Result
1:2 penalties
09/12/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.02 | 2.94 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 22 | 34 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 4.55% (1/22) | 2.94% (1/34) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 33 | 21 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 97.06% (33/34) | 95.45% (21/22) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 0% (0/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 75% (3/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 20 | 37 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 35.09 | 64.91 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 04:38, 0 - 1, Lassila J. (G), Torgersson D. (A), Vatanen S. (A2)
- 05:16, Pikkarainen K. (2 min),
- 18:04, Perttu M. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 03:05, Vidgren A. (2 min),
- 03:05, Landen A. (2 min),
- 06:14, True A. (2 min),
- 06:56, Vatanen S. (2 min),
- 07:38, 1 - 1, Yliniemi S. (G), Savinainen V. (A), Reunanen T. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- 17:36, Soderlund T. (2 min),
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (2 - 3)
- 1, Tukiainen L. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Koivu A. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Jormakka P. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Virtanen J. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Ojantakanen V. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Wernblom L. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Soderlund T. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Tukiainen L. (Penalty Shot),
- 5, Wernblom L. (Penalty Shot),
- 5, Tukiainen L. (Penalty Shot),
- 6, Pikkarainen K. (Penalty Shot),
- 6, Tukiainen L. (Penalty Shot),
- 7, Wernblom L. (Penalty Shot),
- 7, Tukiainen L. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
TPS
36.1% | Draw
25.1% | JYP
38.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
TPS - JYP Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.59 ↑
(2.42) |
3.71 ↓
(4.34) |
2.39 ↓
(2.42) |
7.3%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for TPS - JYP?
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. TPS will win (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 3.
- TPS is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- JYP has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, TPS has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TPS won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 63:49. (average 3.2:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:21. (average 3:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against JYP?
TPS has won 11 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has JYP won against TPS?
JYP has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between TPS - JYP were as follows:
11.10.2025
JYP
-
TPS
5:4
19.02.2025
TPS
-
JYP
6:3
03.01.2025
JYP
-
TPS
6:3
18.12.2024
TPS
-
JYP
3:2
23.11.2024
JYP
-
TPS
0:3
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 36 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 128:84 | 72 |
| 2 | Lukko | 36 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 112:90 | 66 |
| 3 | JYP | 34 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 128:99 | 66 |
| 4 | SaiPa | 37 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 125:102 | 65 |
| 5 | KooKoo | 36 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 12 | 125:97 | 63 |
| 6 | Ilves | 36 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 114:98 | 63 |
| 7 | Assat | 36 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 106:89 | 62 |
| 8 | KalPa | 35 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 107:114 | 56 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 37 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 97:111 | 50 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 37 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 86:102 | 48 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 36 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 83:115 | 47 |
| 12 | Jukurit | 36 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 82:96 | 46 |
| 13 | Pelicans | 35 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 69:88 | 45 |
| 14 | Karpat | 37 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 115:124 | 42 |
| 15 | Hameenlinna | 38 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 91:113 | 42 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 36 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 73:119 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
