São Paulo vs Juventude – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Do MorumBIS (Sao Paulo).

Serie A Betano - Round 35
Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Mexico	Fanatiz
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.56	1.14
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
8	14
Shots on target
5	5
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
3	8
Passes
82% (354/434)	83% (336/406)
Yellow Cards
5	1
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56	1.14
xG on target (xGOT)
2.10	0.35
Total shots
8	14
Shots on target
5	5
Shots off target
2	2
Blocked Shots
1	7
Shots inside the Box
7	9
Shots outside the Box
1	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
3	8
Touches in opposition box
15	23
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
18	15
Passes
82% (354/434)	83% (336/406)
Long passes
20% (9/46)	60% (30/50)
Passes in final third
64% (48/75)	69% (88/127)
Crosses
30% (3/10)	13% (3/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.07	0.68
Throw-ins
19	15
Fouls
15	18
Tackles
64% (21/33)	67% (10/15)
Duels won
71	49
Clearances
31	17
Interceptions
5	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	3
xGOT faced
0.35	2.10
Goals prevented
0.35	0.10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Bobadilla D. ⚽,
9', Sabino 🟨,
21', Mandaca 🟨,
27', Pablo Maia 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ferreira ↓, Lucca Marques ↑,
46', Jadson ↓, Enio ↑,
46', Giovanny ↓, Lucas Fernandes ↑,
61', Pablo Maia ↓, Marcos Antonio ↑,
69', Luiz Gustavo ↓, Felipe Negrucci ↑,
69', Marcos Paulo ↓, Matheus Babi ↑,
79', Lucca Marques 🟨,
80', Caique Goncalves ↓, Edison Negueba ↑,
86', Igor Formiga 🟥,
87', Tapia G. ↓, Rigoni E. ↑,
87', Luciano ↓, Paulinho ↑,
88', Lucas Fernandes ↓, Giraldo D. ↑,
89', Rafael 🟨,
90', Bobadilla D. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 0, Rigoni E. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 1, Ferraresi N. (Own goal),

Chances of winning

São Paulo
60.5%

Draw
24.8%

Juventude
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

23.6%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

22.9%

13%

São Paulo - Juventude Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.46)	3.88 ↓ (3.95)	6.44 ↓ (7.4)	4.9% (7.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for São Paulo - Juventude?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Juventude will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 29.6% – 90.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. São Paulo (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, São Paulo is the undeniable favorite.
There will not play in São Paulo: Alisson (Yellow Cards) Andre Silva (Knee Injury) Diaz E. (Hip Injury) Dinenno J. (Knee Injury) Jonathan Calleri (Knee Injury) Luan Silva (Muscle Injury) Lucas Moura (Knee Injury) Marcos Antonio (Hamstring Injury) Oscar (Heart Problems) Robert Arboleda (Muscle Injury) Rodriguinho (Knee Injury) Ryan Francisco (Knee Injury) Wendell (Heel Injury)
There will not play in Juventude: Alan Ruschel (Yellow Cards) Angel W. (Inactive) Gilberto (Muscle Injury) Nene (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in São Paulo: Toloi R. (Injury)
There are questionable in Juventude: Emerson Galego (Ankle Injury) Nata (Hamstring Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.3:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Juventude?

São Paulo has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Juventude won against São Paulo?

Juventude has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Juventude were as follows:

24.07.2025 Juventude - São Paulo 0:1

04.12.2024 São Paulo - Juventude 1:2

21.07.2024 Juventude - São Paulo 0:0

23.10.2022 Juventude - São Paulo 1:2

Latest results of São Paulo

20.11.2025 Corinthians - São Paulo 3:1 ✺

08.11.2025 São Paulo - Red Bull Bragantino 0:1 ✺

05.11.2025 São Paulo - Flamengo 2:2 ✺

02.11.2025 Vasco da Gama - São Paulo 0:2 ✺

25.10.2025 São Paulo - Bahia 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Juventude

20.11.2025 Juventude - Cruzeiro 3:3 ✺

08.11.2025 Vasco da Gama - Juventude 1:3 ✺

05.11.2025 Sport Recife - Juventude 0:2 ✺

02.11.2025 Juventude - Palmeiras 0:2 ✺

26.10.2025 Grêmio - Juventude 3:1 ✺

Brazilian Serie A Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bragantino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Internacional	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Vasco	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Gremio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Botafogo RJ	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Santos	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Sao Paulo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Coritiba	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Cruzeiro	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Vitoria	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Atletico-MG	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Fluminense	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Flamengo RJ	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Palmeiras	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Athletico-PR	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bahia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Corinthians	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Mirassol	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Remo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Chapecoense-SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet