Käerjéng 97 vs Progrès Niedercorn – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Luxembourg National Division Käerjéng 97 - Progrès Niedercorn
Result
3:4
28/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BGL Ligue - Round 8

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
52
Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 3', Boutrif I. (Pen),
  • 4', 1 - 0, Gerson L. , Povoa D. (A),
  • 26', 1 - 1, Avdusinovic K. , Hend B. (A),
  • 33', 1 - 2, Peugnet V. , Natami O. (A),
  • 38', 2 - 2, Bellali Y. , Barbaro V. (A),
  • 43', 🟨,
  • 43', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 48', 2 - 3, Avdusinovic K. ,
  • 62', Moutschen R. , Dieye A. ,
  • 65', 3 - 3, Mabwati I. , Dieye A. (A),
  • 66', 3 - 4, Avdusinovic K. ,
  • 68', Mabwati I. 🟨,
  • 75', Bouche Y. , Boesen V. ,
  • 76', Ahmetxhekaj D. , Gilgemann M. ,
  • 76', Barbaro V. , Maison B. ,
  • 80', Moutschen R. 🟨,
  • 83', Moutschen R. 🟨,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 86', Guett A. 🟨,
  • 88', Ewert T. , Bayilu Bonyonya J. ,
  • 88', Lecomte E. , Schroeder T. ,
  • 89', Hoxha F. , Schmid J. ,

Chances of winning


Käerjéng 97
17.7%
Draw
22.9%
Progrès Niedercorn
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.6% 21.1% 64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2% 20.5% 66.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Käerjéng 97 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Progrès Niedercorn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Käerjéng 97 than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progrès Niedercorn than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Progrès Niedercorn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Käerjéng 97 - Progrès Niedercorn Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.35
    (6.26)
    3.35
    (4.34)
    1.29
    (1.43)
    30.1%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone BGL Ligue (Relegation) and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Käerjéng 97 won 1.
    • Recent form of Käerjéng 97 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Progrès Niedercorn has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Progrès Niedercorn is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Käerjéng 97 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Käerjéng 97 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Käerjéng 97 - Progrès Niedercorn were as follows:
    28.04.2024 Progrès Niedercorn - Käerjéng 97 2:0
    12.11.2023 Käerjéng 97 - Progrès Niedercorn 2:0
    19.02.2023 Progrès Niedercorn - Käerjéng 97 1:0
    30.10.2022 Progrès Niedercorn - Käerjéng 97 1:0
    Latest results of Käerjéng 97
    Latest results of Progrès Niedercorn
    Luxembourg National Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dudelange852119:12717
    2UNA Strassen851218:9916
    3Differdange651012:4816
    4Mondorf850313:4915
    5Niedercorn850316:12415
    6Victoria Rosport842213:11214
    7Bissen841315:11413
    8Hesperange741212:9313
    9Jeunesse Canach840411:11012
    10Jeunesse Esch82339:639
    11FC Mamer82159:17-87
    12Hostert82157:15-87
    13Racing Luxembourg61325:8-36
    14Rodange71243:14-115
    15Kaerjeng811610:19-94
    16Union Titus Petange80355:15-103

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          BGL Ligue (Relegation)
          Relegation