Result
0:1
24/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 16
- Referee: Sampaio S. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (245/314) | 89% (491/552) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (245/314) | 89% (491/552) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (20/42) | 53% (28/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (46/77) | 83% (139/168) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 23% (7/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.79 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 31% (4/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Marcos Paulo 🟨,
- 28', Andre Silva 🟨,
- 31', Gilberto 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Marcos Paulo ↓, Abner ↑,
- 61', Gilberto ↓, Matheus Babi ↑,
- 62', Batalla E. ↓, Enio ↑,
- 65', Soares C. ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
- 68', Gabriel Veron ↓, Gabriel Taliari ↑,
- 76', Mandaca ↓, Nene ↑,
- 78', Andre Silva ↓, Lucas Ferreira ↑,
- 85', 0 - 1, Luciano ⚽, Marcos Antonio (A),
- 88', Alisson ↓, Luan Silva ↑,
- 88', Wendell ↓, Diaz E. ↑,
- 88', Marcos Antonio ↓, Pablo Maia ↑,
- 90+4', Luciano 🟨,
- 90+6', Caique Goncalves 🟨,
Chances of winning
Juventude
22.1% | Draw
30.2% | São Paulo
47.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juventude's form might have worsened.São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São Paulo's recent form is better than expected.
Juventude - São Paulo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.28 ↑
(2.66) |
3.16 ↑
(3.14) |
2.04 ↓
(2.71) |
4%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Juventude - São Paulo?
Users Predictions:
61 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 6 - 9.8%). São Paulo will win (votes: 46 - 75.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 64.6% – 86.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - São Paulo (votes: 3 - 75%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): São Paulo will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 1.
- São Paulo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Juventude may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, São Paulo is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Juventude: Ewerthon
(Injury)
Rafael Bilu
(Injury)
Rodrigo Sam
(Injury)
- There will not play in São Paulo: Jonathan Calleri
(Knee Injury)
Lucas Moura
(Knee Injury)
Luiz Gustavo
(Contusion)
Ryan Francisco
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Juventude: Cipriano
(Hamstring Injury)
Lucas Fernandes
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in São Paulo: Oscar
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Juventude won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Juventude won against São Paulo?
Juventude has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Juventude?
São Paulo has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juventude - São Paulo were as follows:
04.12.2024
São Paulo
-
Juventude
1:2
21.07.2024
Juventude
-
São Paulo
0:0
23.10.2022
Juventude
-
São Paulo
1:2
Latest results of Juventude
Latest results of São Paulo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 56:16 | 40 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 40:34 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 |
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 19 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
