Result
5:2
08/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 4.14 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 23 | 38 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 21.74% (5/23) | 5.26% (2/38) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 36 | 18 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 94.74% (36/38) | 81.82% (18/22) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 27 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 0% (0/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 75% (3/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 30 | 35 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 46.15 | 53.85 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 09:25, 1 - 0, Tichacek J. (G), Kantner M. (A), Hirvonen R. (A2)
- 09:25, Hirvonen R. (5 min),
- 14:34, Erholtz E. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (2 - 2)
- 00:22, True A. (2 min),
- 03:51, 2 - 0, Tardif B. (G),
- 05:27, 2 - 1, Perttu M. (G), Vidgren A. (A),
- 09:13, Perttu M. (2 min),
- 14:03, 3 - 1, Salmela T. (G), Pietila B. (A), Ojantakanen K. (A2)
- 17:37, 3 - 2, Jokinen R. (G), Torgersson D. (A), Pulli J. (A2)
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 03:35, True A. (2 min),
- 04:16, 4 - 2, Tardif B. (G), Tichacek J. (A), Kantner M. (A2)
- 14:52, Lehmus J. (2 min),
- 18:54, 5 - 2, Erholtz E. (G), Virta P. (A), Kantner M. (A2)
Chances of winning
Kärpät
39.8% | Draw
23% | JYP
37.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kärpät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)JYP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for JYP than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Kärpät - JYP Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↓
(2.42) |
4.05 ↓
(4.11) |
2.56 ↑
(2.43) |
5.9%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 4.
- In recent matches, Kärpät has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- JYP is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Kärpät may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 96:54. (average 4.8:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kärpät won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 45:32. (average 4.5:3.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against JYP?
Kärpät has won 11 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has JYP won against Kärpät?
JYP has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kärpät - JYP were as follows:
22.08.2025
Kärpät
-
JYP
5:4
05.03.2025
Kärpät
-
JYP
4:3
18.01.2025
JYP
-
Kärpät
0:4
29.11.2024
JYP
-
Kärpät
5:4
25.09.2024
Kärpät
-
JYP
4:2
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 11 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 39:23 | 24 |
| 2 | JYP | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 47:36 | 24 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 44:35 | 23 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 46:41 | 22 |
| 5 | Tappara | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 39:28 | 21 |
| 6 | Kiekko-Espoo | 13 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 36:35 | 21 |
| 7 | Lukko | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 35:34 | 20 |
| 8 | Jukurit | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 34:39 | 20 |
| 9 | KalPa | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 33:34 | 19 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 29:28 | 18 |
| 11 | Hameenlinna | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 32:34 | 18 |
| 12 | Karpat | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 45:45 | 16 |
| 13 | Vaasan Sport | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 34:40 | 14 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 12 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 23:34 | 13 |
| 15 | Ilves | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 31:45 | 12 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 25:41 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
