Result
3:1
25/04/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Women - Championship Group - Round 8
- Referee: Ubaldi M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 United-kingdom | DAZN 1 UK |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 2.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (317/375) | 87% (317/364) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 2.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.02 | 1.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (317/375) | 87% (317/364) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (23/51) | 57% (16/28) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (67/86) | 78% (101/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 26% (10/39) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.80 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (16/21) | 56% (14/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.78 | 3.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Janogy M. ⚽, Bredgaard S. (A),
- 25', 2 - 0, Severini E. (Pen),
- 40', Krumbiegel P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 59', Bredgaard S. 🟨,
- 61', Lehmann A. ↓, Girelli C. ↑,
- 61', Bennison H. ↓, Schatzer E. ↑,
- 61', Krumbiegel P. ↓, Bonansea B. ↑,
- 68', Catena M. ↓, Curmark F. ↑,
- 75', Rosucci M. ↓, Brighton A. ↑,
- 75', Vangsgaard A. ↓, Cantore S. ↑,
- 77', Boquete V. ↓, Pastrenge L. ↑,
- 77', Bredgaard S. ↓, DellaPeruta V. ↑,
- 79', Schatzer E. 🟨,
- 81', 3 - 0, Janogy M. ⚽, Severini E. (A),
- 88', Bonfantini A. ↓, Longo M. ↑,
- 88', Janogy M. ↓, Georgieva M. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 1, Godo E. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Fiorentina
29.5% | Draw
26% | Juventus
44.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fiorentina's performance.Juventus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fiorentina that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fiorentina - Juventus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.1 ↓
(3.71) |
3.52 ↓
(3.6) |
2.05 ↑
(1.77) |
9.4%
(11.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 1.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Fiorentina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Fiorentina have a series of guest games.
- Juventus will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 21:46 (average 1.1:2.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Fiorentina won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 9:20 (average 1:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Juventus?
Fiorentina has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juventus won against Fiorentina?
Juventus has won 10 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Juventus were as follows:
15.03.2025
Juventus
-
Fiorentina
0:2
06.03.2025
Juventus
-
Fiorentina
1:0
16.02.2025
Fiorentina
-
Juventus
2:3
15.12.2024
Fiorentina
-
Juventus
0:3
30.09.2024
Juventus
-
Fiorentina
4:0
Latest results of Fiorentina
Latest results of Juventus
Italian Serie A Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter W | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | AS Roma W | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
| 3 | Napoli W | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Lazio W | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | AC Milan W | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Juventus W | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Sassuolo W | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Como W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 9 | Fiorentina W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Genoa W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Parma W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 12 | Ternana W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Women
