Result
5:4
11/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 3.05 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 25 | 26 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 20% (5/25) | 15.38% (4/26) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 84.62% (22/26) | 80% (20/25) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 8 | 43 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 42.86% (3/7) | 50% (2/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 57.14% (4/7) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 33 | 26 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 55.93 | 44.07 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 05:59, Jormakka P. (2 min),
- 11:26, Tuhkala A. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (3 - 1)
- 00:36, Lauridsen O. (2 min),
- 03:27, Bourque T. (2 min),
- 05:42, Pikkarainen K. (2 min),
- 06:43, 1 - 0, Tukiainen L. (G), Vatanen S. (A), Lassila J. (A2)
- 11:09, 2 - 0, Makinen O. (G), Ojantakanen V. (A), Torgersson D. (A2)
- 15:27, 3 - 0, Vidgren A. (G), Perttu M. (A), Peltola E. (A2)
- 16:41, Sjoholm V. (2 min),
- 19:32, Bourque T. (2 min),
- 19:37, 3 - 1, Wernblom L. (G), Reunanen T. (A), Maatta J. (A2)
- 3rd Period (2 - 3)
- 01:21, 3 - 2, Reunanen T. (G), Sjoholm V. (A), Yliniemi S. (A2)
- 09:05, Vatanen S. (2 min),
- 09:51, 3 - 3, Wernblom L. (G), Reunanen T. (A), Pakkila E. (A2)
- 12:09, 3 - 4, Pakkila E. (G), Wernblom L. (A),
- 13:15, Virtanen J. (5 min),
- 14:35, 4 - 4, Ojantakanen V. (G), Torgersson D. (A), Makinen O. (A2)
- 17:10, 5 - 4, Puustinen J. (G), Lassila J. (A), Huovila S. (A2)
Chances of winning
JYP
54.8% | Draw
21.7% | TPS
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
JYP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in JYP's performance.TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and TPS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for JYP than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with JYP that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TPS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
JYP - TPS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.98) |
4.38 ↑
(4.2) |
3.98 ↑
(2.96) |
5.8%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for JYP - TPS?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. JYP will win (votes: 2 - 50%). TPS will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. JYP (votes: 1 - 33.3%). TPS (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JYP won 1.
- Recent performances by JYP have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- TPS's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- TPS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, JYP has had a series of away games.
- JYP will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, JYP won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 47:63. (average 2.4:3.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, JYP won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:33. (average 2.6:3.3).
How many head-to-head matches has JYP won against TPS?
JYP has won 3 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against JYP?
TPS has won 11 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between JYP - TPS were as follows:
19.02.2025
TPS
-
JYP
6:3
03.01.2025
JYP
-
TPS
6:3
18.12.2024
TPS
-
JYP
3:2
23.11.2024
JYP
-
TPS
0:3
02.08.2024
JYP
-
TPS
1:3
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 11 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 39:23 | 24 |
| 2 | JYP | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 47:36 | 24 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 44:35 | 23 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 46:41 | 22 |
| 5 | Tappara | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 39:28 | 21 |
| 6 | Kiekko-Espoo | 13 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 36:35 | 21 |
| 7 | Lukko | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 35:34 | 20 |
| 8 | Jukurit | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 34:39 | 20 |
| 9 | KalPa | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 33:34 | 19 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 29:28 | 18 |
| 11 | Hameenlinna | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 32:34 | 18 |
| 12 | Karpat | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 45:45 | 16 |
| 13 | Vaasan Sport | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 34:40 | 14 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 12 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 23:34 | 13 |
| 15 | Ilves | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 31:45 | 12 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 25:41 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
