Result
2:1 OT
30/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.24 | 2.63 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 33 | 23 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 6.06% (2/33) | 4.35% (1/23) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 22 | 31 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 95.65% (22/23) | 93.94% (31/33) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/4) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 100% (4/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 34 | 23 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 59.65 | 40.35 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 07:14, Rafkin R. (2 min),
- 17:41, Wernblom L. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 05:46, Winberg T. (2 min),
- 08:23, Pakkila E. (2 min),
- 10:55, 0 - 1, Wernblom L. (G), Pakkila E. (A), Binner A. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 04:25, Pikkarainen K. (2 min),
- 13:02, 1 - 1, Jormakka P. (G), Puustinen J. (A), Winberg T. (A2)
- Overtime (1 - 0)
- 03:44, 2 - 1, True A. (G), Torgersson D. (A), Peltola E. (A2)
Chances of winning
JYP
49.8% | Draw
23.1% | TPS
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
JYP - TPS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↓
(1.9) |
3.96 ↑
(3.89) |
3.45 ↓
(3.49) |
7.6%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for JYP - TPS?
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. JYP will win (votes: 2 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. JYP (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JYP won 3.
- JYP is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- TPS's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- JYP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- JYP is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- We predict that JYP will win today's game, with odds of 1.87.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, JYP won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 48:63. (average 2.4:3.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, JYP won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:33. (average 2.8:3.3).
How many head-to-head matches has JYP won against TPS?
JYP has won 5 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against JYP?
TPS has won 11 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between JYP - TPS were as follows:
09.12.2025
TPS
-
JYP
1:2
11.10.2025
JYP
-
TPS
5:4
19.02.2025
TPS
-
JYP
6:3
03.01.2025
JYP
-
TPS
6:3
18.12.2024
TPS
-
JYP
3:2
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 44 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 164:104 | 90 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 45 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 151:128 | 80 |
| 3 | JYP | 42 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 147:121 | 79 |
| 4 | Lukko | 44 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 138:118 | 76 |
| 5 | KooKoo | 42 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 150:108 | 75 |
| 6 | Ilves | 44 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 139:116 | 75 |
| 7 | KalPa | 43 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 129:128 | 74 |
| 8 | Assat | 44 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 124:117 | 72 |
| 9 | IFK Helsinki | 44 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 102:143 | 58 |
| 10 | Kiekko-Espoo | 45 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 112:133 | 58 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 45 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 107:123 | 58 |
| 12 | Pelicans | 42 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 86:107 | 56 |
| 13 | Jukurit | 42 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 100:114 | 54 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 44 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 104:124 | 53 |
| 15 | Karpat | 44 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 133:147 | 51 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 44 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 93:148 | 38 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
