Result
2:0
21/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 24
- Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (409/468) | 83% (345/416) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (409/468) | 83% (345/416) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (22/32) | 53% (23/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (77/108) | 76% (87/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 10% (3/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (14/23) | 50% (10/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | -0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Reinaldo ⚽,
- 39', Batalla E. 🟨,
- 42', Chico 🟨,
- 43', Chico ↓, Cristian Renato ↑,
- 45+2', 2 - 0, Cristian Renato ⚽, Negueba (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Giraldo D. ↓, Lucas Fernandes ↑,
- 56', Batalla E. ↓, Gabriel Veron ↑,
- 61', Mandaca ↓, Sforza J. ↑,
- 62', Matheus Babi ↓, Edison Negueba ↑,
- 68', Shaylon ↓, Jose Aldo ↑,
- 68', Alesson ↓, Gabriel ↑,
- 73', Gabriel Taliari ↓, Gilberto ↑,
- 77', Jadson 🟨,
- 81', Lucas Ramon ↓, Daniel Borges ↑,
- 81', Negueba ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
Chances of winning
Mirassol
61% | Draw
23.8% | Juventude
15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Mirassol - Juventude Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(1.59) |
3.99 ↑
(3.73) |
6.18 ↑
(5.83) |
5.4%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mirassol - Juventude?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 16 - 88.9%). Juventude will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 74.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mirassol will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- Mirassol is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Juventude has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Juventude may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Mirassol is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Mirassol: Guilherme
(Injury)
Joao Victor
(Yellow Cards)
PH
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Juventude: Abner
(Inactive)
Emerson Galego
(Inactive)
Enio
(Yellow Cards)
Ewerthon
(Muscle Injury)
Nata
(Hamstring Injury)
Rodrigo Sam
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: Da Silva
(Injury)
Matheus Sales
(Injury)
- We predict that Mirassol will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Mirassol won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Juventude?
Mirassol has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juventude won against Mirassol?
Juventude has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Juventude were as follows:
20.04.2025
Juventude
-
Mirassol
2:2
22.08.2023
Mirassol
-
Juventude
0:1
13.05.2023
Juventude
-
Mirassol
0:1
Latest results of Mirassol
Latest results of Juventude
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 56:15 | 41 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 40:34 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 |
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
