Result
4:3
27/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 2.59 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 24 | 34 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 16.67% (4/24) | 8.82% (3/34) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 31 | 20 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 91.18% (31/34) | 83.33% (20/24) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 60% (3/5) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 23 | 27 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 46 | 54 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (3 - 0)
- 00:24, 1 - 0, Vatanen S. (G), Lassila J. (A), Ojantakanen V. (A2)
- 01:29, Saarela A. (2 min),
- 09:54, 2 - 0, True A. (G),
- 12:38, Morand A. (2 min),
- 13:09, 3 - 0, Puustinen J. (G), Nieminen V. (A), Vatanen S. (A2)
- 14:37, Peters A. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 12:09, Huttu E. (2 min),
- 16:05, Westerholm Po. (2 min),
- 16:09, 4 - 0, Ojantakanen V. (G), Puustinen J. (A), Lassila J. (A2)
- 18:56, 4 - 1, Stenqvist J. (G), Ikonen H. (A), Intonen A. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 06:00, Ikonen H. (2 min),
- 16:05, 4 - 2, Morand A. (G), Jandric S. (A), Gelinas E. (A2)
- 19:31, 4 - 3, Saarela A. (G), Tuuva L. (A), Stenqvist J. (A2)
Chances of winning
JYP 38.7% | Draw 24.2% | Lukko 37.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
JYP - Lukko Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.41 ↓ (2.45) |
3.82 ↑ (3.7) |
2.51 ↓ (2.55) |
7.5% (7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
What is the prediction for JYP - Lukko?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. JYP (votes: 1 - 50%). Lukko (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JYP won 1.
- Recent performances by JYP have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lukko has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- JYP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- We predict that JYP will win today's game, with odds of 2.33.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, JYP won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 48:76. (average 2.4:3.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, JYP won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:37. (average 3.1:4.1).
How many head-to-head matches has JYP won against Lukko?
JYP has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against JYP?
Lukko has won 10 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between JYP - Lukko were as follows:
21.11.2025
JYP
-
Lukko
4:3
10.10.2025
Lukko
-
JYP
4:2
12.03.2025
Lukko
-
JYP
3:2
28.12.2024
JYP
-
Lukko
2:5
13.11.2024
JYP
-
Lukko
2:5
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 44 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 164:104 | 90 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 45 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 151:128 | 80 |
| 3 | JYP | 42 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 147:121 | 79 |
| 4 | Lukko | 44 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 138:118 | 76 |
| 5 | KooKoo | 42 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 150:108 | 75 |
| 6 | Ilves | 44 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 139:116 | 75 |
| 7 | KalPa | 43 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 129:128 | 74 |
| 8 | Assat | 44 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 124:117 | 72 |
| 9 | IFK Helsinki | 44 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 102:143 | 58 |
| 10 | Kiekko-Espoo | 45 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 112:133 | 58 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 45 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 107:123 | 58 |
| 12 | Pelicans | 42 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 86:107 | 56 |
| 13 | Jukurit | 42 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 100:114 | 54 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 44 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 104:124 | 53 |
| 15 | Karpat | 44 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 133:147 | 51 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 44 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 93:148 | 38 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)