Result
3:8
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.33 | 4.08 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 26 | 28 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 11.54% (3/26) | 28.57% (8/28) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 74.07% (20/27) | 88.46% (23/26) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 16.67% (1/6) | 20% (1/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 83.33% (5/6) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 37 | 29 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 56.06 | 43.94 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 2)
- 13:15, 0 - 1, True A. (G), Bourque T. (A), Ojantakanen V. (A2)
- 14:54, Savinainen V. (2 min),
- 15:27, Maatta J. (2 min),
- 16:07, 0 - 2, Ojantakanen V. (G), Vatanen S. (A), Salminen O. (A2)
- 17:12, 1 - 2, Wernblom L. (G), Landen A. (A),
- 2nd Period (2 - 2)
- 00:59, Puustinen J. (2 min),
- 06:20, 1 - 3, Ojantakanen V. (G), Torgersson D. (A), Bourque T. (A2)
- 10:40, Lassila J. (2 min),
- 12:49, Vatanen S. (2 min),
- 14:36, 2 - 3, Wernblom L. (G), Nassen L. (A), Saarela A. (A2)
- 16:17, Landen A. (2 min),
- 16:17, Lassila J. (2 min),
- 16:26, 2 - 4, True A. (G), Lehmus J. (A), Vatanen S. (A2)
- 16:26, (2 min),
- 18:38, 3 - 4, Pikkarainen K. (G), Pakkila E. (A),
- 20:00, Wernblom L. (2 min),
- 20:00, Bourque T. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 4)
- 01:53, 3 - 5, Jormakka P. (G), Huttu E. (A),
- 02:21, 3 - 6, Nieminen V. (G), Lehmus J. (A), Vatanen S. (A2)
- 07:06, Vuontisvaara O. (2 min),
- 08:28, 3 - 7, Ojantakanen V. (G),
- 09:49, 3 - 8, Bourque T. (G), Jormakka P. (A), Makinen O. (A2)
Chances of winning
TPS
38.4% | Draw
24.3% | JYP
37.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)JYP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for JYP than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
TPS - JYP Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↓
(2.45) |
3.81 ↑
(3.73) |
2.52 ↓
(2.58) |
7.3%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for TPS - JYP?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. JYP (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - JYP (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. JYP (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- TPS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- We predict that TPS will win today's game, with odds of 2.44.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TPS won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 62:49. (average 3.1:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:20. (average 3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against JYP?
TPS has won 11 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has JYP won against TPS?
JYP has won 6 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between TPS - JYP were as follows:
30.01.2026
JYP
-
TPS
2:1
09.12.2025
TPS
-
JYP
1:2
11.10.2025
JYP
-
TPS
5:4
19.02.2025
TPS
-
JYP
6:3
03.01.2025
JYP
-
TPS
6:3
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara ✔ | 57 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 214:138 | 113 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 58 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 197:154 | 109 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 57 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 201:148 | 106 |
| 4 | JYP | 57 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 191:164 | 103 |
| 5 | Ilves | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 175:144 | 101 |
| 6 | Lukko | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 173:145 | 101 |
| 7 | KalPa | 58 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 174:170 | 100 |
| 8 | Assat ✔ | 57 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 155:156 | 88 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo ✔ | 58 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 147:155 | 84 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 57 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 130:149 | 80 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 57 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 137:178 | 79 |
| 12 | Hameenlinna | 57 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 138:158 | 72 |
| 13 | TPS Turku | 57 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 134:162 | 71 |
| 14 | Jukurit | 57 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 127:156 | 64 |
| 15 | Karpat | 57 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 167:188 | 63 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 58 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 107:202 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Assat is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
