Result
0:1
24/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 16
- Referee: Sampaio S. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.30 | 1.00 |
Ball Possession |
---|
37% | 63% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
0 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
78% (245/314) | 89% (491/552) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.30 | 1.00 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.00 | 1.94 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
0 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 7 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
13 | 20 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
78% (245/314) | 89% (491/552) |
Long passes |
---|
48% (20/42) | 53% (28/53) |
Passes in final third |
---|
60% (46/77) | 83% (139/168) |
Crosses |
---|
24% (5/21) | 23% (7/31) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.28 | 1.79 |
Throw-ins |
---|
24 | 27 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
54% (7/13) | 31% (4/13) |
Duels won |
---|
38 | 42 |
Clearances |
---|
31 | 29 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.94 | 0.00 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.94 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Marcos Paulo 🟨,
- 28', Andre Silva 🟨,
- 31', Gilberto 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Marcos Paulo ↓, Abner ↑,
- 61', Gilberto ↓, Matheus Babi ↑,
- 62', Batalla E. ↓, Enio ↑,
- 65', Soares C. ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
- 68', Gabriel Veron ↓, Gabriel Taliari ↑,
- 76', Mandaca ↓, Nene ↑,
- 78', Andre Silva ↓, Lucas Ferreira ↑,
- 85', 0 - 1, Luciano ⚽, Marcos Antonio (A),
- 88', Alisson ↓, Luan Silva ↑,
- 88', Wendell ↓, Diaz E. ↑,
- 88', Marcos Antonio ↓, Pablo Maia ↑,
- 90+4', Luciano 🟨,
- 90+6', Caique Goncalves 🟨,
Chances of winning
Juventude 22.1% | Draw 30.2% | São Paulo 47.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juventude's form might have worsened.São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São Paulo's recent form is better than expected.
Juventude - São Paulo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.28 ↑ (2.66) |
3.16 ↑ (3.14) |
2.04 ↓ (2.71) |
4% (6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Juventude - São Paulo?
Users Predictions:
61 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 6 - 9.8%). São Paulo will win (votes: 46 - 75.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 64.6% – 86.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - São Paulo (votes: 3 - 75%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): São Paulo will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 1.
- São Paulo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Juventude may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, São Paulo is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Juventude: Ewerthon
(Injury)
Rafael Bilu
(Injury)
Rodrigo Sam
(Injury)
- There will not play in São Paulo: Jonathan Calleri
(Knee Injury)
Lucas Moura
(Knee Injury)
Luiz Gustavo
(Contusion)
Ryan Francisco
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Juventude: Cipriano
(Hamstring Injury)
Lucas Fernandes
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in São Paulo: Oscar
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Juventude won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Juventude won against São Paulo?
Juventude has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Juventude?
São Paulo has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juventude - São Paulo were as follows:
04.12.2024
São Paulo
-
Juventude
1:2
21.07.2024
Juventude
-
São Paulo
0:0
23.10.2022
Juventude
-
São Paulo
1:2
Latest results of Juventude
Latest results of São Paulo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
4 | Bahia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 28 |
5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
6 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
14 | Gremio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 20 |
15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Vasco | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet