Kärpät vs JYP – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey Finnish SM-liiga Kärpät - JYP
Result
4:3
05/03/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FINLAND: Liiga
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
swedenSwedenTV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.782.82
Shots on Goal
2234
Shots off Goal
712
Shooting PCT
18.18% (4/22)8.82% (3/34)
Blocked Shots
1211
Goalkeeper Saves
3118
Saves PCT
91.18% (31/34)81.82% (18/22)
Penalties
34
PIM
68
Power-play Goals
20
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
50% (2/4)0% (0/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (3/3)50% (2/4)
Faceoffs Won
2728
Faceoffs %
49.0950.91
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 07:43, 0 - 1, Puustinen J. (G), Perttu M. (A), Pulli J. (A2)
  • 14:36, 1 - 1, Turunen T. (G), Paaso A. (A), Kovarcik M. (A2)
  • 17:38, Gardiner R. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (2 - 0)
  • 03:45, Liikonen V. (2 min),
  • 04:26, 2 - 1, Virta P. (G), Kovarcik M. (A), Bjork M. (A2)
  • 08:04, Pulkkinen J. (2 min),
  • 08:53, 3 - 1, Virta P. (G), Turunen T. (A), Gardiner R. (A2)
  • 15:04, Pulli J. (2 min),
  • 15:21, Vidgren A. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 2)
  • 06:29, 3 - 2, Eronen T. (G), Huovila S. (A), Lassila J. (A2)
  • 07:38, 4 - 2, Virta P. (G), Pokka V. (A), Heikkala V. (A2)
  • 12:57, Rueschhoff A. (2 min),
  • 14:59, 4 - 3, Perttu M. (G), Ojantakanen V. (A), Eronen T. (A2)
  • 17:11, Janhonen J. (2 min),

Chances of winning


Kärpät
54.8%
Draw
21.3%
JYP
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.2% 21.7% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 21.3% 29.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kärpät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kärpät's performance.
  • JYP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and JYP might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kärpät that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for JYP than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that JYP could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Kärpät - JYP Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.93)
    4.43
    (4.3)
    3.93
    (3.09)
    6.5%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 15 in the zone Liiga (Relegation)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Kärpät won 4.
    • The competitors look crappy now.
    • Kärpät could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Kärpät have a series of guest games.
    • Kärpät will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Kärpät won 14 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 93:52 (average 4.7:2.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Kärpät won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 40:26 (average 4.4:2.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kärpät - JYP were as follows:
    18.01.2025 JYP - Kärpät 0:4
    29.11.2024 JYP - Kärpät 5:4
    25.09.2024 Kärpät - JYP 4:2
    04.09.2024 JYP - Kärpät 2:9
    09.02.2024 Kärpät - JYP 5:4
    Latest results of Kärpät
    01.03.2025 Ässät - Kärpät 3:1
    28.02.2025 Lukko - Kärpät 2:1
    22.02.2025 KalPa - Kärpät 7:5
    21.02.2025 KalPa - Kärpät 4:3
    19.02.2025 Kärpät - KooKoo 2:1
    Latest results of JYP
    28.02.2025 HIFK - JYP 1:0
    25.02.2025 JYP - SaiPa 4:5
    22.02.2025 JYP - Ilves 3:1
    21.02.2025 HPK - JYP 3:0
    19.02.2025 TPS - JYP 6:3
    Finnish SM-liiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Assat000000:00
    2Hameenlinna000000:00
    3IFK Helsinki000000:00
    4Ilves000000:00
    5JYP000000:00
    6KalPa000000:00
    7Lukko000000:00
    8Pelicans000000:00
    9SaiPa000000:00
    10Tappara000000:00
    11TPS Turku000000:00
    12Karpat000000:00
    13KooKoo000000:00
    14Vaasan Sport000000:00
    15Jukurit000000:00
    16Kiekko-Espoo000000:00

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