Result
5:2
03/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.09 | 2.13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 28 | 17 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 17.86% (5/28) | 11.76% (2/17) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 88.24% (15/17) | 82.14% (23/28) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 100% (3/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 27 | 24 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 52.94 | 47.06 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 2)
- 01:14, 1 - 0, Krannila J. (G), Gelinas E. (A), Salonen D. (A2)
- 07:56, 2 - 0, Krannila J. (G), Ruohomaa M. (A), Stenqvist J. (A2)
- 08:21, 2 - 1, Ojantakanen V. (G), Lassila J. (A), Vatanen S. (A2)
- 12:23, 2 - 2, Peltola E. (G), Vatanen S. (A), Lassila J. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 05:07, 3 - 2, Viitasalo N. (G), Jandric S. (A), Morand A. (A2)
- 07:59, Winberg T. (2 min),
- 10:36, Vatanen S. (2 min),
- 15:31, Pulli J. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 00:41, 4 - 2, Saarela A. (G), Beaucage A. (A),
- 08:55, 5 - 2, Joki A. (G), Krannila J. (A),
- 10:25, Krannila J. (Penalty Shot),
- 11:03, Gelinas E. (2 min),
- 13:57, Stenqvist J. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Lukko
44.9% | Draw
22.8% | JYP
32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lukko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lukko's form might have worsened.JYP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting JYP's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (+15.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lukko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for JYP than the current prediction. (-11.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for JYP, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lukko - JYP Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↑
(1.8) |
4.05 ↑
(3.97) |
2.92 ↓
(3.81) |
7.3%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
What is the prediction for Lukko - JYP?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 3.
- In recent matches, Lukko has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- JYP is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Lukko is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 75:52. (average 3.8:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lukko won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 35:20. (average 3.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against JYP?
Lukko has won 10 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has JYP won against Lukko?
JYP has won 5 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lukko - JYP were as follows:
27.01.2026
JYP
-
Lukko
4:3
21.11.2025
JYP
-
Lukko
4:3
10.10.2025
Lukko
-
JYP
4:2
12.03.2025
Lukko
-
JYP
3:2
28.12.2024
JYP
-
Lukko
2:5
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara ✔ | 57 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 214:138 | 113 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 58 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 197:154 | 109 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 57 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 201:148 | 106 |
| 4 | JYP | 57 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 191:164 | 103 |
| 5 | Ilves | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 175:144 | 101 |
| 6 | Lukko | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 173:145 | 101 |
| 7 | KalPa | 58 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 174:170 | 100 |
| 8 | Assat ✔ | 57 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 155:156 | 88 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo ✔ | 58 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 147:155 | 84 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 57 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 130:149 | 80 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 57 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 137:178 | 79 |
| 12 | Hameenlinna | 57 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 138:158 | 72 |
| 13 | TPS Turku | 57 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 134:162 | 71 |
| 14 | Jukurit | 57 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 127:156 | 64 |
| 15 | Karpat | 57 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 167:188 | 63 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 58 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 107:202 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Assat is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
