico-MG1555516:16020
    14Gremio1655616:22-620
    15Vitoria1738614:18-417
    16Vasco1543816:20-415
    17Santos1643915:21-615
    18Fortaleza1635817:23-614
    19Juventude15321010:32-2211
    20Sport Recife1505109:25-165

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