Result
2:1
23/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 35
- Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (354/434) | 83% (336/406) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (354/434) | 83% (336/406) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 20% (9/46) | 60% (30/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (48/75) | 69% (88/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 13% (3/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (21/33) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 71 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.35 | 2.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Bobadilla D. ⚽,
- 9', Sabino 🟨,
- 21', Mandaca 🟨,
- 27', Pablo Maia 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ferreira ↓, Lucca Marques ↑,
- 46', Jadson ↓, Enio ↑,
- 46', Giovanny ↓, Lucas Fernandes ↑,
- 61', Pablo Maia ↓, Marcos Antonio ↑,
- 69', Luiz Gustavo ↓, Felipe Negrucci ↑,
- 69', Marcos Paulo ↓, Matheus Babi ↑,
- 79', Lucca Marques 🟨,
- 80', Caique Goncalves ↓, Edison Negueba ↑,
- 86', Igor Formiga 🟥,
- 87', Tapia G. ↓, Rigoni E. ↑,
- 87', Luciano ↓, Paulinho ↑,
- 88', Lucas Fernandes ↓, Giraldo D. ↑,
- 89', Rafael 🟨,
- 90', Bobadilla D. 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 0, Rigoni E. ⚽,
- 90+6', 2 - 1, Ferraresi N. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
São Paulo
60.5% | Draw
24.8% | Juventude
14.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
São Paulo - Juventude Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↑
(1.46) |
3.88 ↓
(3.95) |
6.44 ↓
(7.4) |
4.9%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for São Paulo - Juventude?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Juventude will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 29.6% – 90.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. São Paulo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -3.5 - São Paulo (8.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. São Paulo (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, São Paulo is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in São Paulo: Alisson
(Yellow Cards)
Andre Silva
(Knee Injury)
Diaz E.
(Hip Injury)
Dinenno J.
(Knee Injury)
Jonathan Calleri
(Knee Injury)
Luan Silva
(Muscle Injury)
Lucas Moura
(Knee Injury)
Marcos Antonio
(Hamstring Injury)
Oscar
(Heart Problems)
Robert Arboleda
(Muscle Injury)
Rodriguinho
(Knee Injury)
Ryan Francisco
(Knee Injury)
Wendell
(Heel Injury)
- There will not play in Juventude: Alan Ruschel
(Yellow Cards)
Angel W.
(Inactive)
Gilberto
(Muscle Injury)
Nene
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in São Paulo: Toloi R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Juventude: Emerson Galego
(Ankle Injury)
Nata
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Juventude?
São Paulo has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juventude won against São Paulo?
Juventude has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Juventude were as follows:
24.07.2025
Juventude
-
São Paulo
0:1
04.12.2024
São Paulo
-
Juventude
1:2
21.07.2024
Juventude
-
São Paulo
0:0
23.10.2022
Juventude
-
São Paulo
1:2
Latest results of São Paulo
Latest results of Juventude
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Bahia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Gremio | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Vasco | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Internacional | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Santos | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 17 | Cruzeiro | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | Remo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Chapecoense-SC | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
