Ilves vs Jyväskylän PK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women Ilves - Jyväskylän PK
Result
5:1
28/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Kansallinen Liiga Women - Relegation Group
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandRuutu+

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (5 - 1)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Lahteenmaki L. ,
  • 4', 2 - 0, (Own goal),
  • 9', 2 - 1, Juttula N. ,
  • 10', 3 - 1, Rasinen A. ,
  • 18', 4 - 1, Lahteenmaki L. ,
  • 24', 5 - 1, Laine S. ,
  • 24', Varjoranta A. , Autti P. ,
  • 43', Olmala H. 🟨,
  • 44', Sarlin M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', Leiwo S. , Halttunen A. ,
  • 58', Rasinen A. , Abe M. ,
  • 69', Juttula N. , Sallinen O. ,
  • 69', Tahtisaari N. , Mihari I. ,
  • 75', Olmala H. , Mikkonen O. ,
  • 75', Lahteenmaki L. , Jamsa M. ,
  • 75', Ljesnjanin A. , Mikkola R.-T. ,
  • 86', Luotonen A. , Hertteli P. ,

Chances of winning


Ilves
57.6%
Draw
24.2%
Jyväskylän PK
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 24.2% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 23.6% 23.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ilves's performance.
  • Jyväskylän PK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jyväskylän PK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jyväskylän PK than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jyväskylän PK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ilves - Jyväskylän PK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.24
    (1.79)
    2.58
    (3.8)
    3.48
    (3.74)
    48.3%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • JYPK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ilves is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.8:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - Jyväskylän PK were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Jyväskylän PK - Ilves 0:1
    19.09.2024 Ilves - Jyväskylän PK 0:2
    10.08.2024 Ilves - Jyväskylän PK 0:0
    18.05.2024 Jyväskylän PK - Ilves 0:0
    05.08.2023 Jyväskylän PK - Ilves 1:2
    Latest results of Ilves
    24.09.2025 Ilves - Esbo Bollklubb 0:1
    19.09.2025 PK-35 Helsinki - Ilves 2:1
    13.09.2025 Ilves - HJK Akatemia 4:0
    05.09.2025 Ilves - KTP 2:1
    30.08.2025 Jyväskylän PK - Ilves 0:1
    Latest results of Jyväskylän PK
    Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1HJK W ✔ 22183173:126157
    2KuPS W ✔ 22152550:203047
    3Aland Utd W22124646:40640
    4HPS W22112955:451035
    5PK-35 Vantaa W22821242:43-126
    6VIFK W22341515:73-5813

          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
          Promotion ~ UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    HJK W is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage )
    KuPS W is Qualified for UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification )