Result
2:1
21/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J3 League - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 1 - 0, Kawamura K. ⚽, Kondo Y. (A),
- 39', 1 - 1, Tsutsumi S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 63', Sato R. ↓, Kitsui T. ↑,
- 64', Endo M. ↓, Fukuda M. ↑,
- 72', Masuda S. ↓, Kubo R. ↑,
- 72', Takei S. ↓, Haga A. ↑,
- 75', Kondo Y. ↓, Rodrigo Angelotti ↑,
- 75', Fujimura K. ↓, Gaudencio ↑,
- 77', Gaudencio 🟨,
- 81', Tanaka T. ↓, Yoshio K. ↑,
- 81', Kawamura K. ↓, Yonezawa R. ↑,
- 84', Shimada T. ↓, Wada H. ↑,
- 84', Nishimura M. ↓, Natsukawa Y. ↑,
- 86', Yamamoto T. 🟨,
- 90+6', 2 - 1, Rodrigo Angelotti ⚽, Sugii H. (A),
Chances of winning
Kagoshima United
34.9% | Draw
28.4% | Osaka
36.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kagoshima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kagoshima United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Osaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kagoshima United - Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.62 ↑
(2.33) |
3.22 ↑
(3.17) |
2.5 ↓
(2.76) |
9.2%
(10.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Kagoshima United - Osaka?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Kagoshima United will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Kagoshima United (votes: 2 - 50%). Osaka (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kagoshima United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Kagoshima United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Kagoshima United won against Osaka?
Kagoshima United has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Osaka won against Kagoshima United?
Osaka has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kagoshima United - Osaka were as follows:
31.05.2025
Osaka
-
Kagoshima United
3:0
05.10.2023
Osaka
-
Kagoshima United
2:3
04.03.2023
Kagoshima United
-
Osaka
2:1
Latest results of Kagoshima United
Japan J3 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vanraure | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 33:16 | 17 | 50 |
| 2 | Osaka | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 36:19 | 17 | 45 |
| 3 | Tochigi City | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 36:24 | 12 | 45 |
| 4 | Kagoshima Utd | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 46:25 | 21 | 44 |
| 5 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 33:26 | 7 | 41 |
| 6 | Nara Club | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 33:25 | 8 | 40 |
| 7 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 25:25 | 0 | 33 |
| 8 | Gainare Tottori | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 32 |
| 9 | Tochigi SC | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 21:23 | -2 | 32 |
| 10 | Yamaga | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Kochi United | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33:40 | -7 | 31 |
| 12 | Fukushima Utd | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 39:49 | -10 | 31 |
| 13 | Sagamihara | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 24:30 | -6 | 30 |
| 14 | Kanazawa | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:31 | -4 | 29 |
| 15 | Ryukyu | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 24:27 | -3 | 28 |
| 16 | Kusatsu | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 32:35 | -3 | 27 |
| 17 | Nagano | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 17:32 | -15 | 24 |
| 18 | Kamatamare | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 23:30 | -7 | 22 |
| 19 | Gifu | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 25:39 | -14 | 20 |
| 20 | Azul Claro Numazu | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 25:32 | -7 | 18 |
Promotion ~ J2 League
Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
J3 League (Relegation)
Relegation
