Afturelding vs KA Akureyri – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Icelandic Besta-deild karla Afturelding - KA Akureyri
Result
3:2
28/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Besta deild karla - Relegation Group - Round 2
  • Referee: Arnason E. I. (Ice)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Ísland
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.06
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1416
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
29
Passes
84% (392/469)84% (379/451)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.06
xG on target (xGOT)
1.031.15
Total shots
1416
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
29
Touches in opposition box
1626
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
58
Passes
84% (392/469)84% (379/451)
Long passes
48% (23/48)45% (25/55)
Passes in final third
63% (60/96)72% (113/158)
Crosses
22% (2/9)16% (4/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.481.24
Throw-ins
1523
Fouls
85
Tackles
56% (10/18)50% (7/14)
Duels won
4145
Clearances
3115
Interceptions
815
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.151.03
Goals prevented
-0.85-1.97

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', Baldvinsson B. 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 1, Steingrimsson H. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Hrafnkelsson G. , Steingrimsson H. ,
  • 60', Kassi L. , Hafthorsson T. G. ,
  • 60', Edmundsson J. S. , Valsson D. ,
  • 60', Stole I. , Saevarsson V. ,
  • 67', 1 - 1, Magnusson H. ,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Cogic E. ,
  • 71', Sigmarsson G. , Runolfsson B. ,
  • 73', 3 - 1, Magnusson H. , Barkarson B. B. (A),
  • 76', Johannsson A. 🟨,
  • 84', Stokke B. , Cogic E. ,
  • 84', Cogic E. , Ragnarsson A. ,
  • 84', Gudmundsson H. , Petursson M. M. ,
  • 86', 3 - 2, Arnason I. ,
  • 90', Baldvinsson B. , Kristinsson S. ,
  • 90+3', Steingrimsson H. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Magnusson H. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Afturelding
33.5%
Draw
24.4%
KA Akureyri
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.5% 25% 42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5% 24.2% 43.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Afturelding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • KA Akureyri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afturelding than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for KA Akureyri than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Afturelding - KA Akureyri Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.8
    (2.85)
    3.84
    (3.71)
    2.23
    (2.19)
    6.6%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • Afturelding is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • KA Akureyri is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Afturelding won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 2:3.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Afturelding won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 2.3:5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Afturelding - KA Akureyri were as follows:
    17.08.2025 Afturelding - KA Akureyri 3:3
    24.05.2025 KA Akureyri - Afturelding 1:0
    13.01.2024 KA Akureyri - Afturelding 2:3
    Latest results of Afturelding
    Latest results of KA Akureyri
    14.09.2025 KA Akureyri - Vestri 4:1
    31.08.2025 Stjarnan - KA Akureyri 3:2
    24.08.2025 KA Akureyri - Fram 2:0
    17.08.2025 Afturelding - KA Akureyri 3:3
    Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vikingur Reykjavik ✔ 25156454:302451
    2Valur25135757:401744
    3Stjarnan25125847:41641
    4Breidablik25109642:38439
    5Hafnarfjordur2588942:38432
    6Fram25951136:36032

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    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vikingur Reykjavik is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )