Result
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Chances of winning
TPS
38.2% | Draw
24.2% | JYP
37.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)JYP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for JYP than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
TPS - JYP Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↓
(2.45) |
3.79 ↑
(3.73) |
2.5 ↓
(2.58) |
7.4%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for TPS - JYP?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. JYP (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - JYP (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. JYP (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- TPS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- We predict that TPS will win today's game, with odds of 2.44.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TPS won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 62:49. (average 3.1:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:20. (average 3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against JYP?
TPS has won 11 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has JYP won against TPS?
JYP has won 6 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between TPS - JYP were as follows:
30.01.2026
JYP
-
TPS
2:1
09.12.2025
TPS
-
JYP
1:2
11.10.2025
JYP
-
TPS
5:4
19.02.2025
TPS
-
JYP
6:3
03.01.2025
JYP
-
TPS
6:3
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
