Kagoshima United vs Osaka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J3 League Kagoshima United - Osaka
Result
2:1
21/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J3 League - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
114
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
124
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
114
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
51
Corner Kicks
124
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Kawamura K. , Kondo Y. (A),
  • 39', 1 - 1, Tsutsumi S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 63', Sato R. , Kitsui T. ,
  • 64', Endo M. , Fukuda M. ,
  • 72', Masuda S. , Kubo R. ,
  • 72', Takei S. , Haga A. ,
  • 75', Kondo Y. , Rodrigo Angelotti ,
  • 75', Fujimura K. , Gaudencio ,
  • 77', Gaudencio 🟨,
  • 81', Tanaka T. , Yoshio K. ,
  • 81', Kawamura K. , Yonezawa R. ,
  • 84', Shimada T. , Wada H. ,
  • 84', Nishimura M. , Natsukawa Y. ,
  • 86', Yamamoto T. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 2 - 1, Rodrigo Angelotti , Sugii H. (A),

Chances of winning


Kagoshima United
34.9%
Draw
28.4%
Osaka
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 28.5% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 29.7% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kagoshima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kagoshima United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Osaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Kagoshima United - Osaka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.33)
    3.22
    (3.17)
    2.5
    (2.76)
    9.2%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Kagoshima United - Osaka?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Kagoshima United will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Kagoshima United (votes: 2 - 50%). Osaka (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kagoshima United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Kagoshima United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kagoshima United - Osaka were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Osaka - Kagoshima United 3:0
    05.10.2023 Osaka - Kagoshima United 2:3
    04.03.2023 Kagoshima United - Osaka 2:1
    Latest results of Kagoshima United
    Latest results of Osaka
    06.07.2025 Nagano Parceiro - Osaka 0:0
    30.06.2025 Osaka - Nara Club 1:1
    22.06.2025 Osaka - Fukushima United 7:1
    Japan J3 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vanraure33216643:182569
    2Tochigi City33207656:322467
    3Kagoshima Utd331710663:352861
    4Osaka33177946:301658
    5Tegevajaro Miyazaki32169752:371557
    6Kanazawa331651245:37853
    7Nara Club331491043:38551
    8Giravanz Kitakyushu331551338:32650
    9Tochigi SC331471233:31249
    10Fukushima Utd331281351:62-1144
    11Sagamihara3311101232:42-1043
    12Gifu331181443:50-741
    13Gainare Tottori331161633:42-939
    14Ryukyu331071634:46-1237
    15Yamaga32991432:37-536
    16Nagano33981629:45-1635
    17Kochi United33971739:57-1834
    18Kusatsu337101642:54-1231
    19Kamatamare33871838:53-1531
    20Azul Claro Numazu33591935:49-1424

          Promotion ~ J2 League
          Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          J3 League (Relegation)
          Relegation