Mirassol vs Juventude – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Mirassol - Juventude
Result
2:0
21/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 24
  • Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.50
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
411
Passes
87% (409/468)83% (345/416)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.50
xG on target (xGOT)
1.250.37
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
411
Touches in opposition box
2523
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
87% (409/468)83% (345/416)
Long passes
69% (22/32)53% (23/43)
Passes in final third
71% (77/108)76% (87/114)
Crosses
29% (6/21)10% (3/29)
Expected assists (xA)
1.110.54
Throw-ins
2526
Fouls
1010
Tackles
61% (14/23)50% (10/20)
Duels won
4446
Clearances
3223
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.371.25
Goals prevented
0.37-0.75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Reinaldo ,
  • 39', Batalla E. 🟨,
  • 42', Chico 🟨,
  • 43', Chico , Cristian Renato ,
  • 45+2', 2 - 0, Cristian Renato , Negueba (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Giraldo D. , Lucas Fernandes ,
  • 56', Batalla E. , Gabriel Veron ,
  • 61', Mandaca , Sforza J. ,
  • 62', Matheus Babi , Edison Negueba ,
  • 68', Shaylon , Jose Aldo ,
  • 68', Alesson , Gabriel ,
  • 73', Gabriel Taliari , Gilberto ,
  • 77', Jadson 🟨,
  • 81', Lucas Ramon , Daniel Borges ,
  • 81', Negueba , Carlos Eduardo ,

Chances of winning


Mirassol
61%
Draw
23.8%
Juventude
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.8% 25.1% 16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 24.4% 15.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Mirassol - Juventude Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.59)
    3.99
    (3.73)
    6.18
    (5.83)
    5.4%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Mirassol - Juventude?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 16 - 88.9%). Juventude will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 74.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mirassol will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
    • Mirassol is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Juventude has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Juventude may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Mirassol is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Mirassol: Guilherme (Injury) Joao Victor (Yellow Cards) PH (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Juventude: Abner (Inactive) Emerson Galego (Inactive) Enio (Yellow Cards) Ewerthon (Muscle Injury) Nata (Hamstring Injury) Rodrigo Sam (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mirassol: Da Silva (Injury) Matheus Sales (Injury)
    • We predict that Mirassol will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Mirassol won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Juventude were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Juventude - Mirassol 2:2
    22.08.2023 Mirassol - Juventude 0:1
    13.05.2023 Juventude - Mirassol 0:1
    Latest results of Mirassol
    17.09.2025 Botafogo RJ - Mirassol 3:3
    13.09.2025 Grêmio - Mirassol 0:1
    31.08.2025 Mirassol - Bahia 5:1
    24.08.2025 Fortaleza - Mirassol 0:1
    18.08.2025 Mirassol - Cruzeiro 1:1
    Latest results of Juventude
    14.09.2025 Juventude - Flamengo 0:2
    30.08.2025 Ceará - Juventude 0:1
    24.08.2025 Juventude - Botafogo RJ 1:3
    20.08.2025 Juventude - Vasco da Gama 2:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras28194553:262761
    2Flamengo RJ28187356:154161
    3Cruzeiro29168542:212156
    4Mirassol301510552:312155
    5Bahia30147940:34649
    6Botafogo RJ29137939:261346
    7Fluminense291351136:35144
    8Sao Paulo301181133:33041
    9Vasco291161246:41539
    10Corinthians301091132:35-339
    11Bragantino291061334:44-1036
    12Atletico-MG29991127:32-536
    13Gremio29991130:37-736
    14Ceara29981227:28-135
    15Internacional30981335:43-835
    16Santos28871328:40-1231
    17Vitoria307101327:44-1731
    18Juventude29751723:53-3026
    19Fortaleza28661626:44-1824
    20Sport Recife292111622:46-2417

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet