Result
2:4
27/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.30 | 1.95 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 32 | 22 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 6.25% (2/32) | 18.18% (4/22) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 18 | 30 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 81.82% (18/22) | 93.75% (30/32) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/5) | 20% (1/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 100% (5/5) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 39 | 22 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 63.93 | 36.07 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 2)
- 03:32, 1 - 0, Jonsson S. (G), Kantner M. (A), Virta P. (A2)
- 07:17, 1 - 1, Nieminen V. (G), Vatanen S. (A), Tyrvainen A. (A2)
- 15:13, Salmela T. (2 min),
- 15:24, 1 - 2, Jormakka P. (G), Eronen T. (A), Ojantakanen V. (A2)
- 20:00, Kantner M. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 07:40, Jormakka P. (2 min),
- 08:48, Lassila J. (2 min),
- 12:59, Bjork M. (2 min),
- 16:05, 2 - 2, Hirvonen R. (G), Bjork M. (A),
- 18:46, Nieminen V. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 02:08, 2 - 3, Tukiainen L. (G), True A. (A), Jormakka P. (A2)
- 03:28, 2 - 4, Liljamo T. (G),
- 05:20, Nutivaara M. (2 min),
- 05:20, Torgersson D. (2 min),
- 10:13, Alasiurua A. (2 min),
- 13:02, Winberg T. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Kärpät
39.7% | Draw
24% | JYP
36.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kärpät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)JYP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for JYP than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Kärpät - JYP Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↑
(2.32) |
3.9 ↓
(4.09) |
2.61 ↓
(2.62) |
6.8%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
What is the prediction for Kärpät - JYP?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - JYP (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
JYP will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): JYP will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. JYP (votes: 9 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 4.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, JYP has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 92:57. (average 4.6:2.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kärpät won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 43:27. (average 4.8:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against JYP?
Kärpät has won 13 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has JYP won against Kärpät?
JYP has won 5 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kärpät - JYP were as follows:
26.12.2025
JYP
-
Kärpät
5:3
31.10.2025
JYP
-
Kärpät
4:5
08.10.2025
Kärpät
-
JYP
5:2
22.08.2025
Kärpät
-
JYP
5:4
05.03.2025
Kärpät
-
JYP
4:3
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
